Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $325.2700 (2.21%) ($315.5200 - $325.9981) on Thu. Oct. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $325.2700(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(54%)    IVW(53%)    VUG(53%)    XLY(53%)    QQQ(52%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)    SHY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $323.93(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $317.2(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $314.3(3.49%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $9.105b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(17%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.6%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2017	357.65	314.3	317.2	323.93	322.72	320.49	325.27(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-15	-60	-44	72	0.92	39%	-0.43	54	2%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Oct_18_2017	359.19	313.63	315.67	321.71	322.47	322.67	318.24(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	10	-20	67	1.52	34%	-0.44	50.4	1.98%	0	0.7	51	0
3	Oct_17_2017	360.78	313.32	314.58	320.36	320.3	324.94	329.3(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	133	100	138	118	1.06	36%	-0.09	44.4	2%	0	2.2	59	0
4	Oct_16_2017	361.1	311.98	311.87	316.68	316.32	322.27	320.39(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	212	130	241	126	1.76	33%	-0.45	30.5	1.97%	0	1.3	49	0
5	Oct_13_2017	362.73	311.06	310	313.38	312.2	315.66	326.45(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	167	70	198	74	2.12	33%	-0.43	15.1	1.96%	0	2.4	51	0

6	Oct_12_2017	364.31	310.29	307.96	309.62	308.86	310.38	314.17(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	46	30	63	-7	0.78	29%	-0.46	9.2	1.89%	0	0.7	49	0
7	Oct_11_2017	365.99	310.09	308.03	308.86	307.78	308.74	311.49(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	25	10	39	-19	1	28%	-0.45	0	1.89%	0	0.3	48	0
8	Oct_10_2017	367.66	310.08	308.17	307.92	307.83	307.35	310.88(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	-10	28	-28	1.15	27%	-0.48	-9.9	1.91%	0	0.2	49	0
9	Oct_9_2017	369.42	309.98	308.86	306.34	307.28	306.83	303.92(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-0	-21	-43	0.68	25%	-0.5	-17.7	1.89%	0	-1.1	53	0
10	Oct_6_2017	371.26	310.1	310.5	305.92	306.22	308.31	307.64(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	50	28	-9	1.05	25%	-0.49	-30.6	1.89%	0	-0.4	58	0

11	Oct_5_2017	373.07	309.79	311.17	305.96	305.37	307.74	310.35(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	50	81	13	0.87	25%	-0.46	-42.3	1.89%	0	0.1	48	0
12	Oct_4_2017	374.8	310.09	311.45	307.19	306.01	304.14	306.81(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-50	-11	-15	0.94	25%	-0.51	-34	1.88%	0	-0.5	48	0
13	Oct_3_2017	376.73	310.62	312.06	308.6	308.25	303.01	302.99(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-171	-120	-201	-82	0.83	25%	-0.52	-23.1	1.88%	0	-1.3	44	0
14	Oct_2_2017	378.69	310.95	312.3	311.85	311.99	307.89	301.81(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-194	-90	-231	-81	1.69	25%	-0.5	-10.9	1.88%	0	-1.5	46	0
15	Sep_29_2017	380.61	311.86	312.54	315.65	316.31	313.5	307.83(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-60	-98	-8	1.2	25%	-0.48	14.8	1.87%	0	-0.7	55	0

16	Sep_28_2017	382.45	312.3	313.11	316.95	317.79	316.1	316.53(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-52	-30	-76	22	0.61	27%	-0.45	32.6	1.85%	0	0.7	66	0
17	Sep_27_2017	384.19	312.19	312.5	316.28	317.54	319.13	313.85(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	50	9	47	1.29	27%	-0.44	44.1	1.85%	0	0.3	47	0
18	Sep_26_2017	385.87	312.02	312.26	315.99	316.46	319.49	319.21(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	147	70	162	101	0.81	27%	-0.4	46.8	1.84%	0	1.2	50	0
19	Sep_25_2017	387.42	311.61	311.17	312.83	313.06	315.96	320.83(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	131	70	148	78	1.24	27%	-0.41	35.9	1.84%	0	1.6	58	0
20	Sep_22_2017	389	310.97	309.54	309.04	309	313.44	314.31(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	96	100	118	30	0.93	24%	-0.41	16.6	1.82%	0	0.6	46	0

21	Sep_21_2017	390.61	310.38	308.14	308.8	307.37	310.16	313.22(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	127	50	160	29	0.85	23%	-0.43	1.7	1.83%	0	0.5	48	0
22	Sep_20_2017	392.31	309.63	308.39	308.27	307.09	304.55	312.39(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-70	-11	-41	1.68	21%	-0.45	-16.9	1.83%	0	0.4	48	0
23	Sep_19_2017	394.09	309.29	308.8	308.11	307.76	304.58	303.41(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-150	-80	-168	-96	1.73	19%	-0.45	-30.2	1.97%	0	-0.9	47	0
24	Sep_18_2017	395.87	309.59	309.37	309.2	310.16	309.63	301.87(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-0	-33	-40	1.5	19%	-0.44	-36.5	1.98%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	Sep_15_2017	397.63	310.09	311.16	309.85	310.01	310.95	313.09(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	20	44	3	1.38	20%		-46.6	1.95%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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