Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $418.0700 (-0.38%) ($412.4200 - $420.1600) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $418.0700(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   CMG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    IVW(50%)    QQQ(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    IBUY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $413.36(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $411.57(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $405.25(3.16%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $11.703b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	436.41	405.25	411.57	413.36	414.3	417.5	418.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	60	64	87	2.14	39%	-0.05	51.7	1.98%	0	1.4	59	0
2	Jul_20_2016	436.62	403.98	408.96	413.35	411.81	416.44	419.68(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	125	70	132	102	0.85	39%	-0.04	54.8	1.99%	0	1.7	54	0
3	Jul_19_2016	436.81	402.57	407.04	412.74	412.03	411.11	415.31(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-20	103	96	0.91	39%	-0.05	54.1	1.99%	0	1.5	62	0
4	Jul_18_2016	437.05	401.6	405.15	411.34	411.98	407.19	408.9(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-141	-1	0.75	39%	-0.07	54.6	1.98%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Jul_15_2016	437.37	400.99	403.7	410.2	411.88	412.95	404.86(-3.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-63	30	-88	12	1.58	42%	-0.09	48.3	1.99%	0	0.5	52	0

6	Jul_14_2016	437.75	400.44	403.48	409.17	411.56	416.76	417.98(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	216	110	243	136	1.17	46%	-0.05	32	1.99%	0	2.1	53	0
7	Jul_13_2016	437.98	399.01	402.39	403.73	406.29	410.81	416.63(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	182	100	206	110	1.42	46%	-0.06	-8.1	2.02%	0	2.4	60	0
8	Jul_12_2016	438.24	397.85	399.82	400.61	400.38	406.35	408.34(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	134	100	153	77	0.71	44%	-0.08	-50.6	2%	0	1.7	58	0
9	Jul_11_2016	438.6	397.09	397.87	398.22	398.21	401.77	403.18(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	196	60	230	92	1.01	44%	-0.1	-105.5	1.99%	0	1.1	53	0
10	Jul_8_2016	439.03	397.12	397.53	396.37	395.49	394.42	399.71(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-30	-9	-9	1.07	44%	-0.11	-134.5	1.99%	0	0.4	52	0

11	Jul_7_2016	439.52	397.81	398.31	396.98	395.6	394.66	390.78(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-93	-30	-112	-37	1.75	42%	-0.14	-126.1	1.97%	0	-1	50	0
12	Jul_6_2016	440.13	399.61	398.68	400.72	399.18	396.56	401.05(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-60	-15	20	0.79	44%	-0.11	-85.5	1.95%	0	0.1	57	0
13	Jul_5_2016	440.62	401.04	397.81	398.84	400.49	396.55	396.38(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-102	-60	-124	-34	0.89	44%	-0.13	-75.9	1.95%	0	-0.4	51	0
14	Jul_1_2016	441.19	403.29	397.89	397.32	400.04	401.8	393.91(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	50	-57	-11	1.22	44%	-0.14	-59.9	1.93%	0	-0.6	51	0
15	Jun_30_2016	441.8	405.19	398.27	398.69	399.08	404.43	402.76(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	150	100	173	82	1.07	45%	-0.12	-57.2	1.91%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Jun_29_2016	442.31	407.04	397.34	399.91	398.11	398.28	409.49(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	112	-10	131	55	1.02	43%	-0.1	-57.2	1.92%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Jun_28_2016	442.75	408.06	395.35	396.61	397.9	393.72	391.67(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-102	-60	-108	-84	0.72	39%	-0.16	-63.7	1.86%	0	-0.8	29	0
18	Jun_27_2016	443.44	410.5	395.75	396.67	397.56	397.95	388.78(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-118	10	-119	-116	1.2	39%	-0.17	-67.4	1.86%	0	-1.1	26	0
19	Jun_24_2016	444.19	413.29	396.37	398.3	397.79	402.08	400.73(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	101	70	148	-40	1.7	41%	-0.14	-65.1	1.84%	0	-0.6	25	0
20	Jun_23_2016	444.8	415.74	396.68	397.61	396.98	397.18	408.89(4.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	81	-0	132	-72	1.58	42%	-0.11	-62.4	1.83%	0	-0.3	36	0

21	Jun_22_2016	445.3	418.02	397.03	394.54	395.59	393.49	392.99(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-124	-30	-97	-206	0.86	37%	-0.17	-60.4	1.75%	0	-1.1	23	0
22	Jun_21_2016	446.05	421.2	400.39	394.01	395.84	396.78	391.96(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	30	-27	-182	1.05	37%	-0.17	-58.2	1.78%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Jun_20_2016	446.83	424.42	404.32	394.67	395.8	397.7	396.94(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	50	40	111	-132	0.94	37%	-0.17	-56.1	1.78%	0	-1.1	29	0
24	Jun_17_2016	447.57	427.11	408.86	394.08	394	394.9	397.27(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	20	15	-170	1.28	31%	-0.17	-59.7	1.83%	0	-1.3	28	0
25	Jun_16_2016	448.32	429.85	412.44	395.68	394.44	393.91	393.55(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-20	-50	-192	1.07	31%		-61.5	1.95%	0	-1.6	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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