Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $61.8100 (-0.87%) ($61.7600 - $63.2000) on Wed. Mar. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $61.8100(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(68%)    SPY(68%)    EWG(62%)    PEJ(61%)    EEM(59%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.32(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.28(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.78(3.4%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   36.9%
Market Cap   $9.123b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.5%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2010	51.14	59.78	60.28	60.32	60.37	61.79	61.81(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	170	46	19	3.13	77%	0.33	52	2.51%	0	1.2	58	NAN
2	Mar_23_2010	50.97	59.5	60.1	59.99	59.71	60.12	62.35(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	30	29	8	3.02	77%	0.37	42.5	2.5%	0	1.6	62	NAN
3	Mar_22_2010	50.78	59.16	59.94	59.66	59.6	58.95	59.95(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-80	-12	-9	1.82	76%	0.36	35.6	2.46%	0	0.5	54	NAN
4	Mar_19_2010	50.6	59.16	59.95	59.72	59.93	59.3	58.16(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-60	-28	-10	3.04	74%	0.26	43.1	2.43%	0	-0.5	48	NAN
5	Mar_18_2010	50.47	59.03	60.22	60.16	60.15	60.25	59.33(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	10	-9	22	3.89	74%	0.3	58.9	2.43%	0	0.2	66	NAN

6	Mar_17_2010	50.32	58.94	60.27	60.18	60.29	60.57	60.17(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	40	15	47	3.46	74%	0.28	72.4	2.42%	0	0.7	73	NAN
7	Mar_16_2010	50.18	58.76	60.19	60.19	59.94	60.05	60.7(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	0	-1	55	3.56	74%	0.26	84	2.42%	0	1.1	76	NAN
8	Mar_15_2010	50.05	58.58	60.04	60.28	60.02	60.01	60.22(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10	3	74	2.59	74%	0.24	107.5	2.42%	0	0.9	76	NAN
9	Mar_12_2010	49.93	58.32	59.93	60.24	60.18	59.82	60.37(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-40	-6	79	2.22	74%	0.22	112.6	2.41%	0	1.1	65	NAN
10	Mar_11_2010	49.82	58.05	59.59	60.3	60.22	60.04	59.44(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-20	-14	74	2.39	74%	0.2	122.7	2.43%	0	0.7	57	NAN

11	Mar_10_2010	49.72	57.7	59.29	60.36	60.45	60.55	60.23(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	20	9	81	4.11	74%	0.2	105.6	2.43%	0	1.1	63	NAN
12	Mar_9_2010	49.62	57.32	58.88	60.15	60.2	60.4	61.13(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	30	9	76	2.5	74%	0.22	98.4	2.42%	0	1.5	71	NAN
13	Mar_8_2010	49.51	56.78	58.33	59.77	59.97	60.36	60.02(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	60	14	65	2.07	74%	0.22	91.1	2.42%	0	1.2	63	NAN
14	Mar_5_2010	49.4	56.32	58.04	59.56	59.69	60	60.7(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	27	76	2.55	76%	0.24	92.7	2.42%	0	1.5	74	NAN
15	Mar_4_2010	49.28	55.79	57.73	58.78	59.13	59.58	59.73(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	70	25	69	2.61	76%	0.24	90.8	2.43%	0	1.3	72	NAN

16	Mar_3_2010	49.16	55.39	57.48	58.04	58.28	59.39	59.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	150	38	79	2.72	76%	0.24	94.8	2.44%	0	1.3	79	NAN
17	Mar_2_2010	49.04	54.99	57.2	57.39	57.18	58.67	59.24(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	170	51	87	3.11	68%	0.25	95.9	2.44%	0	1.4	77	NAN
18	Mar_1_2010	48.92	54.39	56.96	56.67	56.4	57.17	58.96(3.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	80	37	87	2.34	70%	0.25	80.7	2.67%	0	1.4	81	NAN
19	Feb_26_2010	48.8	53.72	56.55	56.32	55.97	55.69	56.78(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-50	-6	81	1.67	66%	0.21	67	2.68%	0	0.9	76	NAN
20	Feb_25_2010	48.7	53.18	56.37	56.55	56.36	55.63	56.03(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-100	-22	100	2.19	66%	0.23	59.5	2.7%	0	0.7	75	NAN

21	Feb_24_2010	48.59	52.71	56.02	56.84	56.98	56.25	55.95(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-80	-18	113	2.43	66%	0.25	53.6	2.7%	0	0.8	65	NAN
22	Feb_23_2010	48.47	52.29	55.68	56.94	57.14	57.08	55.64(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	0	-17	123	2.45	66%	0.25	47.4	2.71%	0	0.8	66	NAN
23	Feb_22_2010	48.35	51.89	55.18	57.23	57.26	57.71	57.18(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	60	18	163	1.99	66%	0.31	45	2.69%	0	1.3	80	NAN
24	Feb_19_2010	48.2	51.41	54.53	56.79	56.98	57.2	57.93(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	40	24	182	1.95	66%	0.33	37.6	2.69%	0	1.6	85	NAN
25	Feb_18_2010	48.04	50.95	53.75	56.17	56.21	56.81	57.49(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	80	25	192	1.75	66%		32.1	2.7%	0	1.7	82	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.