Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $109.8200 (-0.98%) ($108.8800 - $110.2700) on Mon. Dec. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $109.8200(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    EWG(61%)    PEJ(60%)    EEM(58%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.46(-0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.31(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.21(3.4%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $16.209b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 3.83% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(80%) Average negative next day return: -5.49%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.02%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.97%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2010	91.38	106.21	109.31	110.46	110.56	110.4	109.82(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-9	85	0.91	72%	0.43	88.5	1.7%	0	0.9	70	0
2	Dec_23_2010	90.99	105.65	108.87	110.09	110.3	111.01	110.91(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	50	25	100	0.94	74%	0.33	87	1.72%	0	1.2	80	0
3	Dec_22_2010	90.69	105.04	108.22	109.61	109.62	110.73	111.25(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	70	50	104	1.22	74%	0.34	91.3	1.72%	0	1.4	74	0
4	Dec_21_2010	90.38	104.24	107.59	109.08	109	109.58	111.19(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	40	43	107	1.22	74%	0.34	87.9	1.73%	0	1.5	80	0
5	Dec_20_2010	90.07	103.46	107.04	108.5	108.63	108.51	109.12(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	-0	12	114	1.24	74%	0.32	86.1	1.72%	0	1.2	82	0

6	Dec_17_2010	89.78	102.73	106.62	108.01	108.37	108.42	107.96(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	10	4	126	2.07	74%	0.32	81.3	1.76%	0	1.1	81	0
7	Dec_16_2010	89.49	102.03	106.13	107.43	107.92	108.76	108.51(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	70	38	146	1.22	74%	0.34	74.6	1.76%	0	1.3	78	0
8	Dec_15_2010	89.19	101.22	105.66	106.58	106.99	108.31	108.62(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	100	59	158	2.17	74%	0.33	65.7	1.76%	0	1.4	76	0
9	Dec_14_2010	88.9	100.36	104.87	105.87	106.03	107.08	108.29(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	70	55	163	1.92	74%	0.35	59.5	1.78%	0	1.5	81	0
10	Dec_13_2010	88.59	99.63	103.78	105.41	105.44	105.66	106.69(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	20	23	151	2.15	76%	0.34	58.4	1.78%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Dec_10_2010	88.29	98.98	102.87	105.06	105.42	104.98	105.03(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	38	-20	2	147	1.01	76%	0.33	57	1.81%	0	1.3	77	0
12	Dec_9_2010	88	98.47	102.2	104.62	105.2	105.22	104.25(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	20	-8	153	1.34	76%	0.36	56.1	1.81%	0	1.2	77	0
13	Dec_8_2010	87.68	97.96	101.65	104.57	104.65	105.86	105.08(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	80	80	41	198	2.22	76%	0.37	61.7	1.81%	0	1.6	81	0
14	Dec_7_2010	87.36	97.36	100.65	103.65	103.93	105.18	105.98(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	124	90	93	218	2.57	72%	0.41	61.5	1.81%	0	2	85	0
15	Dec_6_2010	87	96.78	99.59	101.88	102.37	103.44	104.96(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	95	90	67	179	1.47	72%	0.42	65.6	1.85%	0	2.2	72	0

16	Dec_3_2010	86.64	96.31	98.51	100.34	100.55	102.68	102.84(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	93	150	72	156	1.93	71%	0.35	75.6	1.85%	0	2	70	0
17	Dec_2_2010	86.34	95.91	97.6	99.42	99.04	101.3	103.97(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	119	150	108	152	2.37	71%	0.35	87.9	1.85%	0	2.8	69	0
18	Dec_1_2010	86.04	95.26	96.38	98.35	97.92	98.41	100.52(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	80	20	69	112	2.51	73%	0.31	100.4	1.83%	0	2.3	65	0
19	Nov_30_2010	85.77	94.79	95.46	97.23	97.19	96.77	97.12(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-5	52	2.46	67%	0.32	101.3	1.97%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Nov_29_2010	85.5	94.37	95.13	96.92	96.61	97.43	97.27(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	50	10	48	1.45	67%	0.31	72.1	2.02%	0	1.2	54	0

21	Nov_26_2010	85.24	93.92	94.79	96.33	96.07	97.6	98.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	100	68	54	0.62	70%	0.55	50.9	2.09%	0	1.6	53	0
22	Nov_24_2010	84.77	93.46	94.43	95.45	94.99	95.79	98.65(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	40	55	33	2.01	70%	0.41	33.3	2.1%	0	1.9	56	0
23	Nov_23_2010	84.42	92.99	93.96	94.13	94.19	94.53	94.91(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	30	25	6	1.88	63%	0.13	16.3	2.08%	0	0.7	61	0
24	Nov_22_2010	84.31	92.7	93.8	93.41	93.52	94.2	95.59(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	50	21	-2	1.52	63%	0.37	7.1	2.14%	0	1.1	63	0
25	Nov_19_2010	84	92.62	93.74	93.09	92.81	93.85	94.31(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	70	22	12	1.88	63%		9.1	2.15%	0	0.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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