Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: C Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Citigroup Inc.)
C latest price $50.8027 (0.28%) ($50.5283 - $51.1339) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $50.8027(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   C advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   C advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support C advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(84%)    IVE(79%)    IWM(73%)    VYM(73%)    SPY(71%)
Factors Impacting C price   C will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-12%)    GLD(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.13(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.32(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.79(2.03%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $105.764b

Citigroup, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Banking; Institutional Clients Group; and Corporate and Other. The Global Consumer Banking segment provides traditional banking services to retail customers through retail banking, including commercial banking, and Citi-branded cards and Citi retail services. The Institutional Clients Group segment provides corporate, institutional, public sector and high-net-worth clients around the world with a full range of wholesale banking products and services. This segment includes fixed income and equity sales and trading, foreign exchange, prime brokerage, derivative services, equity and fixed income research, corporate lending, investment banking and advisory services, private banking, cash management, trade finance and securities services. The Corporate and Other segment includes certain unallocated costs of global staff functions, other corporate expenses and unallocated global operations and technology expenses, Corporate Treasury, certain North America and international legacy consumer loan portfolios, other legacy assets and discontinued operations. The company was founded in 1812 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. C price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.73%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.68%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2015	49.39	49.79	50.32	50.13	50.52	50.84	50.8(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	70	7	18	17.03	50%	0.04	72.9	1.61%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Mar_13_2015	49.37	49.67	50.29	49.99	50.05	51	50.66(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	140	30	36	20.78	50%	0.04	78.7	1.65%	0	1.1	65	0
3	Mar_12_2015	49.35	49.55	50.19	49.89	49.86	50.21	51.17(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	50	39	40	50.19	48%	0.08	86.2	1.66%	0	1.7	65	0
4	Mar_11_2015	49.31	49.34	50.03	49.8	49.71	49.09	49.52(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-90	-25	20	32.44	44%	0.02	83.7	1.63%	0	0.2	61	0
5	Mar_10_2015	49.3	49.21	50.02	50.05	50.06	49.51	48.48(-3.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-28	-80	-46	28	29.06	40%	0	82.8	1.6%	0	-0.6	52	0

6	Mar_9_2015	49.3	49.14	50.11	50.52	50.5	50.33	50.1(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-20	-15	64	17.54	42%	0.06	91.5	1.58%	0	0.8	63	0
7	Mar_6_2015	49.27	48.96	49.97	50.62	50.7	50.61	50.21(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10	4	79	40.3	42%	0.08	95.3	1.57%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Mar_5_2015	49.23	48.76	49.85	50.5	50.56	50.67	50.68(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	20	7	83	13.85	44%	0.06	90	1.58%	0	1.3	76	0
9	Mar_4_2015	49.2	48.52	49.63	50.29	50.3	50.78	50.78(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	70	24	90	14.7	44%	0.06	87.5	1.6%	0	1.5	82	0
10	Mar_3_2015	49.17	48.29	49.41	49.99	49.98	50.46	50.84(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	70	37	98	24.28	46%	0.06	86.1	1.6%	0	1.7	84	0

11	Mar_2_2015	49.14	48	49.2	49.64	49.53	49.83	50.61(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	40	25	96	19.38	48%	0.08	76	1.61%	0	1.7	84	0
12	Feb_27_2015	49.1	47.7	48.97	49.23	49.26	49.51	49.6(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	40	17	92	18.59	46%	0.02	62.5	1.59%	0	1.2	82	0
13	Feb_26_2015	49.09	47.47	48.83	49.11	48.99	49.23	49.59(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	30	17	105	16.36	46%	0	54.4	1.6%	0	1.4	84	0
14	Feb_25_2015	49.09	47.22	48.58	48.86	48.77	49.02	49.29(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	30	14	104	10.67	46%	0.02	48.1	1.6%	0	1.3	84	0
15	Feb_24_2015	49.08	47.04	48.33	48.74	48.63	48.75	49.11(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	10	103	20.25	47%	-0.02	51.1	1.6%	0	1.3	75	0

16	Feb_23_2015	49.09	46.89	48.09	48.7	48.54	48.52	48.56(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10	1	111	15.28	47%	-0.02	56.9	1.6%	0	1.1	79	0
17	Feb_20_2015	49.1	46.75	47.89	48.68	48.55	48.5	49(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-20	4	129	19.43	47%	0.02	63.5	1.6%	0	1.6	86	0
18	Feb_19_2015	49.09	46.63	47.59	48.51	48.51	48.55	48.37(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	10	10	135	11.27	47%	0	67.1	1.59%	0	1.3	75	0
19	Feb_18_2015	49.09	46.47	47.34	48.23	48.32	48.59	48.65(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	40	22	140	17.67	47%	0	56	1.59%	0	1.7	80	0
20	Feb_17_2015	49.09	46.27	47.09	47.85	47.86	48.48	48.91(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	90	34	134	14.57	47%	-0.02	39	1.59%	0	2.2	68	0

21	Feb_13_2015	49.1	46.06	46.71	47.38	47.47	48.04	48.45(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	90	45	113	17.45	47%	-0.02	19.7	1.57%	0	2.2	61	0
22	Feb_12_2015	49.11	45.87	46.31	46.99	46.96	47.25	48.15(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	40	28	78	28.93	47%	-0.04	-10	1.57%	0	2.4	61	0
23	Feb_11_2015	49.13	45.87	45.99	46.55	46.72	46.89	47.01(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	18	41	13.08	45%	-0.06	-38.4	1.54%	0	1.5	49	0
24	Feb_10_2015	49.16	45.76	45.74	46.3	46.52	46.67	46.73(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	40	11	23	17.22	45%	-0.08	-48.4	1.53%	0	1.2	59	0
25	Feb_9_2015	49.2	45.8	45.63	46.21	46.27	46.55	46.56(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	50	15	28	16.36	45%		-58.3	1.53%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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