Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 8, 2018

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $161.3598 (2.51%) ($157.9777 - $161.7486) on Mon. Jan. 8, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $161.3598(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(74%)    XLI(71%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.84(3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.43(4.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.46(7.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $87.377b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44 Average positive next day return: 1.72%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(39%) Sample size 44 Average positive next three day return: 3.29%(34%) Average negative next three day return: -3.13%(66%) Sample size 44 Average positive next weekly return: 2.64%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.45%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2018	130.11	149.46	154.43	155.84	155.75	158.3	161.36(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	206	110	196	235	5.93	76%	0.41	81	1.15%	0	2	94	0
2	Jan_5_2018	129.58	148.32	153.27	154.2	154.03	155.24	157.4(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	141	50	119	207	3.95	74%	0.39	79.3	1.12%	0	1.6	93	0
3	Jan_4_2018	129.08	147.27	152.35	153.51	153.28	153.21	154.96(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	-10	25	174	4.87	73%	0.36	79	1.11%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Jan_3_2018	128.62	146.34	151.55	153.14	153.18	152.82	152.86(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	-20	-25	176	4.15	71%	0.34	75.7	1.11%	0	1.1	83	0
5	Jan_2_2018	128.18	145.58	150.86	152.97	153.26	153.36	152.62(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	10	4	210	5.11	71%	0.5	76.5	1.11%	0	1.2	82	0

6	Dec_29_2017	127.54	144.82	149.91	152.72	152.92	153.54	153.15(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	93	30	44	238	2.62	71%	0.35	78.1	1.1%	0	1.4	83	0
7	Dec_28_2017	127.1	144.01	148.84	152.15	152.21	153.15	153.96(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	127	40	83	259	4.06	71%	0.36	80.6	1.1%	0	1.7	86	0
8	Dec_27_2017	126.65	143.01	147.86	151	151.12	152.29	153.09(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	141	60	96	274	2.52	71%	0.34	78.4	1.1%	0	1.7	88	0
9	Dec_26_2017	126.22	142.09	146.51	149.72	149.85	151.27	152.04(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	156	70	117	273	1.87	71%	0.46	78.2	1.1%	0	1.8	87	0
10	Dec_22_2017	125.64	141.14	145.27	148.42	148.34	149.95	151.37(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	168	70	135	266	2.49	71%	0.34	74.9	1.1%	0	1.9	81	0

11	Dec_21_2017	125.22	140.23	144.09	146.66	146.74	148.43	150.29(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	167	80	141	243	4.02	71%	0.33	73.2	1.1%	0	2.1	80	0
12	Dec_20_2017	124.81	139.39	142.92	145.04	145.12	146.74	148.23(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	139	80	116	209	3.08	70%	0.32	75	1.09%	0	2	78	0
13	Dec_19_2017	124.41	138.64	141.73	144.27	144.06	145.06	146.67(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	138	40	115	205	3.55	70%	0.3	77.9	1.09%	0	2	81	0
14	Dec_18_2017	124.04	137.94	140.68	142.81	143.18	143.49	145.56(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	90	20	66	160	3.53	72%	0.28	74.6	1.09%	0	2.1	76	0
15	Dec_15_2017	123.69	137.26	139.84	141.65	142.04	143.06	142.56(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	60	34	140	7.93	70%	0.27	71.4	1.09%	0	1.6	75	0

16	Dec_14_2017	123.36	136.75	139.33	141.1	141.38	142.86	142.17(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	133	80	118	179	4.62	70%	0.26	71	1.09%	0	1.6	74	0
17	Dec_13_2017	123.04	136.16	138.81	140.44	140.46	141.02	144.39(3.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	128	30	111	179	6.49	74%	0.28	61.6	1.06%	0	2.5	78	0
18	Dec_12_2017	122.7	135.58	137.77	138.84	139.18	139.89	139.39(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	40	34	122	3.4	72%	0.29	57.3	1%	0	1.4	72	0
19	Dec_11_2017	122.34	135.24	137.34	138.2	138.34	139.9	139.73(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	111	80	100	142	1.91	72%	0.3	51	1.01%	0	1.7	76	0
20	Dec_8_2017	121.97	134.87	136.71	137.76	137.57	138.47	139.81(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	105	40	95	136	2.49	72%	0.3	49.7	1.01%	0	2	78	0

21	Dec_7_2017	121.61	134.44	136.08	137.3	137.41	136.79	138.87(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-30	13	98	2.98	72%	0.29	46.7	1.01%	0	2	75	0
22	Dec_6_2017	121.26	134.15	135.58	136.97	137.35	136.66	136.39(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-23	-30	-58	82	2.88	70%	0.28	50.7	0.99%	0	1.1	76	0
23	Dec_5_2017	120.92	134.06	135.33	136.52	137.19	138.03	136.2(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	60	21	102	3.88	70%	0.27	53.5	1.01%	0	1.1	57	0
24	Dec_4_2017	120.6	133.93	135.02	136.3	136.56	138.04	137.52(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	136	80	133	146	4.92	70%	0.27	55.5	1%	0	2	64	0
25	Dec_1_2017	120.27	133.68	134.49	135.46	135.37	136.35	137.54(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	102	50	99	111	5.48	70%		44.7	1.01%	0	2.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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