Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $879.1800 (0.97%) ($873.2000 - $882.9700) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $879.1800(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(64%)    IVW(63%)    VUG(63%)    QQQ(62%)    IWO(61%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-10%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $872.68(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $866.7(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $856.39(2.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $24.61b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(46%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(51%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(49%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.06%(37%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2020	815.19	856.39	866.7	872.68	874.63	877.43	879.18(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	30	164	113	0.26	50%	0.07	83.6	1.29%	0	1.7	73	1.1
2	Jan_21_2020	814.66	854.13	864.7	868.69	870.9	875.63	870.73(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	217	50	241	143	0.3	50%	0.04	78.8	1.33%	0	1.2	71	1.4
3	Jan_17_2020	814.32	852.29	863.41	867.14	866.66	871.84	878.15(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	271	40	303	174	0.36	50%	0.04	77.5	1.33%	0	1.8	76	1.9
4	Jan_16_2020	813.97	849.7	861.91	863.06	863	866.17	870.24(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	204	30	224	145	0.24	50%	0.04	76.2	1.33%	0	1.5	71	2.2
5	Jan_15_2020	813.65	847.76	860.64	861.55	860.98	861.49	865.09(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	0	47	85	0.28	50%	0.03	78.2	1.33%	0	1.2	74	2

6	Jan_14_2020	813.41	845.66	858.02	859.88	861.76	859.84	859.22(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10	-21	58	0.24	50%	0.04	75.5	1.33%	0	1	73	2.3
7	Jan_13_2020	813.08	843.54	855.9	860.05	861.61	860.47	863(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-84	-0	-119	22	0.3	50%	0.07	71.2	1.33%	0	1.4	69	2.5
8	Jan_10_2020	812.49	841	853.37	859.05	861.62	863.68	857.77(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	30	42	87	0.3	50%	0.05	64.6	1.32%	0	1.1	67	1.4
9	Jan_9_2020	812.09	839.23	851.54	860.53	861.21	862.75	862.67(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	153	10	156	145	0.46	55%	0.04	68.3	1.32%	0	1.5	74	1.4
10	Jan_8_2020	811.73	836.95	848.24	859.63	859.74	859.56	856.73(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	71	-0	60	102	0.26	55%	0.05	70.9	1.36%	0	1.3	66	0.7

11	Jan_7_2020	811.35	835.39	845.47	855.71	857.17	859.66	860.08(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	123	30	124	121	0.25	55%	0.05	68.5	1.36%	0	1.6	73	0.6
12	Jan_6_2020	810.94	833.43	842.83	850.9	851.51	859.92	858.02(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	296	70	328	198	0.41	55%	0.05	67.9	1.37%	0	1.8	76	0.6
13	Jan_3_2020	810.52	831.44	840.31	846.66	845.59	854.68	865.13(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	489	70	556	289	0.42	55%	0.07	66.5	1.37%	0	2.6	82	0.5
14	Jan_2_2020	809.95	828.56	836.31	841.35	839.91	843.11	858.19(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	297	20	333	188	0.49	51%	0.07	66.4	1.37%	0	2.9	68	1.3
15	Dec_31_2019	809.39	826.29	833.46	835.49	836.2	836.5	837.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	52	66	0.28	46%	0.03	73.8	1.37%	0	1.2	64	0.9

16	Dec_30_2019	809.14	825.12	832.09	833.73	833.62	836.72	836.07(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	30	43	56	0.21	51%	0.02	90.7	1.38%	0	1.2	55	0.4
17	Dec_27_2019	808.96	824.01	830.13	833.42	833.01	835.91	836.79(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	181	20	203	116	0.2	51%	0.03	114.3	1.42%	0	1.5	58	0.9
18	Dec_26_2019	808.73	822.96	827.67	832.85	832.47	830.51	838.6(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-20	39	45	0.26	51%	0.08	140.6	1.42%	0	1.9	61	1.2
19	Dec_24_2019	808.1	821.77	825.99	830.5	831.5	830.11	828.89(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-142	-10	-176	-40	0.09	47%	0.06	179.1	1.4%	0	1	63	1.3
20	Dec_23_2019	807.61	819.79	824.91	831.13	832.47	834.43	828.29(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	88	20	93	71	0.29	47%	0.04	137.5	1.43%	0	0.8	58	1.2

21	Dec_20_2019	807.25	817.2	824.72	830.03	830.72	832.88	834.53(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	148	20	163	102	0.36	47%	0.06	105.1	1.43%	0	1.2	62	1.5
22	Dec_19_2019	806.8	814.26	823.41	826.19	827.22	830.51	833.92(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	150	30	167	97	0.34	47%	0.05	92.6	1.43%	0	1.2	62	1.8
23	Dec_18_2019	806.41	811.44	821.9	821.65	822.87	828.56	826.88(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	203	50	233	113	0.42	47%	0.03	85.8	1.43%	0	0.9	56	1.7
24	Dec_17_2019	806.19	808.57	820.21	820.82	819.55	823.93	832.05(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	229	30	265	121	0.43	52%	0.03	79.1	1.44%	0	1.2	60	2.1
25	Dec_16_2019	805.96	805.58	818.4	817.96	818.33	817.18	822.79(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	-10	71	48	0.27	52%		79.8	1.48%	0	0.8	71	2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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