Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B)
BRK.B latest price $76.6900 (3.05%) ($74.1500 - $76.8000) on Thu. Feb. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $76.6900(3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BRK.B advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BRK.B advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BRK.B advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(81%)    IWM(72%)    XLY(68%)    EWG(67%)    PEJ(66%)
Factors Impacting BRK.B price   BRK.B will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    GLD(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.69(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.77(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.16(6.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $184.13b

Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. is engaged in the provision of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, freight rail transportation, finance, manufacturing, retailing, and services. It operates through following segments: GEICO, General Re, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, McLane Company, Manufacturing, Service and Retailing, and Finance and Financial products. The GEICO segments involves in underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods. The General Re offers underwriting excess-of-loss, quota-share, and facultative reinsurance. The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group segment consists of underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share reinsurance for insurers and reinsurers. The Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group segment comprises of underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies. The BNSF segment operates railroad systems in North America. The Berkshire Hathaway Energy segments deals with regulated electric and gas utility, including power generation and distribution activities, and domestic real estate brokerage and brokerage franchisor. The McLane Company segment offers wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items. The Manufacturing segment includes industrial and end-user products, building products, and apparel. The Service and Retailing segment involves providing fractional aircraft ownership programs, aviation pilot training, electronic components distribution, and retailing. The Finance and Financial Products segment includes manufactured housing and consumer financing; transportation equipment, manufacturing and leasing; and furniture leasing. The company was founded by Oliver Chace in 1839 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. BRK.B price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.66%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.92%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2010	67.68	72.16	74.77	74.69	74.59	74.99	76.69(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	30	45	126	23.04	64%	0.15	61.1	1.53%	0	1.3	67	NAN
2	Feb_10_2010	67.58	71.63	74.46	73.87	73.9	74.46	74.42(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	50	16	100	13.79	60%	0.1	53.9	1.48%	0	0.8	54	NAN
3	Feb_9_2010	67.51	71.22	74.18	73.86	73.56	74.19	74.53(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	50	23	114	13.56	60%	0.13	51.8	1.49%	0	0.9	62	NAN
4	Feb_8_2010	67.42	70.83	73.59	74.06	73.66	73.35	74.23(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	32	-50	2	123	11.99	60%	0.1	53.9	1.49%	0	0.9	67	NAN
5	Feb_5_2010	67.35	70.44	73.09	74.29	74.07	72.92	73.57(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-16	-120	-64	129	11.74	60%	0.1	57.4	1.49%	0	0.8	69	NAN

6	Feb_4_2010	67.28	70.08	72.76	74.86	74.99	73.96	72.61(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-90	-60	177	11.19	61%	0.07	63.2	1.49%	0	0.7	65	NAN
7	Feb_3_2010	67.23	69.77	72.77	75.09	75.67	75.22	74.36(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	59	-20	-6	253	7.2	67%	0.13	66	1.46%	0	1.2	68	NAN
8	Feb_2_2010	67.14	69.36	72.3	74.49	75.17	76.01	75.51(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	102	110	43	279	7.98	69%	0.15	65	1.46%	0	1.7	71	NAN
9	Feb_1_2010	67.04	68.88	71.43	72.99	74.27	76.13	75.41(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	162	230	126	269	13.13	69%	0.16	58.2	1.46%	0	1.9	69	NAN
10	Jan_29_2010	66.93	68.37	70.39	71.68	72.34	74.33	76.43(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	145	220	120	219	17.3	69%	0.16	52	1.46%	0	2.6	71	NAN

11	Jan_28_2010	66.82	67.8	69.31	70.41	70.91	72.41	73.75(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	108	170	87	170	14.15	66%	0.15	49.9	1.39%	0	2.4	68	NAN
12	Jan_27_2010	66.72	67.37	68.51	70.2	70.91	70.34	71.36(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	-10	43	153	19.89	63%	0.11	56.6	1.34%	0	1.9	65	NAN
13	Jan_26_2010	66.65	67.07	67.97	69.84	70.54	69.4	68(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-80	-48	119	5.23	56%	0.03	56.4	1.19%	0	0.5	56	NAN
14	Jan_25_2010	66.63	66.96	67.83	69.56	70.48	70.74	68.84(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	37	70	5	134	6.57	59%	0.06	52.5	1.18%	0	1	60	NAN
15	Jan_22_2010	66.59	66.8	67.59	68.78	69.47	71.68	70.1(-3.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	131	250	122	157	8.78	65%	0.11	40.5	1.16%	0	1.7	67	NAN

16	Jan_21_2010	66.52	66.58	67.2	67.96	68.01	70.21	72.72(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	204	230	215	170	14.5	75%	0.14	30.7	1.08%	0	3.5	80	NAN
17	Jan_20_2010	66.43	66.21	66.49	66.61	66.53	67.26	69.52(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	111	70	121	81	12.48	69%	0.08	16.2	0.92%	0	3.7	74	NAN
18	Jan_19_2010	66.38	66.02	66.15	65.91	65.96	65.8	66.64(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	-0	-10	-1	2	5.54	60%	0.02	-8.1	0.75%	0	1.5	59	NAN
19	Jan_15_2010	66.37	65.98	66.11	65.88	65.99	65.81	64.94(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-37	-10	-45	-12	2.57	45%	-0.02	-8.6	0.7%	0	-2.7	41	NAN
20	Jan_14_2010	66.38	66.04	66.2	66.18	66.24	66.11	65.96(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10	-14	24	1.32	58%	0	25	0.68%	0	-0.3	56	NAN

21	Jan_13_2010	66.38	66.05	66.19	66.28	66.33	66.18	66(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-10	-17	25	1.53	58%	-0.02	34.1	0.72%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
22	Jan_12_2010	66.39	66.07	66.16	66.32	66.37	66.37	66(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	0	-14	25	1.74	58%	0	38.6	0.72%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
23	Jan_11_2010	66.39	66.05	66.14	66.43	66.41	66.48	66.5(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	11	40	2.62	61%	0	37.8	0.71%	0	1.5	57	NAN
24	Jan_8_2010	66.39	66.01	66.06	66.37	66.38	66.38	66.44(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	0	12	37	1.5	61%	0.02	29.5	0.71%	0	1.5	62	NAN
25	Jan_7_2010	66.38	65.97	65.99	66.23	66.31	66.34	66.46(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	10	9	21	1.51	61%		0	0.71%	0	1.7	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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