Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CAT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 7, 2023

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $281.6500 (1.88%) ($275.8900 - $281.9600) on Mon. Aug. 7, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $281.6500(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(65%)    XLI(63%)    XHB(57%)    IFRA(56%)    IWD(56%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-30%)    VIXM(-26%)    TBT(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $283.15(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $272.58(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $265.58(6.05%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   36.9%
Market Cap   $152.515b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 4.29% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.02%(44%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 2.76%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -3.03%(44%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 3.11%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2023	232.64	265.58	272.58	283.15	282.94	279.45	281.65(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-90	-50	114	2.44	84%	0.29	87.9	2.01%	0.4	1.4	64	-0.6
2	Aug_4_2023	231.96	263.92	270.36	279.86	283.15	281.79	276.44(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	0	-44	100	3.89	81%	0.26	81.5	2.01%	-1.8	1.1	66	-1.6
3	Aug_3_2023	231.36	262.38	268.52	276.65	279.18	286.42	281.45(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	153	210	150	161	4.74	81%	0.29	71.5	2.03%	-1.7	1.6	72	-0.7
4	Aug_2_2023	230.7	260.33	266.39	272.02	273.32	284.51	287.57(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	402	300	449	260	6.29	85%	0.28	62.7	2%	0.7	2.4	78	-0.7
5	Aug_1_2023	230.06	258.11	263.67	266.17	265.81	271.93	288.65(8.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	303	160	341	190	11.82	85%	0.29	59.2	2.01%	1.6	3.2	80	1.2

6	Jul_31_2023	229.4	255.92	260.88	260.86	260.64	262.14	265.17(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	40	87	72	3.57	81%	0.17	69.4	1.71%	1.4	1.4	70	1.5
7	Jul_28_2023	229.01	254.96	260.09	259.7	260.06	259.69	260.43(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10	23	49	2.1	81%	0.09	74.1	1.71%	0.7	0.8	70	1.3
8	Jul_27_2023	228.81	254.17	259.65	259.14	259.8	259.14	258.3(-0.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-25	-10	-44	32	2.28	81%	0.04	75	1.72%	-1.1	0.6	73	0.5
9	Jul_26_2023	228.71	253.38	259.46	259.7	260.03	260.43	258.32(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	10	-19	66	2.62	81%	0.06	74.3	1.73%	-1.7	0.7	77	1.9
10	Jul_25_2023	228.58	252.54	259.06	260.58	260.03	260.46	262.06(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10	23	103	2.01	76%	0.04	74.6	1.72%	0.9	1.2	73	1.2

11	Jul_24_2023	228.5	251.3	258.16	260.93	260.85	259.63	259.37(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-16	-30	-49	85	2.2	76%	0.02	69.1	1.75%	-0.6	1	66	1.6
12	Jul_21_2023	228.46	250.09	257.18	260.55	261.12	261.24	257.65(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	10	-5	106	2.25	76%	0.03	56.9	1.75%	-1.6	0.9	66	1.1
13	Jul_20_2023	228.4	249.09	256.04	260.15	260.11	262.08	261.09(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	50	67	136	2.1	76%	0.06	51.7	1.75%	-1	1.4	73	1.4
14	Jul_19_2023	228.27	248.08	254.07	259.1	258.26	261	262.75(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	126	60	118	149	2.77	76%	0.1	48.8	1.75%	0.8	1.8	77	1.5
15	Jul_18_2023	228.04	246.94	252.26	257.27	256.64	258.14	263.81(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	118	30	111	140	3.83	76%	0.11	48.5	1.75%	1.7	2.2	80	1.9

16	Jul_17_2023	227.79	245.92	250.51	255.08	255.12	255.51	257.46(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	10	35	109	2.67	74%	0.1	53.7	1.73%	1.8	1.7	80	1.4
17	Jul_14_2023	227.57	245.35	249.32	253.35	254.16	255.14	255.62(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	40	59	123	1.94	74%	0.08	61.9	1.73%	0.8	1.7	81	1.2
18	Jul_13_2023	227.39	244.69	248.15	251.26	251.99	254.72	255.86(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	116	80	109	137	1.95	74%	0.08	63.6	1.73%	1.2	2	74	1
19	Jul_12_2023	227.2	244.09	246.72	248.2	249.1	253.19	253.6(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	169	130	178	143	2.99	74%	0.06	73	1.73%	0.6	1.9	64	1.1
20	Jul_11_2023	227.07	243.29	245.4	246.45	245.84	249.26	252.85(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	147	90	156	121	3.29	76%	0.12	88.2	1.73%	1.4	2.2	63	-0.3

21	Jul_10_2023	226.8	242.38	243.8	245.35	244.22	245.01	248.81(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	76	10	77	71	2.77	78%	0	100.6	1.74%	1	1.6	53	-0.5
22	Jul_7_2023	226.79	241.67	242.39	244.79	244.23	242.42	245.18(1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-28	-60	-39	4	2.9	78%	-0	126.2	1.77%	0.7	0.9	45	-0.3
23	Jul_6_2023	226.8	241.2	241.62	244.61	244.87	243.44	240.58(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-69	-40	-84	-23	3.08	72%	-0.04	151.4	1.77%	-1.4	-0.1	47	-0.6
24	Jul_5_2023	226.89	240.58	241.72	244.86	245.39	246.05	244.83(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	30	18	15	1.82	72%	-0.09	166.7	1.78%	-0.3	1	48	0.9
25	Jul_3_2023	227.1	239.53	241.32	244.04	244.12	246.3	247.33(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	60	82	38	1.05	63%		118.5	1.91%	0	1.2	61	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.