Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $93.5300 (-1.24%) ($93.3700 - $95.0300) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $93.5300(-1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(63%)    SPY(63%)    EWG(57%)    PEJ(56%)    XAR(56%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.92(1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.37(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.85(4.1%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $13.805b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.14%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.09%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.54%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2012	91.99	89.85	90.37	91.92	92.61	93.84	93.53(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	120	45	71	2.74	71%	0.12	-28.9	2.89%	0	1.4	66	0
2	Jan_5_2012	91.88	89.86	89.8	91.01	91.12	92.53	94.7(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	110	43	60	3.76	73%	0.02	-43.1	2.89%	0	1.9	66	0
3	Jan_4_2012	91.86	89.89	89.27	89.64	89.89	91.38	92.3(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	120	42	44	2.66	74%	-0.01	-44.6	2.91%	0	1	56	0
4	Jan_3_2012	91.87	90.02	88.62	88.95	89.09	89.71	91.05(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	50	31	17	2.83	74%	-0.09	-37.5	2.97%	0	0.4	45	0
5	Dec_30_2011	91.95	90.22	88.22	88.55	88.49	88.41	88.02(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10	-2	-17	1.15	68%	-0.04	-23.7	2.95%	0	-0.7	32	0

6	Dec_29_2011	91.99	90.62	88.12	88.58	88.59	88.47	88.98(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10	1	-25	1.59	68%	0.03	-10.5	3.03%	0	-0.5	44	0
7	Dec_28_2011	91.96	90.97	87.97	88.37	88.5	88.58	87.85(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	10	-5	-45	2.46	63%	-0.03	-3.7	3.03%	0	-0.8	36	0
8	Dec_27_2011	91.99	91.03	88.1	88.81	88.46	88.71	88.83(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	10	9	-48	1.29	63%	0.05	-3.5	3.1%	0	-0.6	34	0
9	Dec_23_2011	91.94	91.13	88.4	88.21	88.49	88.41	89.07(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	0	10	-61	1.01	65%	-0.05	-12.2	3.13%	0	-0.6	37	0
10	Dec_22_2011	91.99	91.02	88.93	87.85	88.03	88.21	88.15(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	20	-3	-73	2.41	60%	-0.14	-24.7	3.13%	0	-0.8	35	0

11	Dec_21_2011	92.12	90.99	89.28	87.59	87.98	88.57	87.97(-2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	60	13	-75	3.5	60%	-0.12	-39.2	3.25%	0	-0.8	34	0
12	Dec_20_2011	92.23	91.1	89.91	87.5	87.87	87.85	90.02(4.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	10	11	-81	2.76	60%	-0.15	-51.7	3.25%	0	-0.3	37	0
13	Dec_19_2011	92.37	91.16	90.52	87.34	87.52	87.39	85.82(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-0	-28	-87	1.88	58%	-0.22	-62.6	3.21%	0	-1.4	49	0
14	Dec_16_2011	92.57	91.59	91.51	88.65	88.63	87.9	87.3(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-60	-18	-60	3.27	58%	-0.19	-62.2	3.21%	0	-1.2	48	0
15	Dec_15_2011	92.75	91.97	92.37	90.21	89.83	87.66	86.83(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-180	-47	-38	1.94	60%	-0.22	-55.6	3.21%	0	-1.4	56	0

16	Dec_14_2011	92.95	92.53	93.35	91.22	91.31	89.36	87.51(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-150	-63	-17	3.69	60%	-0.26	-46.1	3.24%	0	-1.4	55	0
17	Dec_13_2011	93.19	93.11	94.28	92.64	92.65	92.01	89.24(-3.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-23	-50	-38	22	3.3	62%	-0.18	-38.1	3.25%	0	-1.1	52	0
18	Dec_12_2011	93.36	93.6	94.32	94.13	93.58	93.27	92.37(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-40	-12	44	1.93	64%	-0.16	-28.3	3.3%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	Dec_9_2011	93.51	93.9	94.19	94.8	94.41	93.3	95.11(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-90	-16	46	2.26	64%	-0.13	-28.3	3.28%	0	0.3	52	0
20	Dec_8_2011	93.63	93.99	93.35	94.92	95.09	93.89	91.89(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-80	-40	23	2.53	63%	-0.16	-33.7	3.27%	0	-0.5	46	0

21	Dec_7_2011	93.78	94.21	92.93	95.81	96.09	95.52	94.58(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-30	-17	23	2.71	65%	-0.13	-30.8	3.25%	0	0.1	44	0
22	Dec_6_2011	93.9	94.53	92.44	96.16	96.42	96.29	96.7(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-0	9	20	2.21	65%	-0.07	-21	3.31%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Dec_5_2011	93.97	94.69	91.83	94.51	95.96	96.65	95.71(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	100	24	-7	2.47	65%	-0.1	-28.7	3.31%	0	0.2	42	0
24	Dec_2_2011	94.06	95.03	91.59	93.46	94.27	96.54	95.73(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	31	190	47	-17	2.78	63%	-0.1	-32.1	3.34%	0	0.1	44	0
25	Dec_1_2011	94.15	95.36	91.41	91.52	92.58	95.27	96.32(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	55	240	82	-28	2.16	63%		-39.3	3.39%	0	0.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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