Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 13, 2018

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $326.8000 (0.94%) ($323.3700 - $328.9100) on Tue. Mar. 13, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.14% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $326.8000(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(57%)    IVW(56%)    VUG(56%)    QQQ(55%)    SKYY(55%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    XHB(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.57% (StdDev 3.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $322.91(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $320.62(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $312.64(4.53%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $9.148b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.48% (three month std-dev: 3.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 9.22%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 6.17%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.39%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 14.99%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.41%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2018	302.91	312.64	320.62	322.91	323.26	325.04	326.8(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	40	53	42	0.66	49%	0.02	77.2	3.14%	0	0.8	55	1.1
2	Mar_12_2018	302.85	309.24	319.79	321.15	321.23	323.16	323.76(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	40	39	32	0.63	49%	-0	51.2	3.14%	0	0.7	56	1.4
3	Mar_9_2018	302.86	306.01	318.63	320.43	320.06	321.49	322.16(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	39	33	0.57	49%	-0.01	33.7	3.12%	0	0.7	66	1.9
4	Mar_8_2018	302.89	303.3	317.98	320	319.75	319.3	321.86(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10	28	44	0.54	49%	0.01	22.7	3.15%	0	0.8	76	0.8
5	Mar_7_2018	302.85	300.86	317.18	318.28	318.29	318.62	319.95(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	10	-19	33	0.38	49%	-0.03	11	3.15%	0	0.8	72	0.7

6	Mar_6_2018	302.95	299.94	317.2	317.97	317.7	320.2	318.04(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	50	33	94	0.54	49%	-0.01	7.6	3.15%	0	0.7	83	0.4
7	Mar_5_2018	302.98	298.93	317.14	318.19	317.98	317.95	320.16(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	-0	45	139	0.79	49%	-0.02	2	3.16%	0	0.9	82	0.4
8	Mar_2_2018	303.04	298.3	315.77	316.54	318.11	315.21	319.99(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-50	-42	133	0.84	49%	0.02	-3.4	3.15%	0	0.9	81	-0.1
9	Mar_1_2018	302.98	297.82	312.67	315.71	318	318.01	313.26(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	20	-46	146	1.1	49%	0.01	-8.2	3.16%	0	0.7	72	-0.7
10	Feb_28_2018	302.96	298.16	310.54	315.84	317.84	321	318.41(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	90	54	203	0.91	55%	0.03	-8.9	3.18%	0	0.8	69	-0.4

11	Feb_27_2018	302.88	298.09	304.31	316.35	317.06	317.99	319.15(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	86	30	56	177	1.75	55%	0.05	-9.6	3.22%	0	0.9	54	-0.2
12	Feb_26_2018	302.72	298.45	298.13	316.03	316.68	314.68	311.89(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-40	-12	126	0.91	55%	0.01	-9.4	3.22%	0	0.5	54	0.2
13	Feb_23_2018	302.68	299.12	292.72	314.78	315.8	316.13	315.82(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	37	20	15	101	0.96	55%	0.02	-12.9	3.22%	0	0.6	51	-0.1
14	Feb_22_2018	302.62	299.75	287.69	308.94	311.2	318.69	313.91(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	118	190	125	95	1.29	55%	0.02	-19.2	3.24%	0	0.5	49	-0.5
15	Feb_21_2018	302.55	300.3	283.32	304.14	304.16	315.46	320.96(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	246	260	290	112	1.9	55%	0.06	-24.6	3.23%	0	0.8	47	-0.6

16	Feb_20_2018	302.36	300.43	280.97	290.22	295.72	303.71	317.57(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	265	250	330	68	2.74	55%	0.03	-37.6	3.23%	0	0.6	47	-0.6
17	Feb_16_2018	302.26	300.81	278.59	277.59	281.33	292.85	305.63(6.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	138	330	200	-47	2.74	53%	-0.04	-47.3	3.2%	0	0.2	41	-0.5
18	Feb_15_2018	302.37	302.49	278.54	267.56	270.99	287.73	286.65(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	273	470	373	-28	1.21	48%	-0.09	-52.6	3.09%	0	-0.5	35	-0.4
19	Feb_14_2018	302.65	304.96	280.91	263.43	263.47	269.81	289.91(15.35%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	208	170	304	-81	5.38	48%	-0.1	-53.9	3.09%	0	-0.5	35	-0.5
20	Feb_13_2018	302.95	307.14	283.87	259.89	258.96	254.25	251.33(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-202	-140	-155	-342	1.52	32%	-0.24	-55.3	2.4%	0	-1.9	13	-1.2

21	Feb_12_2018	303.67	311.18	291	270.49	263.93	257.13	254.45(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-319	-250	-304	-364	1.95	32%	-0.2	-49.6	2.4%	0	-2.1	14	-1.4
22	Feb_9_2018	304.28	315.09	298.86	279.66	275.2	263.67	255.46(-3.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-327	-340	-325	-333	3.06	32%	-0.2	-45.1	2.41%	0	-2.5	14	-1.7
23	Feb_8_2018	304.88	318.89	306.58	290.9	286.92	270.74	266.01(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-476	-440	-510	-375	1.89	34%	-0.16	-36.8	2.36%	0	-2.7	14	-2.5
24	Feb_7_2018	305.36	321.99	313.63	300.64	298.27	286.72	272.21(-10.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-462	-290	-504	-336	4.78	34%	-0.1	-26.9	2.34%	0	-3.2	21	-1.8
25	Feb_6_2018	305.68	324.65	319.72	311.15	308.05	303.11	304.33(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-272	-140	-285	-231	2.09	45%		-1.5	1.91%	0	-1.9	32	-2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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