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     Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)

CMG latest price $318.3800 (1.59%) ($311.1500 - $318.6700) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.6% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $318.3800(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  CMG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  CMG advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(55%)    IWF(55%)    VUG(55%)    QQQ(54%)    XLY(54%)  
Factors Impacting CMG price  CMG will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $314.4(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average  $311.98(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $297.89(6.88%)
To recent high  -3.3%
To recent low  18.5%
Market Cap  $8.912b
 
 
 

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2   Average positive next day return: 0.23%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -0.33%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.27%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next weekly return: 0.72%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -0.12%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20180112

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Dec_12_2017308.48297.89311.98314.4 313.86 314.8318.38(1.59%)UTHoldLong650.3   41   20   10   133   0.7    50%-0.0765.42.6%01.379INF
2Dec_11_2017308.7295.83308.9313.83 313.37 314.64313.39(-0.79%)UDOpenLong75-0   55   20   25   143   0.69    50%-0.166.92.6%01.273INF
3Dec_8_2017309.02294.1305.29314.28 314.03 312.91315.9(0.72%)UTOpenLong750.1   43   -30   13   133   1.87    46%-0.1371.52.6%01.567INF
4Dec_7_2017309.43292.02301.74312.61 314.61 312.1313.65(0.96%)N/AN/A00.1   -2   -40   -37   103   0.99    46%-0.1969.62.69%01.569INF
5Dec_6_2017310.02290298.55310.76 313.28 315.15310.67(-1.55%)UDOpenLong65-0   22   70   -6   107   0.82    49%-0.2170.22.69%01.566INF
 
6Dec_5_2017310.67288.14295.45309.03 310.89 317.13315.56(-0.01%)UDOpenLong750.5   170   160   169   171   1.17    46%-0.2571.12.71%02.172INF
7Dec_4_2017311.45286.05292.08303.09 306.42 311.41315.6(2.6%)UTOpenLong751   230   150   246   181   2.69    46%-0.2668.62.75%02.574INF
8Dec_1_2017312.26283.84289.22294.87 297 304.65307.59(1.05%)UTOpenLong751.3   143   200   152   116   1.18    46%-0.357.42.75%02.469INF
9Nov_30_2017313.19282.31286.66289.21 289.72 301.43304.39(0.79%)UTOpenLong751.8   263   290   298   158   1.49    46%-0.3492.73%02.770INF
10Nov_29_2017314.13280.53284.56284.59 283.83 289.35301.99(5.64%)UTOpenLong752.5   236   130   270   135   3.29    46%-0.336.22.73%03.170INF
 
11Nov_28_2017315.08278.94282.27280.09 279.26 278.01285.86(4.13%)N/AN/A01.1   -4   -40   -9   10   1.33    41%-0.39-22.12.64%01.461INF
12Nov_27_2017316.31278.1281.44279.57 279.66 278.32274.52(-1.71%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -65   -30   -80   -19   0.97    37%-0.44-67.92.59%0-0.751INF
13Nov_24_2017317.71278.21282.04282.64 282.17 280.52279.31(-0.7%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -19   -50   -31   19   0.34    40%-0.72-94.12.6%00.259INF
14Nov_22_2017320278.29281.71283.51 283.85 281.01281.27(0.63%)N/AN/A0-0.4   -51   -70   -70   5   0.6    38%-0.12-1292.61%00.652INF
15Nov_21_2017320.39278.06281.05284.35 285.06 283.82279.51(-1.32%)CRSmallShort-20-0.4   -40   -20   -59   17   0.77    38%-0.44-73.72.61%00.161INF
 
16Nov_20_2017321.79280.05280.63284.63 285.36 286.7283.25(-2.27%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   35   40   28   56   0.76    38%-0.41-59.92.61%00.262INF
17Nov_17_2017323.13281.68279.89283.48 283.81 286.31289.84(2.16%)UTOpenLong750.4   88   70   90   82   1.28    37%-0.4-52.72.6%00.572INF
18Nov_16_2017324.43283.16278.2281.4 280.31 284.01283.7(-0.61%)UDOpenLong750.1   78   80   81   68   0.8    37%-0.41-50.52.59%0057INF
19Nov_15_2017325.78285.02277.69279.66 278.24 281.31285.45(1.62%)UTOpenLong750.3   111   60   123   76   1.06    37%-0.4-47.92.59%0052INF
20Nov_14_2017327.08286.49276.14277.35 276.05 276.6280.9(1.23%)UTOpenLong750.2   44   -0   48   30   0.98    37%-0.41-45.72.58%0-0.353INF
 
21Nov_13_2017328.42288.73275.22276.07 274.58 275.18277.5(-0.7%)DTOpenShort-750.1   -18   -0   -11   -39   1.82    37%-0.42-42.62.58%0-0.526INF
22Nov_10_2017329.81290.78274.38275.72 275.05 275.5279.45(1.62%)N/AN/A00.2   17   0   42   -57   1.06    35%-0.43-38.82.58%0-0.529INF
23Nov_9_2017331.24293.02273.96274.54 274.25 273.98275(0.4%)DPOpenShort-750   -45   -10   -19   -122   0.82    35%-0.43-372.6%0-0.825INF
24Nov_8_2017332.68294.99274.53275.43 274.62 274.6273.9(-0.22%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -34   -10   2   -142   0.6    34%-0.46-362.6%0-0.924INF
25Nov_7_2017334.22296.92274.82274.69 274.75 274.52274.5(-0.46%)DPOpenShort-65-0   -37   -10   8   -172   0.77    34%-372.61%0-130INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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