Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: CEMB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Emerging Market Corporate Bond ETF)
CEMB latest price $48.0100 (0.42%) ($47.5700 - $48.0300) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $48.0100(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   CEMB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CEMB advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CEMB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(66%)    EMHY(64%)    HYG(55%)    JNK(55%)    VCSH(50%)
Factors Impacting CEMB price   CEMB will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-18%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.79(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.56(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.93(2.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. CEMB price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.03%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.41%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	46.73	46.93	47.56	47.79	47.78	47.75	48.01(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10	12	170	0.01	55%	0	71.2	0.57%	0	1.5	89	INF
2	Mar_15_2016	46.73	46.81	47.41	47.65	47.7	47.78	47.81(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	10	9	156	0	55%	-0.02	67.1	0.57%	0	1.4	79	INF
3	Mar_14_2016	46.74	46.7	47.27	47.57	47.6	47.81	47.87(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	30	30	164	0	55%	0	64.9	0.57%	0	1.7	82	INF
4	Mar_11_2016	46.74	46.6	47.11	47.46	47.49	47.63	47.77(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	20	34	155	0.01	53%	0	64	0.57%	0	1.8	80	INF
5	Mar_10_2016	46.74	46.5	46.96	47.37	47.38	47.39	47.51(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	0	13	144	0	53%	-0.02	64.9	0.57%	0	1.7	82	INF

6	Mar_9_2016	46.75	46.42	46.82	47.28	47.33	47.35	47.27(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	10	16	141	0	53%	-0.02	67.8	0.56%	0	1.5	74	INF
7	Mar_8_2016	46.76	46.34	46.73	47.12	47.2	47.38	47.43(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	30	34	140	0.02	55%	0	63.2	0.57%	0	2	81	INF
8	Mar_7_2016	46.76	46.26	46.6	46.92	46.94	47.32	47.3(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	76	60	55	139	0	55%	0	61.5	0.57%	0	2.2	82	INF
9	Mar_4_2016	46.76	46.19	46.49	46.71	46.7	47.02	47.35(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	87	50	72	131	0	52%	-0.02	57.1	0.57%	0	2.8	78	INF
10	Mar_3_2016	46.77	46.11	46.34	46.48	46.43	46.56	47.07(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	49	20	36	89	0.02	50%	0	55.6	0.58%	0	2.9	71	INF

11	Mar_2_2016	46.77	46.04	46.24	46.29	46.32	46.37	46.45(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	10	9	60	0.01	45%	-0.04	57.7	0.56%	0	1.7	60	INF
12	Mar_1_2016	46.79	46	46.17	46.28	46.28	46.3	46.44(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	0	8	60	0.05	47%	-0.02	58	0.56%	0	1.9	65	INF
13	Feb_29_2016	46.8	45.97	46.09	46.28	46.26	46.27	46.25(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	3	46	0	45%	-0.04	65.2	0.57%	0	1.3	57	INF
14	Feb_26_2016	46.82	45.95	46.04	46.23	46.24	46.25	46.19(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	0	6	44	0	46%	-0.02	77.3	0.58%	0	1.2	55	INF
15	Feb_25_2016	46.83	45.92	46.01	46.18	46.21	46.24	46.14(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	10	5	37	0	44%	-0.02	86.4	0.58%	0	1.1	55	INF

16	Feb_24_2016	46.84	45.9	46	46.17	46.15	46.23	46.36(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	10	16	45	0	46%	-0.02	104.9	0.59%	0	2.4	62	INF
17	Feb_23_2016	46.85	45.87	45.93	46.05	46.1	46.17	46.21(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	10	20	33	0	46%	-0.02	102.7	0.6%	0	2	63	INF
18	Feb_22_2016	46.86	45.83	45.9	45.93	46.02	46.08	46.24(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	19	20	18	21	0	46%	-0.02	79.5	0.6%	0	2.3	61	INF
19	Feb_19_2016	46.87	45.79	45.86	45.83	45.9	46.03	45.93(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	20	9	6	0.01	44%	-0.02	60	0.59%	0	0.9	50	INF
20	Feb_18_2016	46.88	45.75	45.85	45.82	45.86	45.96	46.09(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	20	20	12	0	44%	-0.02	28.3	0.59%	0	1.6	57	INF

21	Feb_17_2016	46.89	45.71	45.82	45.8	45.8	45.78	45.78(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-0	1	3	0	43%	0	10	0.59%	0	0.3	52	INF
22	Feb_16_2016	46.89	45.69	45.81	45.79	45.84	45.75	45.61(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10	-12	-2	0.03	43%	-0.04	-4	0.59%	0	-0.3	51	INF
23	Feb_12_2016	46.91	45.68	45.83	45.85	45.86	45.83	45.75(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-0	-13	11	0.02	41%	-0.04	-11.3	0.58%	0	0.3	63	INF
24	Feb_11_2016	46.93	45.68	45.85	45.88	45.86	45.93	45.88(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	10	3	31	0	41%	-0.02	-12.7	0.58%	0	0.8	63	INF
25	Feb_10_2016	46.94	45.69	45.84	45.89	45.9	45.89	46(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-0	8	46	0.02	41%		-12.7	0.59%	0	1.2	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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