Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B)
BRK.B latest price $82.5800 (3.85%) ($80.4000 - $82.6400) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $82.5800(3.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BRK.B advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BRK.B declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BRK.B advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    IWM(69%)    XLY(66%)    EWG(63%)    EWI(62%)
Factors Impacting BRK.B price   BRK.B will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $65.49(-20.7%)
Resistance Level   $83.68
5 Day Moving Average   $78.5(5.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.52(5.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.68(-1.31%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $198.271b

Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. is engaged in the provision of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, freight rail transportation, finance, manufacturing, retailing, and services. It operates through following segments: GEICO, General Re, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, McLane Company, Manufacturing, Service and Retailing, and Finance and Financial products. The GEICO segments involves in underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods. The General Re offers underwriting excess-of-loss, quota-share, and facultative reinsurance. The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group segment consists of underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share reinsurance for insurers and reinsurers. The Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group segment comprises of underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies. The BNSF segment operates railroad systems in North America. The Berkshire Hathaway Energy segments deals with regulated electric and gas utility, including power generation and distribution activities, and domestic real estate brokerage and brokerage franchisor. The McLane Company segment offers wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items. The Manufacturing segment includes industrial and end-user products, building products, and apparel. The Service and Retailing segment involves providing fractional aircraft ownership programs, aviation pilot training, electronic components distribution, and retailing. The Finance and Financial Products segment includes manufactured housing and consumer financing; transportation equipment, manufacturing and leasing; and furniture leasing. The company was founded by Oliver Chace in 1839 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. BRK.B price fluctuates within 6.93% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2008	80.83	83.68	78.52	78.5	77.74	79.38	82.58(3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	28	120	80	-128	1.95	59%	-0.09	-34.8	2.5%	0	-0.2	43	0
2	Oct_17_2008	80.9	83.9	78.9	77.76	77.38	75.99	79.52(5.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-49	-140	-4	-182	1.89	58%	-0.11	-32.2	2.46%	0	-0.7	37	0
3	Oct_16_2008	80.99	84.51	80.1	76.98	78.16	76.1	75.3(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-81	-140	-39	-205	2.02	55%	-0.14	-27.8	2.37%	0	-1.6	30	0
4	Oct_15_2008	81.1	85.04	81.73	77.34	76.49	78.77	75.92(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	180	-40	-192	1.53	55%	-0.12	-22.9	2.37%	0	-1.6	31	0
5	Oct_14_2008	81.2	85.48	83.25	77.87	76.8	80.22	79.16(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	64	270	124	-118	2.86	57%	-0.04	-17.3	2.32%	0	-1.2	33	0

6	Oct_13_2008	81.23	85.74	84.14	78.54	76.65	74.21	78.9(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-300	-16	-161	3.65	57%	-0.04	-10.3	2.32%	0	-1.3	41	0
7	Oct_10_2008	81.26	85.88	85.19	80.32	77.76	73.38	75.6(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-225	-490	-227	-217	6.52	54%	-0.09	-0.2	2.27%	0	-2	33	0
8	Oct_9_2008	81.33	86.18	86.57	83.8	82.64	79.08	77.1(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-143	-340	-145	-138	4.11	54%	-0.05	21.5	2.26%	0	-1.9	29	0
9	Oct_8_2008	81.37	86.33	87.84	86.81	86.16	82.14	78.6(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-137	-350	-155	-84	3.57	54%	-0.05	39.8	2.25%	0	-1.6	45	0
10	Oct_7_2008	81.41	86.38	89.02	89.35	89.16	86.2	82.5(-6.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-92	-240	-119	-9	2.46	57%	0	54	2.17%	0	-0.8	53	0

11	Oct_6_2008	81.41	86.27	89.48	90.43	90.37	90.18	87.8(-5.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-27	-20	-52	50	3.11	62%	0.09	58.8	2.03%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Oct_3_2008	81.34	85.89	89.46	90.7	90.48	92.12	93(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	85	120	69	133	2.63	66%	0.15	60.4	1.91%	0	1.4	73	0
13	Oct_2_2008	81.22	85.15	89.28	89.8	89.33	90.56	92.16(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	90	80	67	157	3.7	65%	0.12	56.8	1.92%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Oct_1_2008	81.12	84.48	88.57	89.13	88.41	88.85	91.3(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	10	26	153	2.86	65%	0.1	57.9	1.93%	0	1.5	74	0
15	Sep_30_2008	81.04	83.91	87.78	88.77	88.28	88.1	87.9(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-30	3	165	1.77	63%	0.07	62.5	1.87%	0	0.9	72	0

16	Sep_29_2008	80.98	83.51	87.38	88.39	88.59	87.96	89.16(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-40	2	178	1.71	63%	0.07	63.7	1.86%	0	1.3	71	0
17	Sep_26_2008	80.92	82.94	86.54	87.98	87.99	88.45	88.5(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	40	-27	164	1.05	63%	0.04	63.3	1.86%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Sep_25_2008	80.89	82.44	85.7	88.66	87.91	89.21	88.8(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	94	80	51	222	1.54	63%	0.05	73	1.87%	0	1.5	70	0
19	Sep_24_2008	80.85	81.84	84.67	87.9	88.1	87.52	89.5(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	99	-40	61	212	2.25	63%	0.02	70.7	1.87%	0	1.9	70	0
20	Sep_23_2008	80.83	81.2	83.51	86.66	86.73	86.62	86(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-41	146	1.08	58%	0	66.6	1.8%	0	1.3	62	0

21	Sep_22_2008	80.83	80.75	82.83	86.16	86.14	88.69	87.1(-5.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	118	210	94	188	1.94	58%	-0.02	63.6	1.81%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Sep_19_2008	80.85	80.25	82.08	84.8	84.61	86.84	91.9(8.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	188	180	180	210	3.5	63%	0.04	54.1	1.69%	0	3.4	79	0
23	Sep_18_2008	80.82	79.44	80.63	82.34	81.9	83.59	85(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	108	130	98	136	2.98	57%	-0.06	50.2	1.36%	0	2.5	68	0
24	Sep_17_2008	80.87	79.02	79.99	80.98	80.6	82.38	83.3(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	130	140	133	119	2.7	55%	-0.05	42.6	1.34%	0	2.3	69	0
25	Sep_16_2008	80.91	78.73	79.64	79.9	79.19	80.2	83.5(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	86	60	86	84	2.74	55%		34.8	1.34%	0	3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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