Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $94.4700 (2.83%) ($93.6700 - $96.4000) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $94.4700(2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI declines -8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    EWG(61%)    PEJ(60%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $77.59(-17.87%)
Resistance Level   $99.74
5 Day Moving Average   $89.47(5.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.48(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.74(-5.28%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $13.944b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 7.7% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2011	104.72	99.74	93.48	89.47	90.13	92.36	94.47(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	29	200	83	-133	4.31	44%	-0.09	-50	3.06%	0	-0.7	40	0
2	Aug_11_2011	104.81	100.26	94.4	89.03	87.88	88.85	91.87(6.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-39	40	6	-174	4.75	43%	-0.1	-53.6	3.04%	0	-1.1	38	0
3	Aug_10_2011	104.92	100.92	95.71	89.29	88.68	87.89	86.25(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-80	-29	-195	6.46	39%	-0.15	-57.2	2.94%	0	-2	30	0
4	Aug_9_2011	105.08	101.96	97.76	92.35	90.91	86.92	91.11(8.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-113	-350	-86	-192	6.56	41%	-0.11	-53.7	2.88%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Aug_8_2011	105.2	102.63	99.69	93.96	93.82	89.47	83.67(-9.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-189	-330	-179	-219	5.76	36%	-0.15	-53.4	2.63%	0	-3.1	21	0

6	Aug_5_2011	105.36	103.73	102.12	97.98	97.76	94.9	92.26(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-136	-210	-129	-157	6.74	42%	-0.08	-54.8	2.4%	0	-2.6	36	0
7	Aug_4_2011	105.44	104.51	103.65	100.5	100.94	98.17	93.16(-8.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-97	-180	-94	-106	6.5	40%	-0.06	-44.2	2.43%	0	-3.2	35	0
8	Aug_3_2011	105.5	105.34	105.19	103.02	102.83	100.61	101.54(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-95	-160	-102	-74	5.26	43%	0.02	-23.1	2.23%	0	-1.5	46	0
9	Aug_2_2011	105.48	105.62	105.74	104.01	104.59	103.72	99.15(-4.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-66	-40	-72	-47	5.74	42%	0.01	-1.4	2.22%	0	-2.8	38	0
10	Aug_1_2011	105.47	105.98	106.56	106.34	106.21	105.06	103.79(-1.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-25	-80	-36	9	4.67	44%	0.05	55.2	2.16%	0	-1.2	54	0

11	Jul_29_2011	105.42	106.16	106.59	106.92	107.76	105.47	104.88(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-36	-130	-52	11	3.72	45%	0.07	94	2.18%	0	-0.7	55	0
12	Jul_28_2011	105.35	106.12	106.61	107.3	108.16	107.36	105.74(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-45	-30	-63	8	4.27	45%	0.06	110.3	2.19%	0	-0.2	48	0
13	Jul_27_2011	105.29	105.91	106.52	107.66	108.07	110.04	106.49(-3.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	29	140	25	39	4.75	47%	0.06	111.8	2.2%	0	0.3	45	0
14	Jul_26_2011	105.23	105.64	106.45	107.72	107.98	108.96	110.82(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	84	70	91	64	6.3	54%	0.1	107.4	2.17%	0	2.1	57	0
15	Jul_25_2011	105.12	104.98	105.67	106.87	106.73	106.1	106.66(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-50	-14	4	2.52	52%	0.05	94.6	2.31%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Jul_22_2011	105.07	104.52	105.38	106.24	106.67	107	106.78(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	30	5	-5	2.36	52%	0.03	79.5	2.32%	0	0.7	48	0
17	Jul_21_2011	105.04	104.11	105.34	105.82	105.95	107.37	107.57(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	100	36	9	2.23	52%	0.07	79.6	2.33%	0	1	59	0
18	Jul_20_2011	104.97	103.56	105.41	105.2	105.24	106.34	106.75(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	46	21	1.64	53%	0.07	73.5	2.33%	0	0.9	63	0
19	Jul_19_2011	104.9	103.11	105.38	104.99	104.82	104.54	106.58(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-20	14	19	2.15	55%	0.06	72.6	2.36%	0	0.9	63	0
20	Jul_18_2011	104.84	102.48	105.27	104.34	104.83	104.14	103.5(-1.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-14	-30	-23	14	2.6	52%	0.01	61.8	2.35%	0	0.2	65	0

21	Jul_15_2011	104.83	102.03	105.67	104.37	105.05	105.09	104.68(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	20	-12	43	2.48	52%	0.04	58.2	2.36%	0	0.6	69	0
22	Jul_14_2011	104.79	101.47	105.58	104.79	104.99	105.52	104.49(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	40	1	67	2.79	52%	0.03	54.1	2.36%	0	0.6	64	0
23	Jul_13_2011	104.76	100.89	105.3	105.65	105.22	105	105.71(2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-30	-1	92	2.75	52%	0.03	53.2	2.36%	0	0.9	70	0
24	Jul_12_2011	104.73	100.4	104.83	105.87	106.09	104.46	103.32(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-100	-31	94	3.76	52%	-0.01	50.8	2.34%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Jul_11_2011	104.74	99.92	104.33	106.33	106.54	105.45	103.65(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-70	-59	102	3.13	52%		46.9	2.35%	0	0.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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