Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2005

Trading Signals: CMI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Cummins Inc.)
CMI latest price $18.7100 (0.11%) ($18.4100 - $18.8700) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $18.7100(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMI advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(69%)    IWM(67%)    EEM(65%)    VWO(64%)    EWG(63%)
Factors Impacting CMI price   CMI will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.75(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.59(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.32(2.13%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $2.762b

Cummins, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, sale and service of diesel and natural gas engines and powertrain-related technologies, including fuel systems, controls, air handing, filtration, emission, solutions and electrical power generation systems. It operates through the following segments: Engine, Distribution, Components and Power Generation. The Engine segment manufactures and markets a range of diesel and natural gas powered engines under the Cummins brand name, for the heavy- and medium-duty truck, bus, recreational vehicle, light-duty automotive, agricultural, construction, mining, marine, oil and gas, rail and governmental equipment markets. The Distribution segment consists of parts, engines, power generation and service, which service and distributes range of its products and services. The Components segment supplies products which complement its Engine and Power Systems segment, including after treatment systems, turbochargers, filtration products and fuel systems for commercial diesel applications. The Power Generation segment designs and manufactures most of the components that make up power generation systems, including controls, alternators, transfer switches and switchgear. The company was founded by Clessie Lyle Cummins and William Glanton Irwin on February 3, 1919 and is headquartered in Columbus, IN.

$. CMI price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2005	17.73	18.32	18.59	18.75		18.67	18.71(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-30	4	47	3.42	64%	-0.06	77.5	1.97%	0	1	64	NAN
2	Jul_1_2005	17.74	18.27	18.57	18.66	18.74	18.72	18.69(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	6	50	2.17	64%	0	76.3	1.96%	0	1.1	63	NAN
3	Jun_30_2005	17.74	18.23	18.55	18.54	18.62	18.81	18.65(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	80	8	51	3.09	64%	0	77.6	1.95%	0	1.1	64	NAN
4	Jun_29_2005	17.74	18.19	18.5	18.46	18.48	18.76	18.8(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	110	11	51	1.19	60%	0	77.5	1.95%	0	1.5	69	NAN
5	Jun_28_2005	17.74	18.12	18.4	18.45	18.38	18.43	18.88(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	10	7	49	3.97	60%	0	71.7	2.01%	0	1.7	70	NAN

6	Jun_27_2005	17.74	18.02	18.31	18.42	18.41	18.19	18.3(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-90	-8	44	2.82	57%	0	72.4	1.99%	0	0.7	60	NAN
7	Jun_24_2005	17.74	17.97	18.29	18.47	18.53	18.33	18.08(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-70	-14	51	4.44	57%	0	74.8	2%	0	0.2	59	NAN
8	Jun_23_2005	17.74	17.93	18.27	18.56	18.61	18.63	18.25(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	20	-1	67	4.41	57%	0	76.1	2%	0	0.7	60	NAN
9	Jun_22_2005	17.74	17.87	18.22	18.53	18.58	18.74	18.72(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	70	16	70	1.72	60%	-0.06	71.2	1.98%	0	1.7	70	NAN
10	Jun_21_2005	17.75	17.79	18.13	18.35	18.39	18.6	18.75(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	90	17	62	3.89	60%	-0.06	69.8	1.98%	0	2	79	NAN

11	Jun_20_2005	17.76	17.72	18.03	18.19	18.18	18.42	18.56(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	26	90	14	60	2.94	60%	0	78.2	1.98%	0	1.9	81	NAN
12	Jun_17_2005	17.76	17.64	17.95	18.08	18.06	18.18	18.51(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	40	15	59	3.4	60%	0	89.2	1.99%	0	2.1	73	NAN
13	Jun_16_2005	17.76	17.57	17.87	17.95	17.96	17.95	18.1(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-0	5	54	3.89	55%	0	102.4	1.97%	0	1.4	69	NAN
14	Jun_15_2005	17.76	17.52	17.85	17.88	17.91	17.93	17.81(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	10	1	61	2.13	55%	-0.06	100	1.98%	0	0.8	69	NAN
15	Jun_14_2005	17.77	17.46	17.8	17.86	17.87	17.97	17.97(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	40	3	64	2.49	55%	0	88.5	1.97%	0	1.2	67	NAN

16	Jun_13_2005	17.77	17.38	17.71	17.84	17.84	17.9	18.01(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	20	7	60	1.46	55%	-0.06	74.5	1.98%	0	1.4	64	NAN
17	Jun_10_2005	17.78	17.28	17.63	17.84	17.83	17.76	17.86(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-20	-0	56	2.16	55%	-0.06	53.9	1.97%	0	1.1	66	NAN
18	Jun_9_2005	17.79	17.2	17.57	17.79	17.82	17.78	17.73(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10	-5	56	4.41	55%	-0.11	44.6	1.97%	0	1	61	NAN
19	Jun_8_2005	17.81	17.15	17.5	17.82	17.86	17.89	17.75(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	20	7	66	2.37	55%	-0.06	45	1.98%	0	1.1	66	NAN
20	Jun_7_2005	17.82	17.1	17.44	17.73	17.79	17.86	17.87(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	40	15	71	3.65	55%	0	43.1	1.98%	0	1.5	73	NAN

21	Jun_6_2005	17.82	17.05	17.38	17.55	17.58	17.82	17.74(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	100	11	68	2.84	55%	-0.11	33	1.98%	0	1.4	74	NAN
22	Jun_3_2005	17.84	17.01	17.32	17.45	17.4	17.73	17.84(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	120	19	79	3.11	57%	-0.06	29.3	2%	0	1.8	80	NAN
23	Jun_2_2005	17.85	16.96	17.25	17.32	17.24	17.35	17.9(3.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	36	30	19	85	9	57%	-0.06	23.6	2.01%	0	2.3	76	NAN
24	Jun_1_2005	17.86	16.92	17.15	17.14	17.13	17.08	17.28(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-20	0	66	3.9	56%	-0.06	11.6	1.95%	0	1	57	NAN
25	May_31_2005	17.87	16.88	17.08	17.12	17.12	17.13	16.99(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	0	-5	59	3.29	54%		-2.4	1.98%	0	0.3	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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