Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $79.9350 (-1.14%) ($79.8652 - $81.7166) on Thu. Jan. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $79.9350(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
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Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
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Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $81.54
5 Day Moving Average   $81.36(-1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.8(-1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.54(-1.97%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 3.26% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.53%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2014	87.17	81.54	80.8	81.36	81.55	80.98	79.94(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-40	-30	29	3.25	48%	-0.14	-67.2	1.71%	0	-0.6	43	INF
2	Dec_30_2014	87.29	81.87	80.64	81.7	81.83	81.67	80.86(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10	-14	24	3.2	48%	-0.11	-68.1	1.71%	0	-0.4	37	INF
3	Dec_29_2014	87.39	82.13	80.41	81.65	81.88	82.13	81.84(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	30	15	16	2.39	48%	-0.08	-75.4	1.71%	0	-0.1	41	INF
4	Dec_26_2014	87.46	82.4	80.13	81.3	81.53	82	82.29(0.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	16	50	27	-16	3.13	48%	-0.08	-75.1	1.71%	0	-0	32	INF
5	Dec_24_2014	87.53	82.86	79.96	80.86	80.96	81.62	81.85(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	14	60	35	-48	1.66	48%	-0.07	-62.3	1.71%	0	-0.3	28	INF

6	Dec_23_2014	87.59	83.36	79.86	80.17	80.49	81.06	81.66(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	60	48	-84	3.56	47%	-0.08	-56.1	1.71%	0	-0.4	26	INF
7	Dec_22_2014	87.66	83.87	79.97	79.44	79.63	80.3	80.63(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	70	26	-125	4.58	46%	-0.07	-52.9	1.71%	0	-0.7	25	INF
8	Dec_19_2014	87.72	84.46	80.19	78.99	79.12	79.93	80.09(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	80	36	-146	9.69	44%	-0.09	-49.1	1.71%	0	-0.9	25	INF
9	Dec_18_2014	87.8	84.92	80.75	78.78	78.87	78.96	80.07(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	10	18	-163	8.34	44%	-0.1	-50.3	1.73%	0	-1	22	INF
10	Dec_17_2014	87.89	85.35	81.4	78.95	78.79	78.3	78.38(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-80	-50	-38	-206	8.67	43%	-0.15	-52.1	1.7%	0	-1.4	9	INF

11	Dec_16_2014	88.02	85.91	82.29	79.52	79.65	78.78	78.02(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-88	-70	-45	-217	7.65	43%	-0.14	-52.6	1.7%	0	-1.7	7	INF
12	Dec_15_2014	88.14	86.49	83.19	80.59	80.51	79.27	78.38(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-107	-110	-68	-225	6.93	43%	-0.15	-51.5	1.7%	0	-1.9	9	INF
13	Dec_12_2014	88.27	87.03	84.02	81.55	81.49	80.53	79.04(-2.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-118	-80	-79	-233	10.33	43%	-0.14	-51.6	1.7%	0	-2	9	INF
14	Dec_11_2014	88.39	87.54	84.93	83	82.77	81.75	80.95(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-97	-90	-61	-204	4.66	44%	-0.15	-47.8	1.68%	0	-1.9	31	INF
15	Dec_10_2014	88.52	88.01	86.05	84.22	84.08	82.45	81.24(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-104	-140	-80	-174	6.76	43%	-0.16	-38.5	1.68%	0	-2.2	34	INF

16	Dec_9_2014	88.66	88.46	87.2	85.47	85.39	83.78	83.36(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-103	-130	-90	-141	6.56	45%	-0.15	-26.7	1.66%	0	-1.9	36	INF
17	Dec_8_2014	88.79	88.78	88.12	86.18	86.6	85.71	83.18(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-60	-57	-101	7.19	45%	-0.13	-18.9	1.66%	0	-2.3	37	INF
18	Dec_5_2014	88.91	89.1	89.11	86.83	87.13	87	86.27(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-0	-20	-58	3.6	48%	-0.1	-12.8	1.6%	0	-1.4	45	INF
19	Dec_4_2014	89	89.21	89.44	87.15	87.14	87.48	87.04(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	30	-19	-48	3.41	48%	-0.1	-13.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	48	INF
20	Dec_3_2014	89.09	89.23	89.62	88.22	87.69	87.26	87.49(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-50	-23	-31	6.93	48%	-0.09	0.5	1.6%	0	-0.9	43	INF

21	Dec_2_2014	89.17	89.19	89.82	89.28	88.91	86.8	86.9(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-180	-84	-32	3.9	48%	-0.09	10.2	1.6%	0	-1.1	43	INF
22	Dec_1_2014	89.25	89.24	90.05	90.4	90.36	88.12	86.46(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-108	-170	-135	-28	7.43	48%	-0.09	29.6	1.6%	0	-1.4	43	INF
23	Nov_28_2014	89.33	89.36	90.32	91.71	91.8	91.01	87.86(-4.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-42	-60	-66	30	5.78	48%	-0.13	54.9	1.59%	0	-0.8	49	INF
24	Nov_26_2014	89.45	89.47	90.41	91.97	92.48	91.01	92.39(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	30	34	84	2.46	53%	-0.02	68.1	1.46%	0	1.6	70	INF
25	Nov_25_2014	89.47	89.22	90.14	91.18	91.42	92.6	92.78(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	50	100	40	81	3.32	53%		74	1.45%	0	2	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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