Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $65.0300 (0.49%) ($63.7500 - $65.5900) on Thu. Apr. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $65.0300(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(68%)    SPY(68%)    EWG(62%)    PEJ(61%)    EEM(60%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.57(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.47(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.93(5.01%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   44%
Market Cap   $9.598b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.76%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2010	52.89	61.93	63.47	64.57	64.74	64.72	65.03(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	9	90	3.12	75%	0.32	55.6	2.39%	0	1.5	71	NAN
2	Apr_7_2010	52.72	61.68	63.14	63.95	64.22	64.98	64.71(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	100	19	86	2.63	77%	0.32	52.4	2.48%	0	1.6	66	NAN
3	Apr_6_2010	52.55	61.49	62.89	63.44	63.53	64.76	65.12(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	140	39	88	2.42	77%	0.34	53.9	2.54%	0	2	64	NAN
4	Apr_5_2010	52.37	61.22	62.38	63.03	62.86	63.46	65.63(5.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	46	60	35	79	3.27	78%	0.48	56.7	2.54%	0	2.7	67	NAN
5	Apr_1_2010	52.12	60.95	61.63	62.38	62.51	62.3	62.34(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-20	4	47	2.26	77%	0.31	74.3	2.46%	0	1.1	59	NAN

6	Mar_31_2010	51.96	60.82	61.34	62.22	62.44	62.27	61.95(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-9	39	2.4	77%	0.29	85.6	2.48%	0	0.9	61	NAN
7	Mar_30_2010	51.81	60.68	61.17	62.19	62.5	62.72	62.15(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	40	3	44	2.28	77%	0.31	97.5	2.49%	0	1.2	58	NAN
8	Mar_29_2010	51.65	60.53	61.01	62.23	62.44	62.6	63.08(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	30	19	51	2.18	77%	0.35	113.8	2.48%	0	2.1	56	NAN
9	Mar_26_2010	51.47	60.32	60.71	61.61	62.04	62.29	62.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	22	40	1.88	77%	0.31	100.5	2.47%	0	1.6	59	NAN
10	Mar_25_2010	51.31	60.05	60.49	60.77	61.2	62.27	61.56(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	140	26	21	2.62	77%	0.33	69.9	2.49%	0	1	53	NAN

11	Mar_24_2010	51.14	59.78	60.28	60.32	60.37	61.79	61.81(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	170	46	19	3.13	77%	0.33	52	2.51%	0	1.2	58	NAN
12	Mar_23_2010	50.97	59.5	60.1	59.99	59.71	60.12	62.35(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	30	29	8	3.02	77%	0.37	42.5	2.5%	0	1.6	62	NAN
13	Mar_22_2010	50.78	59.16	59.94	59.66	59.6	58.95	59.95(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-80	-12	-9	1.82	76%	0.36	35.6	2.46%	0	0.5	54	NAN
14	Mar_19_2010	50.6	59.16	59.95	59.72	59.93	59.3	58.16(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-60	-28	-10	3.04	74%	0.26	43.1	2.43%	0	-0.5	48	NAN
15	Mar_18_2010	50.47	59.03	60.22	60.16	60.15	60.25	59.33(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	10	-9	22	3.89	74%	0.3	58.9	2.43%	0	0.2	66	NAN

16	Mar_17_2010	50.32	58.94	60.27	60.18	60.29	60.57	60.17(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	40	15	47	3.46	74%	0.28	72.4	2.42%	0	0.7	73	NAN
17	Mar_16_2010	50.18	58.76	60.19	60.19	59.94	60.05	60.7(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	0	-1	55	3.56	74%	0.26	84	2.42%	0	1.1	76	NAN
18	Mar_15_2010	50.05	58.58	60.04	60.28	60.02	60.01	60.22(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10	3	74	2.59	74%	0.24	107.5	2.42%	0	0.9	76	NAN
19	Mar_12_2010	49.93	58.32	59.93	60.24	60.18	59.82	60.37(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-40	-6	79	2.22	74%	0.22	112.6	2.41%	0	1.1	65	NAN
20	Mar_11_2010	49.82	58.05	59.59	60.3	60.22	60.04	59.44(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-20	-14	74	2.39	74%	0.2	122.7	2.43%	0	0.7	57	NAN

21	Mar_10_2010	49.72	57.7	59.29	60.36	60.45	60.55	60.23(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	20	9	81	4.11	74%	0.2	105.6	2.43%	0	1.1	63	NAN
22	Mar_9_2010	49.62	57.32	58.88	60.15	60.2	60.4	61.13(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	30	9	76	2.5	74%	0.22	98.4	2.42%	0	1.5	71	NAN
23	Mar_8_2010	49.51	56.78	58.33	59.77	59.97	60.36	60.02(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	60	14	65	2.07	74%	0.22	91.1	2.42%	0	1.2	63	NAN
24	Mar_5_2010	49.4	56.32	58.04	59.56	59.69	60	60.7(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	27	76	2.55	76%	0.24	92.7	2.42%	0	1.5	74	NAN
25	Mar_4_2010	49.28	55.79	57.73	58.78	59.13	59.58	59.73(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	70	25	69	2.61	76%		90.8	2.43%	0	1.3	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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