Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $476.9600 (1.8%) ($473.0000 - $481.7700) on Wed. Apr. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $476.9600(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(53%)    IVW(52%)    VUG(52%)    XLY(52%)    QQQ(51%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $467.47(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $460.01(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $446.49(6.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $13.351b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 4.22% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(39%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(61%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(57%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.61%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2017	411.91	446.49	460.01	467.47	468.25	472.63	476.96(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	307	70	326	249	1.1	71%	0.21	89.8	1.28%	0	1.6	83	INF
2	Apr_18_2017	411.06	443.04	457.14	462.67	462.89	467.91	468.51(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	250	80	260	221	0.49	69%	0.18	83.3	1.27%	0	1.3	84	INF
3	Apr_17_2017	410.34	439.51	455.46	459.83	459.01	463.88	469.89(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	331	70	348	279	0.74	69%	0.15	72.3	1.27%	0	1.5	88	INF
4	Apr_13_2017	409.72	436.15	452.94	455.32	454.99	457.86	463.62(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	228	40	225	236	0.97	68%	0.14	62.8	1.28%	0	1.3	87	INF
5	Apr_12_2017	409.16	433.03	450.93	452.65	451.97	454.14	458.35(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	129	30	103	206	0.83	68%	0.13	58	1.27%	0	1.2	85	INF

6	Apr_11_2017	408.62	430.17	448.6	451.47	451.16	452.12	453(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	125	10	94	218	0.83	68%	0.1	56.2	1.27%	0	1.1	81	INF
7	Apr_10_2017	408.2	427.67	446.08	450.75	451.15	449.79	454.28(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-20	-28	189	0.69	72%	0.11	56.4	1.27%	0	1.3	86	INF
8	Apr_7_2017	407.75	425.19	442.35	450.45	451.69	450.2	447.34(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-36	-10	-102	164	0.53	71%	0.11	57.2	1.39%	0	1.1	87	INF
9	Apr_6_2017	407.29	423.16	439.22	450.08	452.61	452.52	450.29(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	20	4	220	0.49	71%	0.12	57	1.4%	0	1.4	81	INF
10	Apr_5_2017	406.8	421.07	435.77	448.81	451.53	453.18	452.44(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	134	40	90	266	0.79	73%	0.14	56.8	1.41%	0	1.7	84	INF

11	Apr_4_2017	406.25	418.66	432.13	445.19	448.63	452.7	449.41(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	247	90	224	315	0.98	73%	0.09	52.3	1.44%	0	1.8	83	INF
12	Apr_3_2017	405.88	416.31	427.96	440.55	443.3	449.88	452.75(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	364	120	367	355	1.36	73%	0.14	45.3	1.45%	0	2.3	83	INF
13	Mar_31_2017	405.3	414.06	422.31	432.99	435.56	444.57	445.52(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	444	160	475	352	0.91	72%	0.14	34.2	1.44%	0	2.4	77	INF
14	Mar_30_2017	404.74	412.39	417.91	426.69	426.81	436.72	443.92(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	463	160	508	327	1.72	72%	0.19	23	1.45%	0	2.8	74	INF
15	Mar_29_2017	403.97	410.8	413.45	420.89	420.1	426.56	434.34(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	390	100	433	259	1.44	70%	0.14	7.5	1.43%	0	2.7	67	INF

16	Mar_28_2017	403.39	409.86	409.97	417.28	416.15	416.89	426.23(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	166	0	177	131	0.94	68%	0.11	-9.5	1.45%	0	2.2	66	INF
17	Mar_27_2017	402.93	409.35	407.52	413.54	413.64	413.63	414.96(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	0	-10	35	0.58	65%	0.11	-34.3	1.42%	0	0.8	60	INF
18	Mar_24_2017	402.47	409.58	406.53	409.82	411.77	415.4	414.02(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	133	80	153	74	0.46	65%	0.1	-51.1	1.42%	0	0.6	51	INF
19	Mar_23_2017	402.06	409.85	405.79	407.53	407.82	413.64	414.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	233	100	276	102	0.59	65%	0.12	-59.1	1.43%	0	0.7	47	INF
20	Mar_22_2017	401.59	410.13	405.19	404.75	404.26	408.15	416.31(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	231	60	280	82	0.98	65%	0.15	-63.9	1.43%	0	0.7	47	INF

21	Mar_21_2017	401	410.57	404.06	401.68	401.69	402	407.52(2.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	50	10	76	-30	1.16	62%	0.12	-62.3	1.41%	0	-0.3	36	INF
22	Mar_20_2017	400.51	411.72	403.75	400.79	400.97	400.37	396.37(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-75	-10	-64	-107	0.77	57%	0.07	-56.4	1.37%	0	-1.6	21	INF
23	Mar_17_2017	400.24	413.3	405.3	402.69	401.88	401.38	402.58(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10	-39	-99	0.56	61%	0.09	-45.9	1.35%	0	-1.1	22	INF
24	Mar_16_2017	399.89	414.41	406.58	403.73	403.15	401.57	400.95(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-90	-30	-82	-115	0.58	65%	0.09	-39.4	1.36%	0	-1.4	20	INF
25	Mar_15_2017	399.54	415.57	408.09	405.63	405.18	402.39	400.96(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-126	-50	-126	-127	0.83	65%		-25.5	1.39%	0	-1.6	19	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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