Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chubb Limited)
CB latest price $112.0537 (-0.04%) ($111.3689 - $112.5040) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $112.0537(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CB advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(70%)    XLF(70%)    VYM(69%)
Factors Impacting CB price   CB will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-12%)    IPO(-10%)    GDXJ(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.86(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.34(1.55%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $50.577b

Chubb Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance (A&H), reinsurance, and life insurance. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company was founded on January 14, 2016 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

$. CB price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.34%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.47%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.25%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	107.12	110.34	111	111.86	111.72	111.45	112.05(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-20	7	39	1.72	54%	0.05	101.8	1.32%	0	1.4	53	0
2	Mar_15_2016	107.07	110.21	110.88	111.55	111.37	111.6	112.1(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	9	10	-1	37	1.48	55%	0.05	118	1.32%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Mar_14_2016	107.02	110.03	110.7	110.95	111.12	111.99	112.33(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	60	54	53	2.15	55%	0.06	137.1	1.33%	0	2	63	0
4	Mar_11_2016	106.96	109.78	110.31	110.5	110.43	111.14	112.52(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	40	54	38	1.32	53%	0.05	132.7	1.34%	0	2.3	58	0
5	Mar_10_2016	106.91	109.36	110.06	109.98	109.85	110.24	110.32(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	23	20	1.69	51%	0.05	84	1.33%	0	0.6	57	0

6	Mar_9_2016	106.86	109.1	110.12	110.02	109.69	109.72	110.49(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10	4	21	1.44	51%	0.07	71.4	1.33%	0	0.8	55	0
7	Mar_8_2016	106.79	108.78	109.97	110.13	109.86	109.47	109.08(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-30	-16	13	1.27	51%	0.07	59.7	1.33%	0	0.1	49	0
8	Mar_7_2016	106.72	108.47	109.94	110.4	109.86	109.66	110.08(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-40	-18	19	1.87	51%	0.08	45.8	1.33%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Mar_4_2016	106.63	108.24	109.92	110.06	110.1	110.25	109.92(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	10	-8	26	1.85	55%	0.09	40.7	1.33%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Mar_3_2016	106.53	108.05	109.79	110.12	109.94	110.54	110.54(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	30	17	53	1.48	53%	0.11	47.7	1.39%	0	1	71	0

11	Mar_2_2016	106.41	107.81	109.65	110.22	110.07	109.94	111.03(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10	28	76	1.25	53%	0.12	58.2	1.41%	0	1.3	68	0
12	Mar_1_2016	106.28	107.53	109.49	109.82	110.02	109.33	110.42(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-40	-20	70	1.83	54%	0.1	62.8	1.41%	0	1.2	70	0
13	Feb_29_2016	106.17	107.31	109.3	109.44	109.74	110.19	108.38(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	40	-21	89	1.84	52%	0.08	70.5	1.38%	0	0.4	70	0
14	Feb_26_2016	106.08	107.19	109.22	109.73	109.67	110.71	110.23(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	84	60	65	141	1.67	54%	0.1	80.7	1.36%	0	1.3	62	0
15	Feb_25_2016	105.97	106.82	108.63	109.39	109.3	109.28	111.06(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	-0	38	116	2.26	54%	0.13	76	1.37%	0	1.7	61	0

16	Feb_24_2016	105.83	106.34	108.01	109	108.88	108.63	108.99(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-20	-34	79	1.31	52%	0.12	66.4	1.35%	0	1.1	58	0
17	Feb_23_2016	105.7	105.99	107.51	109	109.16	109.32	108.54(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	10	5	93	1.32	52%	0.11	62.3	1.35%	0	1	58	0
18	Feb_22_2016	105.58	105.64	106.91	109.14	109.26	109.13	109.84(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10	21	86	1.28	52%	0.13	58.4	1.35%	0	1.6	59	0
19	Feb_19_2016	105.44	105.29	106.43	108.61	108.88	109	108.51(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	20	12	69	2.1	52%	0.13	55.2	1.34%	0	1.3	57	0
20	Feb_18_2016	105.3	105	106.18	107.71	108.26	109.38	109.16(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	90	68	85	2.21	54%	0.12	45.5	1.34%	0	1.7	67	0

21	Feb_17_2016	105.17	104.71	105.81	106.83	106.79	108.77	109.67(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	101	130	103	95	1.86	54%	0.15	36.2	1.35%	0	2.2	71	0
22	Feb_16_2016	105.01	104.4	105.35	105.64	105.62	107.15	108.51(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	129	100	139	97	2.93	56%	0.23	26.6	1.35%	0	2.1	68	0
23	Feb_12_2016	104.77	104.09	105.08	104.37	104.1	104.8	107.23(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	40	48	50	1.88	54%	0.13	8.4	1.34%	0	1.8	67	0
24	Feb_11_2016	104.63	103.92	104.93	103.99	103.38	104.1	103.98(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	30	8	38	2.16	51%	0.1	1.3	1.3%	0	0	53	0
25	Feb_10_2016	104.53	103.88	104.84	104.43	103.91	103.4	104.77(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-50	19	55	2.43	51%		2	1.3%	0	0.6	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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