Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $426.0600 (-1.11%) ($425.6400 - $434.7100) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $426.0600(-1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    IVW(50%)    QQQ(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $431.8(-1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $423.12(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $413.14(3.13%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $11.926b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.76%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.85%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.51%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.59%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2016	436.36	413.14	423.12	431.8	432.92	431.28	426.06(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-20	-93	68	0.7	44%	-0.03	66	1.97%	0	0.9	71	0
2	Jul_26_2016	436.47	411.45	422.19	430.52	429.92	436.86	430.85(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	125	110	116	152	1.1	44%	-0.01	62.4	2.12%	0	1.3	65	0
3	Jul_25_2016	436.53	409.34	419.96	427.41	426.03	434.56	441.52(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	350	130	381	257	1.48	45%	0.01	54.4	2.1%	0	2.2	72	0
4	Jul_22_2016	436.48	407.15	416.02	420.89	419.71	422.97	442.48(5.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	213	50	225	177	4.17	45%	0.02	50.3	2.1%	0	2.8	74	0
5	Jul_21_2016	436.41	405.25	411.57	413.36	414.3	417.5	418.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	60	64	87	2.14	39%	-0.05	51.7	1.98%	0	1.4	59	0

6	Jul_20_2016	436.62	403.98	408.96	413.35	411.81	416.44	419.68(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	125	70	132	102	0.85	39%	-0.04	54.8	1.99%	0	1.7	54	0
7	Jul_19_2016	436.81	402.57	407.04	412.74	412.03	411.11	415.31(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-20	103	96	0.91	39%	-0.05	54.1	1.99%	0	1.5	62	0
8	Jul_18_2016	437.05	401.6	405.15	411.34	411.98	407.19	408.9(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-141	-1	0.75	39%	-0.07	54.6	1.98%	0	0.9	61	0
9	Jul_15_2016	437.37	400.99	403.7	410.2	411.88	412.95	404.86(-3.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-63	30	-88	12	1.58	42%	-0.09	48.3	1.99%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Jul_14_2016	437.75	400.44	403.48	409.17	411.56	416.76	417.98(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	216	110	243	136	1.17	46%	-0.05	32	1.99%	0	2.1	53	0

11	Jul_13_2016	437.98	399.01	402.39	403.73	406.29	410.81	416.63(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	182	100	206	110	1.42	46%	-0.06	-8.1	2.02%	0	2.4	60	0
12	Jul_12_2016	438.24	397.85	399.82	400.61	400.38	406.35	408.34(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	134	100	153	77	0.71	44%	-0.08	-50.6	2%	0	1.7	58	0
13	Jul_11_2016	438.6	397.09	397.87	398.22	398.21	401.77	403.18(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	196	60	230	92	1.01	44%	-0.1	-105.5	1.99%	0	1.1	53	0
14	Jul_8_2016	439.03	397.12	397.53	396.37	395.49	394.42	399.71(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-30	-9	-9	1.07	44%	-0.11	-134.5	1.99%	0	0.4	52	0
15	Jul_7_2016	439.52	397.81	398.31	396.98	395.6	394.66	390.78(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-93	-30	-112	-37	1.75	42%	-0.14	-126.1	1.97%	0	-1	50	0

16	Jul_6_2016	440.13	399.61	398.68	400.72	399.18	396.56	401.05(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-60	-15	20	0.79	44%	-0.11	-85.5	1.95%	0	0.1	57	0
17	Jul_5_2016	440.62	401.04	397.81	398.84	400.49	396.55	396.38(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-102	-60	-124	-34	0.89	44%	-0.13	-75.9	1.95%	0	-0.4	51	0
18	Jul_1_2016	441.19	403.29	397.89	397.32	400.04	401.8	393.91(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	50	-57	-11	1.22	44%	-0.14	-59.9	1.93%	0	-0.6	51	0
19	Jun_30_2016	441.8	405.19	398.27	398.69	399.08	404.43	402.76(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	150	100	173	82	1.07	45%	-0.12	-57.2	1.91%	0	-0.1	48	0
20	Jun_29_2016	442.31	407.04	397.34	399.91	398.11	398.28	409.49(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	112	-10	131	55	1.02	43%	-0.1	-57.2	1.92%	0	0.1	45	0

21	Jun_28_2016	442.75	408.06	395.35	396.61	397.9	393.72	391.67(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-102	-60	-108	-84	0.72	39%	-0.16	-63.7	1.86%	0	-0.8	29	0
22	Jun_27_2016	443.44	410.5	395.75	396.67	397.56	397.95	388.78(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-118	10	-119	-116	1.2	39%	-0.17	-67.4	1.86%	0	-1.1	26	0
23	Jun_24_2016	444.19	413.29	396.37	398.3	397.79	402.08	400.73(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	101	70	148	-40	1.7	41%	-0.14	-65.1	1.84%	0	-0.6	25	0
24	Jun_23_2016	444.8	415.74	396.68	397.61	396.98	397.18	408.89(4.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	81	-0	132	-72	1.58	42%	-0.11	-62.4	1.83%	0	-0.3	36	0
25	Jun_22_2016	445.3	418.02	397.03	394.54	395.59	393.49	392.99(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-124	-30	-97	-206	0.86	37%		-60.4	1.75%	0	-1.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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