Trading Signals: BWX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: BWX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays International Treasury Bond ETF)
BWX latest price $26.7900 (0.64%) ($26.6600 - $26.8900) on Thu. Apr. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $26.7900(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BWX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BWX declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BWX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BNDX(49%)    GLD(48%)    GDX(45%)    LQD(45%)    PCY(44%)
Factors Impacting BWX price   BWX will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-38%)    UUP(-34%)    XHB(-2%)    DIA(-1%)    XLF(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.51(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.59(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.63(0.6%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BWX price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.52%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.86%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2015	27.12	26.63	26.59	26.51	26.53	26.64	26.79(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	13	30	23	-18	0.16	42%	0	49.3	0.65%	0	0.8	49	0
2	Apr_15_2015	27.12	26.62	26.57	26.43	26.53	26.52	26.62(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	20	7	-47	0.26	42%	-0.04	52.1	0.65%	0	0	40	0
3	Apr_14_2015	27.13	26.59	26.56	26.44	26.43	26.41	26.5(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10	-1	-59	0.24	43%	0	44.2	0.65%	0	-0.4	38	0
4	Apr_13_2015	27.13	26.57	26.57	26.48	26.47	26.34	26.3(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-40	-26	-74	0.21	41%	-0.04	36.3	0.64%	0	-1	27	0
5	Apr_10_2015	27.14	26.55	26.62	26.59	26.58	26.44	26.35(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-29	-48	0.25	41%	-0.04	35.9	0.64%	0	-0.6	46	0

6	Apr_9_2015	27.15	26.54	26.67	26.67	26.71	26.61	26.4(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-20	-17	-11	0.25	41%	-0.04	35.5	0.64%	0	-0.4	58	0
7	Apr_8_2015	27.16	26.52	26.72	26.72	26.77	26.72	26.67(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-4	15	0.3	43%	-0.04	28	0.63%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Apr_7_2015	27.17	26.49	26.73	26.7	26.74	26.82	26.66(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	3	40	0.34	43%	0	16.2	0.63%	0	0.5	66	0
9	Apr_6_2015	27.17	26.47	26.75	26.68	26.7	26.83	26.85(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	40	17	73	0.44	45%	-0.04	8.1	0.63%	0	1.1	70	0
10	Apr_2_2015	27.18	26.44	26.73	26.68	26.7	26.67	26.78(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	10	8	96	0.34	45%	0	-1.6	0.62%	0	1	72	0

11	Apr_1_2015	27.18	26.43	26.68	26.67	26.63	26.57	26.64(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-20	-9	96	0.95	45%	-0.04	-6.2	0.62%	0	0.6	62	0
12	Mar_31_2015	27.19	26.42	26.67	26.71	26.69	26.59	26.56(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-30	-20	125	0.39	45%	-0.04	-9.3	0.62%	0	0.4	64	0
13	Mar_30_2015	27.2	26.43	26.62	26.77	26.78	26.7	26.58(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-20	-18	136	0.58	46%	-0.04	-7.6	0.63%	0	0.4	61	0
14	Mar_27_2015	27.21	26.43	26.57	26.83	26.84	26.8	26.79(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10	-1	150	0.45	46%	0	-5	0.63%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Mar_26_2015	27.21	26.44	26.47	26.79	26.85	26.87	26.77(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	10	13	137	0.44	46%	-0.04	-8.6	0.63%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Mar_25_2015	27.22	26.44	26.41	26.69	26.78	26.89	26.87(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	20	104	0.44	46%	0	-15.9	0.63%	0	1.1	53	0
17	Mar_24_2015	27.22	26.45	26.31	26.62	26.62	26.84	26.84(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	60	41	77	0.63	46%	-0.04	-19.4	0.63%	0	1	51	0
18	Mar_23_2015	27.23	26.45	26.23	26.45	26.48	26.66	26.9(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	50	51	23	2.05	45%	0	-31	0.64%	0	1.1	49	0
19	Mar_20_2015	27.23	26.46	26.15	26.27	26.28	26.4	26.57(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	30	35	-39	0.24	41%	-0.04	-43.4	0.61%	0	0.3	43	0
20	Mar_19_2015	27.24	26.47	26.11	26.11	26.15	26.29	26.25(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	40	20	-106	0.26	38%	-0.07	-54.3	0.59%	0	-0.5	35	0

21	Mar_18_2015	27.26	26.51	26.11	26.08	26.05	26.16	26.54(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	30	30	-125	0.31	40%	-0.04	-54.2	0.58%	0	0.1	39	0
22	Mar_17_2015	27.27	26.53	26.14	25.96	26.01	26.02	25.99(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-48	10	7	-211	0.21	30%	-0.07	-60	0.5%	0	-1.2	19	0
23	Mar_16_2015	27.29	26.59	26.22	25.97	25.99	25.95	25.98(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-67	-10	-15	-222	0.71	33%	-0.07	-61.8	0.52%	0	-1.4	24	0
24	Mar_13_2015	27.31	26.64	26.3	26.03	26.01	26	25.81(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-70	-0	-19	-221	0.45	31%	-0.07	-60.2	0.52%	0	-1.9	21	0
25	Mar_12_2015	27.33	26.71	26.41	26.11	26.1	26.02	26.09(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-20	-18	-211	0.28	33%		-65.8	0.51%	0	-1.6	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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