Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $400.8600 (0.85%) ($396.5000 - $405.2600) on Tue. Aug. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $400.8600(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(51%)    IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    QQQ(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $410.99
5 Day Moving Average   $397.79(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $398.59(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $410.99(-2.46%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $11.221b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.26%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.02%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.73%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2016	427.38	410.99	398.59	397.79	397.84	398.77	400.86(0.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	37	20	67	-54	0.7	38%	-0.18	-27.2	1.86%	0	-0.7	27	INF
2	Aug_15_2016	428.13	411.76	398.7	396.64	396.44	397.22	397.48(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	10	-0	-105	0.7	38%	-0.07	-27.9	1.89%	0	-0.9	21	INF
3	Aug_12_2016	428.44	412.43	400.23	397.42	396.83	396.91	397.33(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-0	11	-117	0.79	38%	-0.18	-25.3	1.89%	0	-1	17	INF
4	Aug_11_2016	429.2	412.94	402.7	398.18	398.09	395.66	398.22(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-40	-44	-150	0.68	38%	-0.18	-23.4	1.9%	0	-1	17	INF
5	Aug_10_2016	429.98	414	405.72	397.98	399.08	396.75	395.07(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-137	-30	-124	-177	0.81	38%	-0.18	-15.9	1.89%	0	-1.4	40	INF

6	Aug_9_2016	430.76	415.18	408.76	399.48	400.31	400.53	395.1(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	10	-44	-136	0.66	42%	-0.16	-8.7	1.89%	0	-1.5	39	INF
7	Aug_8_2016	431.45	415.99	412.3	400.99	401.36	401.42	401.4(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	0	8	-97	0.55	42%	-0.13	-1.6	1.97%	0	-1.1	45	INF
8	Aug_5_2016	432	416.24	416.17	403.52	402.64	400.1	401.13(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-115	-50	-114	-117	0.81	42%	-0.17	7	1.97%	0	-1.2	49	INF
9	Aug_4_2016	432.72	416.34	420.24	408.09	407.33	401.31	397.2(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-192	-110	-217	-117	0.87	42%	-0.24	15.2	1.97%	0	-1.4	50	INF
10	Aug_3_2016	433.77	416.27	422.65	414.76	414.06	405.18	402.56(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-266	-160	-312	-128	0.79	42%	-0.23	23.4	1.97%	0	-1	45	INF

11	Aug_2_2016	434.79	416.35	424.65	419.46	420.18	413.35	402.64(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-286	-110	-341	-119	1.2	45%	-0.27	35.7	1.97%	0	-1	46	INF
12	Aug_1_2016	435.95	416.21	426.28	425.11	425.74	422.93	414.08(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-131	-40	-167	-21	1	47%	-0.05	50.1	1.98%	0	-0.2	55	INF
13	Jul_29_2016	436.17	415.32	426.08	430.59	429.14	427.01	423.99(-1.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-68	-40	-102	33	0.78	48%	-0.03	56.8	1.97%	0	0.6	63	INF
14	Jul_28_2016	436.3	414.27	424.4	434.29	432.71	428.56	430.55(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-33	-80	-67	69	0.84	48%	-0.01	62.6	1.96%	0	1.1	68	INF
15	Jul_27_2016	436.36	413.14	423.12	431.8	432.92	431.28	426.06(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-20	-93	68	0.7	44%	-0.03	66	1.97%	0	0.9	71	INF

16	Jul_26_2016	436.47	411.45	422.19	430.52	429.92	436.86	430.85(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	125	110	116	152	1.1	44%	-0.01	62.4	2.12%	0	1.3	65	INF
17	Jul_25_2016	436.53	409.34	419.96	427.41	426.03	434.56	441.52(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	350	130	381	257	1.48	45%	0.01	54.4	2.1%	0	2.2	72	INF
18	Jul_22_2016	436.48	407.15	416.02	420.89	419.71	422.97	442.48(5.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	213	50	225	177	4.17	45%	0.02	50.3	2.1%	0	2.8	74	INF
19	Jul_21_2016	436.41	405.25	411.57	413.36	414.3	417.5	418.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	60	64	87	2.14	39%	-0.05	51.7	1.98%	0	1.4	59	INF
20	Jul_20_2016	436.62	403.98	408.96	413.35	411.81	416.44	419.68(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	125	70	132	102	0.85	39%	-0.04	54.8	1.99%	0	1.7	54	INF

21	Jul_19_2016	436.81	402.57	407.04	412.74	412.03	411.11	415.31(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-20	103	96	0.91	39%	-0.05	54.1	1.99%	0	1.5	62	INF
22	Jul_18_2016	437.05	401.6	405.15	411.34	411.98	407.19	408.9(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-141	-1	0.75	39%	-0.07	54.6	1.98%	0	0.9	61	INF
23	Jul_15_2016	437.37	400.99	403.7	410.2	411.88	412.95	404.86(-3.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-63	30	-88	12	1.58	42%	-0.09	48.3	1.99%	0	0.5	52	INF
24	Jul_14_2016	437.75	400.44	403.48	409.17	411.56	416.76	417.98(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	216	110	243	136	1.17	46%	-0.05	32	1.99%	0	2.1	53	INF
25	Jul_13_2016	437.98	399.01	402.39	403.73	406.29	410.81	416.63(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	182	100	206	110	1.42	46%		-8.1	2.02%	0	2.4	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.