Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $318.3800 (1.59%) ($311.1500 - $318.6700) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $318.3800(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(55%)    IWF(55%)    VUG(55%)    QQQ(54%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $314.4(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $311.98(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $297.89(6.88%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $8.912b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	308.48	297.89	311.98	314.4	313.86	314.8	318.38(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	20	10	133	0.7	50%	-0.07	65.4	2.6%	0	1.3	79	INF
2	Dec_11_2017	308.7	295.83	308.9	313.83	313.37	314.64	313.39(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	55	20	25	143	0.69	50%	-0.1	66.9	2.6%	0	1.2	73	INF
3	Dec_8_2017	309.02	294.1	305.29	314.28	314.03	312.91	315.9(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-30	13	133	1.87	46%	-0.13	71.5	2.6%	0	1.5	67	INF
4	Dec_7_2017	309.43	292.02	301.74	312.61	314.61	312.1	313.65(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-40	-37	103	0.99	46%	-0.19	69.6	2.69%	0	1.5	69	INF
5	Dec_6_2017	310.02	290	298.55	310.76	313.28	315.15	310.67(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	70	-6	107	0.82	49%	-0.21	70.2	2.69%	0	1.5	66	INF

6	Dec_5_2017	310.67	288.14	295.45	309.03	310.89	317.13	315.56(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	170	160	169	171	1.17	46%	-0.25	71.1	2.71%	0	2.1	72	INF
7	Dec_4_2017	311.45	286.05	292.08	303.09	306.42	311.41	315.6(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	230	150	246	181	2.69	46%	-0.26	68.6	2.75%	0	2.5	74	INF
8	Dec_1_2017	312.26	283.84	289.22	294.87	297	304.65	307.59(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	143	200	152	116	1.18	46%	-0.3	57.4	2.75%	0	2.4	69	INF
9	Nov_30_2017	313.19	282.31	286.66	289.21	289.72	301.43	304.39(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	263	290	298	158	1.49	46%	-0.3	49	2.73%	0	2.7	70	INF
10	Nov_29_2017	314.13	280.53	284.56	284.59	283.83	289.35	301.99(5.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	236	130	270	135	3.29	46%	-0.3	36.2	2.73%	0	3.1	70	INF

11	Nov_28_2017	315.08	278.94	282.27	280.09	279.26	278.01	285.86(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-4	-40	-9	10	1.33	41%	-0.39	-22.1	2.64%	0	1.4	61	INF
12	Nov_27_2017	316.31	278.1	281.44	279.57	279.66	278.32	274.52(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-65	-30	-80	-19	0.97	37%	-0.44	-67.9	2.59%	0	-0.7	51	INF
13	Nov_24_2017	317.71	278.21	282.04	282.64	282.17	280.52	279.31(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-50	-31	19	0.34	40%	-0.72	-94.1	2.6%	0	0.2	59	INF
14	Nov_22_2017	320	278.29	281.71	283.51	283.85	281.01	281.27(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-51	-70	-70	5	0.6	38%	-0.12	-129	2.61%	0	0.6	52	INF
15	Nov_21_2017	320.39	278.06	281.05	284.35	285.06	283.82	279.51(-1.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-40	-20	-59	17	0.77	38%	-0.44	-73.7	2.61%	0	0.1	61	INF

16	Nov_20_2017	321.79	280.05	280.63	284.63	285.36	286.7	283.25(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	40	28	56	0.76	38%	-0.41	-59.9	2.61%	0	0.2	62	INF
17	Nov_17_2017	323.13	281.68	279.89	283.48	283.81	286.31	289.84(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	70	90	82	1.28	37%	-0.4	-52.7	2.6%	0	0.5	72	INF
18	Nov_16_2017	324.43	283.16	278.2	281.4	280.31	284.01	283.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	78	80	81	68	0.8	37%	-0.41	-50.5	2.59%	0	0	57	INF
19	Nov_15_2017	325.78	285.02	277.69	279.66	278.24	281.31	285.45(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	111	60	123	76	1.06	37%	-0.4	-47.9	2.59%	0	0	52	INF
20	Nov_14_2017	327.08	286.49	276.14	277.35	276.05	276.6	280.9(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-0	48	30	0.98	37%	-0.41	-45.7	2.58%	0	-0.3	53	INF

21	Nov_13_2017	328.42	288.73	275.22	276.07	274.58	275.18	277.5(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-0	-11	-39	1.82	37%	-0.42	-42.6	2.58%	0	-0.5	26	INF
22	Nov_10_2017	329.81	290.78	274.38	275.72	275.05	275.5	279.45(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	0	42	-57	1.06	35%	-0.43	-38.8	2.58%	0	-0.5	29	INF
23	Nov_9_2017	331.24	293.02	273.96	274.54	274.25	273.98	275(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10	-19	-122	0.82	35%	-0.43	-37	2.6%	0	-0.8	25	INF
24	Nov_8_2017	332.68	294.99	274.53	275.43	274.62	274.6	273.9(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-34	-10	2	-142	0.6	34%	-0.46	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	24	INF
25	Nov_7_2017	334.22	296.92	274.82	274.69	274.75	274.52	274.5(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	-10	8	-172	0.77	34%		-37	2.61%	0	-1	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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