Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $458.9100 (1.73%) ($448.6800 - $459.3200) on Mon. Jun. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $458.9100(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(53%)    IWF(53%)    VUG(53%)    XLY(52%)    QQQ(51%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $468.92
5 Day Moving Average   $457.92(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $460.21(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $468.92(-2.13%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $12.846b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.56%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.37%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.26%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2017	446.51	468.92	460.21	457.92	456.83	454.29	458.91(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-89	-50	-76	-126	1.15	67%	0.1	-75	1.27%	0	-1	35	INF
2	Jun_16_2017	446.08	470.2	461.48	458.44	459.05	454.84	451.09(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-214	-60	-222	-191	0.9	65%	0.07	-74.2	1.26%	0	-1.9	24	INF
3	Jun_15_2017	445.75	471.93	464.15	460.4	460.52	459.37	455.67(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-189	-20	-194	-175	0.6	65%	0.08	-76.4	1.25%	0	-1.7	25	INF
4	Jun_14_2017	445.38	473.19	466.86	461.2	461.99	463.26	459.69(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	41	20	75	-60	0.42	65%	0.1	-84	1.25%	0	-1.5	31	INF
5	Jun_13_2017	444.95	474.98	468.62	461.71	461.46	461.66	464.22(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	0	22	-78	0.54	65%	0.13	-70	1.24%	0	-1.1	40	INF

6	Jun_12_2017	444.38	476.49	469.76	462.96	461.95	460.71	461.55(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-108	-30	-101	-128	0.78	65%	0.13	-53.1	1.24%	0	-1.5	31	INF
7	Jun_9_2017	443.8	477.91	471.63	465.17	464.89	461.25	460.85(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-163	-60	-168	-148	0.74	65%	0.12	-42.6	1.25%	0	-1.7	29	INF
8	Jun_8_2017	443.27	479.34	473.72	468.61	468.19	463.18	459.69(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-321	-80	-358	-209	0.74	65%	0.12	-27.9	1.25%	0	-2.2	28	INF
9	Jun_7_2017	442.76	480.76	475.76	473.4	473.52	468.53	462.23(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-257	-70	-290	-158	1.12	63%	0.13	-12.1	1.25%	0	-2.3	36	INF
10	Jun_6_2017	442.19	481.73	477.22	476.42	477.41	473.2	470.48(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-220	-60	-245	-143	0.75	66%	0.07	-7.2	1.25%	0	-1.7	30	INF

11	Jun_5_2017	441.9	481.88	478.48	477.46	478.59	478.52	472.6(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-123	10	-130	-103	0.7	66%	0.15	-7.3	1.25%	0	-1.4	32	INF
12	Jun_2_2017	441.26	482.11	479.72	478.97	478.62	481.62	478.07(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	90	40	120	0	0.61	66%	0.16	0	1.24%	0	-0.6	41	INF
13	Jun_1_2017	440.55	481.9	480.36	479.64	478.49	478.66	483.6(1.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	89	-0	119	-1	0.59	66%	0.16	-3.6	1.24%	0	0.3	46	INF
14	May_31_2017	439.83	481.72	479.95	478.68	478.76	475.63	477.35(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-113	-50	-115	-106	0.65	64%	0.15	-10	1.25%	0	-0.6	43	INF
15	May_30_2017	439.18	482.19	481.71	478.21	479.11	478.33	475.7(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-159	-10	-172	-118	0.61	64%	0.28	-1.4	1.25%	0	-1	49	INF

16	May_26_2017	437.94	482.35	483.61	479.63	480.17	481.88	480.15(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	70	7	0.48	64%	0.21	10.1	1.23%	0	-0.3	60	INF
17	May_25_2017	437.04	482.12	484.52	480.59	480.48	479.9	481.39(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10	31	9	0.65	64%	0.23	10.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	56	INF
18	May_24_2017	436.03	482.15	485.24	481.26	481.51	478.46	478.8(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-108	-40	-131	-37	0.42	64%	0.24	16.5	1.24%	0	-0.5	57	INF
19	May_23_2017	434.97	482.38	486.07	481.47	482.55	481.06	475(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-160	-10	-195	-56	0.55	64%	0.1	20.5	1.24%	0	-1.1	48	INF
20	May_22_2017	434.55	482.31	486.69	485.7	484.2	484.56	482.79(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-48	-0	-68	13	0.62	67%	0.25	37.7	1.23%	0	0.1	47	INF

21	May_19_2017	433.47	481.68	485.73	488.2	487.48	484.05	484.99(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-50	-24	40	0.59	67%	0.26	47.4	1.24%	0	0.4	56	INF
22	May_18_2017	432.35	481.37	484.87	489.07	488.69	483.85	484.74(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-277	-70	-342	-81	0.63	67%	0.24	60.4	1.25%	0	0.5	57	INF
23	May_17_2017	431.32	481.05	483.76	489.83	491.06	490.91	479.83(-3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-83	10	-113	7	0.8	67%	0.22	76.6	1.25%	0	-0.2	49	INF
24	May_16_2017	430.39	480.93	483.85	491.14	491.24	493.52	496.14(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	179	30	192	139	0.92	73%	0.16	92	1.17%	0	1.9	58	INF
25	May_15_2017	429.7	479.52	482.73	487.74	488.07	491.21	495.31(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	195	50	212	142	0.72	73%		96	1.17%	0	2.2	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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