Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $315.6000 (2.6%) ($309.7900 - $333.3300) on Mon. Dec. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $315.6000(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    XLY(54%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $303.09(4.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $292.08(8.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $286.05(10.33%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $8.834b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 4.17% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 2.3%(37%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(63%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.91%(67%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 3.54%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.12%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2017	311.45	286.05	292.08	303.09	306.42	311.41	315.6(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	230	150	246	181	2.69	46%	-0.26	68.6	2.75%	0	2.5	74	0
2	Dec_1_2017	312.26	283.84	289.22	294.87	297	304.65	307.59(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	143	200	152	116	1.18	46%	-0.3	57.4	2.75%	0	2.4	69	0
3	Nov_30_2017	313.19	282.31	286.66	289.21	289.72	301.43	304.39(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	263	290	298	158	1.49	46%	-0.3	49	2.73%	0	2.7	70	0
4	Nov_29_2017	314.13	280.53	284.56	284.59	283.83	289.35	301.99(5.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	236	130	270	135	3.29	46%	-0.3	36.2	2.73%	0	3.1	70	0
5	Nov_28_2017	315.08	278.94	282.27	280.09	279.26	278.01	285.86(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-4	-40	-9	10	1.33	41%	-0.39	-22.1	2.64%	0	1.4	61	0

6	Nov_27_2017	316.31	278.1	281.44	279.57	279.66	278.32	274.52(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-65	-30	-80	-19	0.97	37%	-0.44	-67.9	2.59%	0	-0.7	51	0
7	Nov_24_2017	317.71	278.21	282.04	282.64	282.17	280.52	279.31(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-19	-50	-31	19	0.34	40%	-0.72	-94.1	2.6%	0	0.2	59	0
8	Nov_22_2017	320	278.29	281.71	283.51	283.85	281.01	281.27(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-51	-70	-70	5	0.6	38%	-0.12	-129	2.61%	0	0.6	52	0
9	Nov_21_2017	320.39	278.06	281.05	284.35	285.06	283.82	279.51(-1.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-40	-20	-59	17	0.77	38%	-0.44	-73.7	2.61%	0	0.1	61	0
10	Nov_20_2017	321.79	280.05	280.63	284.63	285.36	286.7	283.25(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	40	28	56	0.76	38%	-0.41	-59.9	2.61%	0	0.2	62	0

11	Nov_17_2017	323.13	281.68	279.89	283.48	283.81	286.31	289.84(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	70	90	82	1.28	37%	-0.4	-52.7	2.6%	0	0.5	72	0
12	Nov_16_2017	324.43	283.16	278.2	281.4	280.31	284.01	283.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	78	80	81	68	0.8	37%	-0.41	-50.5	2.59%	0	0	57	0
13	Nov_15_2017	325.78	285.02	277.69	279.66	278.24	281.31	285.45(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	111	60	123	76	1.06	37%	-0.4	-47.9	2.59%	0	0	52	0
14	Nov_14_2017	327.08	286.49	276.14	277.35	276.05	276.6	280.9(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-0	48	30	0.98	37%	-0.41	-45.7	2.58%	0	-0.3	53	0
15	Nov_13_2017	328.42	288.73	275.22	276.07	274.58	275.18	277.5(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-0	-11	-39	1.82	37%	-0.42	-42.6	2.58%	0	-0.5	26	0

16	Nov_10_2017	329.81	290.78	274.38	275.72	275.05	275.5	279.45(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	0	42	-57	1.06	35%	-0.43	-38.8	2.58%	0	-0.5	29	0
17	Nov_9_2017	331.24	293.02	273.96	274.54	274.25	273.98	275(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10	-19	-122	0.82	35%	-0.43	-37	2.6%	0	-0.8	25	0
18	Nov_8_2017	332.68	294.99	274.53	275.43	274.62	274.6	273.9(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-34	-10	2	-142	0.6	34%	-0.46	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	24	0
19	Nov_7_2017	334.22	296.92	274.82	274.69	274.75	274.52	274.5(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	-10	8	-172	0.77	34%	-0.55	-37	2.61%	0	-1	30	0
20	Nov_6_2017	336.08	298.81	279.32	274.17	273.96	274.65	275.77(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	20	11	-177	0.84	34%	-0.52	-37.6	2.61%	0	-1	27	0

21	Nov_3_2017	337.85	300.34	283.43	272.76	272.81	274.99	273.53(-2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	60	41	-172	1.19	34%	-0.54	-40.4	2.61%	0	-1.2	32	0
22	Nov_2_2017	339.69	302.17	288.29	273.28	271.93	273.28	279.46(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	38	-173	1.95	34%	-0.53	-41.8	2.61%	0	-1.1	32	0
23	Nov_1_2017	341.51	303.81	292.63	273.69	272.91	270.63	270.2(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-70	-19	-191	1.04	31%	-0.57	-44.4	2.57%	0	-1.6	35	0
24	Oct_31_2017	343.47	305.83	297.49	275.05	274.3	270.59	271.9(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-169	-100	-147	-233	1.31	30%	-0.56	-48	2.58%	0	-1.8	37	0
25	Oct_30_2017	345.39	307.61	303.25	285.53	276.8	275.19	268.7(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-227	-130	-230	-216	1.77	30%		-40.8	2.58%	0	-2.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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