Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $101.0100 (2.78%) ($98.6500 - $102.4900) on Tue. Aug. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.67% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $101.0100(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(63%)    SPY(63%)    EWG(57%)    PEJ(57%)    XAR(57%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.335% (StdDev 2.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.45(3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.5(6.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.79(11.26%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $14.909b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 2.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2012	102.35	90.79	94.5	97.45	98.24	99.61	101.01(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	120	40	146	3.55	50%	-0.27	17.2	2.67%	0	2.1	72	0
2	Aug_6_2012	102.63	90.04	93.08	96.43	97.01	98.63	98.28(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	78	130	56	144	1.84	49%	-0.28	3.3	2.65%	0	1.9	71	0
3	Aug_3_2012	102.92	89.82	91.98	94.87	96.08	96.87	99(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	75	100	58	127	3.3	47%	-0.28	-8.5	2.67%	0	2.2	72	0
4	Aug_2_2012	103.21	89.59	90.66	93.59	94.34	95.39	95.34(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	100	24	93	4.03	45%	-0.28	-12.8	2.63%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Aug_1_2012	103.5	89.71	89.95	92.34	93.29	95.29	93.62(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	180	68	101	2.62	43%	-0.3	-12.2	2.63%	0	0.9	65	0

6	Jul_31_2012	103.81	89.96	89.32	91.03	91.62	93.3	95.9(5.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	150	75	96	5.06	43%	-0.22	-9	2.63%	0	1.3	73	0
7	Jul_30_2012	104.04	89.9	88.33	89.23	89.71	91.3	90.48(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	140	44	59	3.09	39%	-0.28	-13.7	2.56%	0	0.1	57	0
8	Jul_27_2012	104.33	90.18	87.93	88.62	88.7	89.95	92.62(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	100	62	36	2.55	39%	-0.27	-10.7	2.56%	0	0.5	44	0
9	Jul_26_2012	104.61	90.14	87.46	87.32	87.42	88.13	89.09(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	60	19	-19	2.21	36%	-0.28	-17.5	2.51%	0	-0.2	37	0
10	Jul_25_2012	104.9	90.22	87.13	87.24	87.01	87.45	87.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	30	12	-57	1.9	36%	-0.28	-22.3	2.49%	0	-0.6	30	0

11	Jul_24_2012	105.19	90.38	87.13	87.33	87.15	86.71	86.86(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-40	5	-99	2.02	36%	-0.32	-28.5	2.49%	0	-0.7	28	0
12	Jul_23_2012	105.53	90.55	86.81	87.26	87.06	86.56	87.46(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-50	-20	-133	2.9	36%	-0.3	-33.7	2.5%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Jul_20_2012	105.85	90.72	87.51	87.08	87.13	87.6	86.09(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	40	-5	-135	2.79	36%	-0.35	-39.2	2.49%	0	-1	35	0
14	Jul_19_2012	106.22	91.01	88.47	87.59	87.19	87.57	88.7(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	20	26	-108	2.24	37%	-0.3	-39.3	2.48%	0	-0.5	47	0
15	Jul_18_2012	106.54	91.34	89.42	87.01	86.97	86.66	87.54(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-30	12	-105	4.04	37%	-0.33	-41.2	2.47%	0	-0.8	48	0

16	Jul_17_2012	106.89	91.79	90.6	86.2	86.36	86.81	86.53(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	40	-5	-100	2.24	37%	-0.34	-45.9	2.47%	0	-1.1	48	0
17	Jul_16_2012	107.25	92.2	91.56	86.28	85.95	87.27	86.56(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	100	-2	-84	3.57	37%	-0.33	-45.5	2.48%	0	-1.2	48	0
18	Jul_13_2012	107.61	92.62	92.61	88.06	87.02	85.91	88.63(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-120	-13	-50	4.34	37%	-0.31	-39.1	2.47%	0	-0.9	50	0
19	Jul_12_2012	107.95	92.87	93.03	89.59	89.11	84.63	85.77(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-118	-370	-132	-75	6.02	38%	-0.35	-34.9	2.43%	0	-1.6	44	0
20	Jul_11_2012	108.33	93.3	93.63	92.3	91.98	88.14	83.53(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-154	-300	-183	-67	8.68	36%	-0.37	-22	2.46%	0	-2.4	34	0

21	Jul_10_2012	108.73	94	94.41	95.62	95.63	93.59	86.91(-8.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-62	-150	-84	6	12.23	36%	-0.21	7	2.42%	0	-2.1	36	0
22	Jul_9_2012	108.96	94.33	94.83	97.45	97.41	95.82	95.44(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-25	-120	-48	44	1.45	41%	-0.25	26.4	2.19%	0	0.4	52	0
23	Jul_6_2012	109.23	94.38	94.36	97.75	97.59	97.68	96.29(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	0	-24	48	2.59	41%	-0.26	34.3	2.19%	0	0.6	53	0
24	Jul_5_2012	109.51	94.4	93.88	96.94	97.72	99	99.31(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	120	80	73	2.28	42%	-0.31	27	2.18%	0	1.6	62	0
25	Jul_3_2012	109.85	94.19	93.4	95.2	95.61	97.5	100.14(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	67	150	74	47	2.51	40%		6.7	2.2%	0	2.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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