Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CMG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: CMG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.)
CMG latest price $392.9900 (0.26%) ($388.1800 - $396.8800) on Wed. Jun. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $392.9900(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CMG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CMG declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CMG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(51%)    VUG(51%)    XLY(51%)    IVW(50%)    QQQ(49%)
Factors Impacting CMG price   CMG will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    IBUY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $418.02
5 Day Moving Average   $394.54(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $397.03(-1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $418.02(-5.99%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $11.001b

$. CMG price fluctuates within 5.63% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(52%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(48%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 2.5%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -6.56%(48%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 4.09%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.2%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2016	445.3	418.02	397.03	394.54	395.59	393.49	392.99(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-124	-30	-97	-206	0.86	37%	-0.17	-60.4	1.75%	0	-1.1	23	0
2	Jun_21_2016	446.05	421.2	400.39	394.01	395.84	396.78	391.96(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	30	-27	-182	1.05	37%	-0.17	-58.2	1.78%	0	-1.2	31	0
3	Jun_20_2016	446.83	424.42	404.32	394.67	395.8	397.7	396.94(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	50	40	111	-132	0.94	37%	-0.17	-56.1	1.78%	0	-1.1	29	0
4	Jun_17_2016	447.57	427.11	408.86	394.08	394	394.9	397.27(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	20	15	-170	1.28	31%	-0.17	-59.7	1.83%	0	-1.3	28	0
5	Jun_16_2016	448.32	429.85	412.44	395.68	394.44	393.91	393.55(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-20	-50	-192	1.07	31%	-0.18	-61.5	1.95%	0	-1.6	24	0

6	Jun_15_2016	449.15	432.73	417.38	400.13	398.3	393.09	390.31(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-187	-110	-171	-235	1.2	30%	-0.2	-62	1.94%	0	-2	21	0
7	Jun_14_2016	450.05	435.7	421.81	407.9	404.93	394.98	395.27(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-366	-190	-385	-307	1.63	30%	-0.19	-61.7	1.95%	0	-2.1	23	0
8	Jun_13_2016	450.91	438.37	426.62	415.53	414.53	403.51	394(-2.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-435	-190	-472	-323	1.85	30%	-0.2	-61.5	1.97%	0	-2.7	22	0
9	Jun_10_2016	451.81	441.75	431.99	425.78	424.92	414.89	405.26(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-372	-170	-408	-264	1.56	32%	-0.17	-48.5	1.96%	0	-2.7	30	0
10	Jun_9_2016	452.56	444.47	436.81	431.52	432.93	425.54	415.79(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-288	-110	-315	-206	1.2	33%	-0.13	-38.1	1.96%	0	-2.6	33	0

11	Jun_8_2016	453.16	446.51	441.09	437.06	436.99	434.95	429.2(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-162	-30	-174	-124	0.99	35%	-0.09	-19.6	1.94%	0	-1.9	40	0
12	Jun_7_2016	453.56	447.88	443.89	437.74	439.17	440.33	433.39(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	22	30	39	-30	0.94	35%	-0.08	-10	1.95%	0	-1.8	44	0
13	Jun_6_2016	453.91	448.93	446.21	439.45	438.55	439.03	445.27(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	0	16	-27	0.8	37%	-0.03	7.3	1.94%	0	-0.5	52	0
14	Jun_3_2016	454.05	448.46	446.66	439.48	439.17	438.02	433.94(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-20	-53	-60	0.87	33%	-0.08	14.4	1.92%	0	-1.8	34	0
15	Jun_2_2016	454.41	448.67	448.46	443.1	441.98	438.06	443.49(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-115	-70	-126	-80	1.02	35%	-0.04	33.7	1.92%	0	-0.6	40	0

16	Jun_1_2016	454.6	448.27	449.03	446.01	445.84	440.32	432.59(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-211	-90	-241	-119	0.79	31%	-0.09	50	1.91%	0	-1.8	34	0
17	May_31_2016	455	448.69	450.62	450.95	451.19	445.89	441.96(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-179	-80	-208	-93	0.98	33%	-0.05	65.9	1.91%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	May_27_2016	455.24	448.38	451.04	453.85	454.86	451.36	445.41(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-144	-50	-168	-71	1.01	33%	-0.04	57.2	1.92%	0	-0.3	44	0
19	May_26_2016	455.43	447.31	452.33	454.75	456.92	456.49	452.03(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-14	10	-21	6	0.74	33%	-0.02	45.5	1.93%	0	0.4	67	0
20	May_25_2016	455.5	445.98	452.78	454.47	455.18	458.36	458.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	50	64	53	0.69	33%	0.01	31.4	1.95%	0	0.9	71	0

21	May_24_2016	455.45	444.01	452.3	452.59	452.94	457.36	457.33(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	167	70	186	108	0.65	33%	0.01	13.6	1.97%	0	1.1	72	0
22	May_23_2016	455.41	443.34	452.03	450.34	450.02	452	456.44(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	122	30	133	89	1.06	33%	0	5.5	1.98%	0	1.1	65	0
23	May_20_2016	455.39	442.6	451.64	447.96	447.4	448.53	449.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	9	43	1.31	33%	-0.02	-6.5	1.99%	0	0.6	65	0
24	May_19_2016	455.5	442.19	450.23	449.65	447.34	448.05	450.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-0	8	58	0.61	33%	-0.02	-13	2.01%	0	0.7	73	0
25	May_18_2016	455.6	441.98	448.81	450.92	449.59	446.28	448.61(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-29	-60	-54	46	0.55	33%		-12.5	2.03%	0	0.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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