Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: CB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chubb Limited)
CB latest price $97.3155 (1.57%) ($96.4667 - $97.6140) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $97.3155(1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CB advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CB advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(70%)    XLF(70%)    VYM(69%)
Factors Impacting CB price   CB will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-10%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.95(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.19(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.46(3.02%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $43.924b

Chubb Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance, personal accident and supplemental health insurance (A&H), reinsurance, and life insurance. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance. The company was founded on January 14, 2016 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

$. CB price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1.2%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.89%(33%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	97.13	94.46	95.19	95.95	95.83	95.9	97.32(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	0	58	83	2.18	48%	-0.02	56	1.18%	0	2.4	62	0
2	Oct_2_2015	97.15	94.22	94.87	95.31	95.16	95.19	95.81(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-8	-0	-24	39	2.02	48%	-0.04	36.7	1.17%	0	1.5	62	0
3	Oct_1_2015	97.19	94.13	94.55	95.32	95.15	95.76	95.41(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	40	31	58	3.35	48%	-0.04	31.7	1.18%	0	1.3	57	0
4	Sep_30_2015	97.23	94.02	94.42	95.05	95.18	95.12	96.45(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	-0	49	62	2.99	48%	-0.02	19.4	1.18%	0	2.6	62	0
5	Sep_29_2015	97.25	93.81	94.18	94.55	94.59	94.54	94.76(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-11	-0	-22	24	2.1	43%	-0.05	4.8	1.16%	0	1.2	57	0

6	Sep_28_2015	97.3	93.8	94.09	94.31	94.47	95.23	94.12(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	60	33	36	2.66	43%	-0.06	1.2	1.18%	0	0.4	48	0
7	Sep_25_2015	97.36	93.84	93.98	94.33	94.13	94.64	95.84(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	61	30	64	50	2.66	44%	-0.03	-10	1.17%	0	2.4	63	0
8	Sep_24_2015	97.39	93.83	93.72	94.33	93.64	93.7	94.11(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	0	8	4	1.99	40%	-0.05	-48.4	1.18%	0	0.3	49	0
9	Sep_23_2015	97.44	93.84	93.64	93.69	93.44	93.62	93.91(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	10	-4	0	2.54	40%	-0.04	-86	1.19%	0	0.1	53	0
10	Sep_22_2015	97.48	93.77	93.59	93.77	93.6	93.58	93.58(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10	8	12	2.65	40%	-0.06	-126.3	1.19%	0	-0.2	56	0

11	Sep_21_2015	97.54	93.79	93.67	93.83	93.77	93.26	94.23(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-5	-40	-9	6	2.33	40%	-0.05	-163.6	1.19%	0	0.5	48	0
12	Sep_18_2015	97.59	93.93	93.53	93.56	93.7	93.63	92.6(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-0	-34	-23	3.57	38%	-0.06	-148.1	1.18%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	Sep_17_2015	97.65	94.25	93.7	93.73	93.8	94.29	94.11(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	24	40	32	-1	2.63	39%	-0.05	-108.4	1.17%	0	-0.1	41	0
14	Sep_16_2015	97.7	94.6	93.61	93.58	93.5	93.78	94.35(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	20	28	-13	1.41	41%	-0.06	-80.1	1.17%	0	-0.1	50	0
15	Sep_15_2015	97.76	94.96	93.42	93.38	93.33	93.32	93.88(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-0	-5	-33	1.94	41%	-0.06	-66.9	1.18%	0	-0.4	56	0

16	Sep_14_2015	97.82	95.33	93.48	93.51	93.57	93.23	92.87(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-11	-28	1.65	41%	-0.07	-59.6	1.17%	0	-0.8	48	0
17	Sep_11_2015	97.89	95.75	93.7	93.5	93.79	93.35	93.47(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-20	-24	-44	1.59	42%	-0.06	-56.9	1.17%	0	-0.7	39	0
18	Sep_10_2015	97.95	96.12	93.94	93.65	93.69	93.9	93.36(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	20	-17	-56	1.68	44%	-0.06	-55.7	1.17%	0	-0.8	34	0
19	Sep_9_2015	98.01	96.5	94.05	93.63	93.83	94.23	93.35(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	15	40	42	-67	1.84	44%	-0.08	-57.6	1.19%	0	-0.9	31	0
20	Sep_8_2015	98.09	96.92	93.98	93.44	93.54	93.48	94.5(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-0	10	-134	1.95	44%	-0.11	-58.6	1.18%	0	-0.7	31	0

21	Sep_4_2015	98.2	97.29	93.92	93.48	93.2	93.43	92.82(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	10	-27	-190	2.51	39%	-0.11	-57.8	1.17%	0	-1.2	28	0
22	Sep_3_2015	98.31	97.74	94.35	93.95	93.64	93.6	94.22(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-38	-10	11	-185	2.14	41%	-0.08	-54.8	1.16%	0	-0.9	31	0
23	Sep_2_2015	98.39	98.13	94.84	94.31	93.98	92.98	93.26(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-80	-49	-210	2.13	41%	-0.1	-50.8	1.15%	0	-1.3	30	0
24	Sep_1_2015	98.49	98.62	95.64	94.31	94.55	93.68	92.41(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-101	-60	-64	-210	3.03	41%	-0.11	-47.7	1.15%	0	-1.7	27	0
25	Aug_31_2015	98.6	99.14	96.61	94.54	94.84	94.98	94.67(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-61	20	-16	-197	2.2	43%		-48.4	1.11%	0	-1.3	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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