Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: BRK.B Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B)
BRK.B latest price $82.1100 (1.12%) ($80.8000 - $82.1200) on Thu. May. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $82.1100(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BRK.B advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BRK.B declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BRK.B advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IWM(68%)    XLY(64%)    EWG(62%)    EWI(61%)
Factors Impacting BRK.B price   BRK.B will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $76.4(-6.95%)
Resistance Level   $84.4
5 Day Moving Average   $81.85(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.11(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.4(-2.71%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $197.143b

Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. is engaged in the provision of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, freight rail transportation, finance, manufacturing, retailing, and services. It operates through following segments: GEICO, General Re, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, LLC, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, McLane Company, Manufacturing, Service and Retailing, and Finance and Financial products. The GEICO segments involves in underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods. The General Re offers underwriting excess-of-loss, quota-share, and facultative reinsurance. The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group segment consists of underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share reinsurance for insurers and reinsurers. The Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group segment comprises of underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies. The BNSF segment operates railroad systems in North America. The Berkshire Hathaway Energy segments deals with regulated electric and gas utility, including power generation and distribution activities, and domestic real estate brokerage and brokerage franchisor. The McLane Company segment offers wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items. The Manufacturing segment includes industrial and end-user products, building products, and apparel. The Service and Retailing segment involves providing fractional aircraft ownership programs, aviation pilot training, electronic components distribution, and retailing. The Finance and Financial Products segment includes manufactured housing and consumer financing; transportation equipment, manufacturing and leasing; and furniture leasing. The company was founded by Oliver Chace in 1839 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. BRK.B price fluctuates within 3.14% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 8.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 12.54%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2008	88.34	84.4	82.11	81.85	81.99	81.54	82.11(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-30	-15	-139	1.07	33%	-0.12	-32.8	1.23%	0	-0.9	25	0
2	May_21_2008	88.45	84.53	82.43	81.69	81.97	82.01	81.2(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	10	-27	-170	1.18	33%	-0.08	-37.6	1.22%	0	-1.3	20	0
3	May_20_2008	88.52	84.73	82.82	81.93	82.14	82.45	82.02(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	30	15	-167	1.39	33%	-0.15	-40.1	1.23%	0	-1.1	21	0
4	May_19_2008	88.65	84.89	83.28	82.12	82.26	81.92	82.39(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-41	-20	3	-172	1.34	33%	-0.14	-41.5	1.23%	0	-1	31	0
5	May_16_2008	88.77	85.05	83.69	82.02	82.36	81.83	81.54(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-85	-30	-48	-194	1.57	33%	-0.11	-44.9	1.22%	0	-1.5	40	0

6	May_15_2008	88.87	85.28	84.41	82.43	82.66	82.61	81.3(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-73	0	-44	-161	2.04	33%	-0.12	-45.7	1.22%	0	-1.8	43	0
7	May_14_2008	88.98	85.52	85.19	83.29	83.28	82.89	82.39(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-30	-20	-103	2	35%	-0.07	-42.9	1.22%	0	-1.6	46	0
8	May_13_2008	89.04	85.74	85.86	83.86	83.94	82.72	82.96(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-78	-100	-75	-86	1.14	39%	-0.1	-41.5	1.22%	0	-1.5	47	0
9	May_12_2008	89.13	85.89	86.35	84.65	84.81	83.66	81.9(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-91	-90	-102	-58	1.95	37%	-0.08	-38.7	1.25%	0	-2.3	43	0
10	May_9_2008	89.2	86.11	86.77	85.6	85.84	85.16	83.58(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-58	-50	-72	-17	1.84	39%	-0.07	-34.5	1.23%	0	-1.7	45	0

11	May_8_2008	89.26	86.29	86.94	86.68	86.61	85.96	85.6(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-41	-50	-60	18	1.09	42%	-0.04	-17.4	1.2%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	May_7_2008	89.3	86.39	86.87	87.4	87.52	86.52	85.25(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-39	-80	-63	35	1.59	42%	-0.06	-1.2	1.21%	0	-0.8	50	0
13	May_6_2008	89.35	86.52	86.85	88.17	88.22	87.27	86.9(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-37	-70	-67	53	1.68	45%	-0.04	15.2	1.19%	0	0.3	53	0
14	May_5_2008	89.39	86.57	86.66	88.33	88.64	88.53	86.67(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	7	0	-16	75	1.43	45%	-0.1	15.9	1.19%	0	0.1	55	0
15	May_2_2008	89.48	86.64	86.56	88.08	88.4	89.17	88.96(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	70	62	101	0.92	50%	-0.07	7.3	1.15%	0	1.5	69	0

16	May_1_2008	89.54	86.54	86.21	87.2	87.38	88.75	89.2(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	92	120	96	78	0.74	50%	-0.08	-13.9	1.16%	0	1.8	58	0
17	Apr_30_2008	89.61	86.4	85.82	86.26	86.27	87.63	89.14(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	94	110	111	42	1.34	50%	-0.11	-37	1.16%	0	2.1	54	0
18	Apr_29_2008	89.71	86.29	85.5	85.38	85.36	86.01	87.66(2.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	51	50	72	-11	0.88	52%	-0.13	-51	1.14%	0	1.1	45	0
19	Apr_28_2008	89.83	86.33	85.29	84.81	84.88	84.92	85.42(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	10	9	-69	1.05	42%	-0.16	-49.4	1.15%	0	-0.6	25	0
20	Apr_25_2008	89.97	86.52	85.31	84.83	84.87	84.71	84.6(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10	-16	-91	0.77	42%	-0.17	-39.3	1.18%	0	-1.3	19	0

21	Apr_24_2008	90.12	86.74	85.55	85.06	85.13	84.83	84.5(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-20	-19	-88	0.83	42%	-0.17	-31.1	1.18%	0	-1.6	29	0
22	Apr_23_2008	90.27	86.9	85.85	85.29	85.39	85.02	84.72(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-30	-31	-83	0.7	42%	-0.13	-21.3	1.18%	0	-1.6	36	0
23	Apr_22_2008	90.39	86.96	86.16	85.62	85.66	85.43	84.82(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-20	-24	-68	0.75	49%	-0.11	-17	1.18%	0	-1.7	34	0
24	Apr_21_2008	90.49	87.04	86.5	85.82	85.89	85.76	85.5(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10	-6	-54	0.74	49%	-0.1	-10.2	1.27%	0	-1.3	29	0
25	Apr_18_2008	90.58	87.12	86.76	85.86	85.91	85.89	85.76(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	0	-14	-63	1.11	49%		-7.5	1.28%	0	-1.2	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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