Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $224.0000 (-6.67%) ($220.0000 - $242.0000) on Mon. Jan. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.92% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $224.0000(-6.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    TLT(5%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.96% (StdDev 3.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.7%

Resistance Level   $249.98
5 Day Moving Average   $243.6(-8.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $253.91(-11.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $249.98(-10.39%)
To recent high   -22.2%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $1.017b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 5.18% (three month std-dev: 3.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.64%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -11.5%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 7.51%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.71%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2017	258.02	249.98	253.91	243.6	245	237.75	224(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-183	-190	-206	-112	0	52%	-0.41	-26.6	3.92%	0	-2	47	0
2	Jan_6_2017	259.09	251.78	256.75	252.8	251.63	248.5	240(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-90	-100	-107	-39	0	54%	-0.39	-3.7	3.85%	0	-1	53	0
3	Jan_5_2017	260.1	252.63	258.2	259.2	257.5	252.25	250(-1.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-49	-160	-68	9	0	56%	-0.34	16	3.83%	0	-0.2	62	0
4	Jan_4_2017	260.99	253.1	259.28	261.6	261.34	254.75	254(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-91	-180	-125	11	0	56%	-0.32	26.4	3.84%	0	0.1	64	0
5	Jan_3_2017	261.83	253.44	259.58	263.6	261.34	262.75	250(-7.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-40	-20	-71	54	0	52%	-0.65	33.6	3.85%	0	-0.3	63	0

6	Dec_30_2016	263.53	253.48	258.88	265.6	263.46	267.93	270(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	95	90	86	120	0	58%	-0.24	34.6	3.87%	0	1.5	60	0
7	Dec_29_2016	264.16	252.22	256.11	261.2	259.71	264.18	272(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	110	100	111	106	0	56%	-0.28	21.7	3.92%	0	1.9	55	0
8	Dec_28_2016	264.89	250.83	252.32	257.2	254.94	259	262(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	90	59	60	0	56%	-0.32	8.8	3.92%	0	1.2	53	0
9	Dec_27_2016	265.75	250.17	249.57	256.8	254.94	255.25	264(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	10	59	45	0	56%	-0.61	13.6	3.92%	0	1.5	51	0
10	Dec_23_2016	267.39	249.66	246.54	255.2	253.56	250.88	260(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-90	2	2	0	54%	-0.27	20.1	3.9%	0	1.1	48	0

11	Dec_22_2016	268.12	249.64	245.33	251.2	252.69	251.88	248(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-0	-36	-28	0	52%	-0.32	14.1	3.87%	0	-0.2	50	0
12	Dec_21_2016	268.97	249.92	246.17	250	250.38	256.25	252(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	170	71	17	0	52%	-0.27	1.4	3.87%	0	0.2	55	0
13	Dec_20_2016	269.71	249.99	246.4	246.4	246.75	253.5	260(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	145	200	176	52	0	52%	-0.31	-21.2	3.87%	0	1.1	59	0
14	Dec_19_2016	270.54	248.9	246.1	241.2	240.5	244.5	256(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	110	92	6	0	52%	-0.31	-60.2	3.86%	0	0.8	54	0
15	Dec_16_2016	271.39	247.84	246.43	236.8	237.38	240	240(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	80	43	-27	0	52%	-0.4	-91.5	3.77%	0	-0.8	39	0

16	Dec_15_2016	272.48	248.38	247.48	238.8	237.25	236.5	242(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-40	-12	-49	0	52%	-0.38	-87.9	3.85%	0	-0.7	36	0
17	Dec_14_2016	273.53	249.79	247.97	242	240.88	234.75	234(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-88	-190	-92	-75	0	50%	-0.38	-59	3.83%	0	-1.5	38	0
18	Dec_13_2016	274.58	251.94	249.37	246.4	246	238	234(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-147	-230	-165	-94	0	47%	-0.34	-22.7	3.86%	0	-1.6	38	0
19	Dec_12_2016	275.53	254.55	251.16	251.6	250.88	247	234(-6.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-114	-120	-133	-58	0	50%	-0.31	13.1	4%	0	-1.6	52	0
20	Dec_9_2016	276.4	256.93	253.52	251.6	255.5	254	250(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-60	-13	21	0	49%	-0.26	48.1	4.03%	0	-0.5	64	0

21	Dec_8_2016	277.13	256.92	254.67	257.2	256	254.75	258(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-50	-14	27	0	49%	-0.24	63.1	4.13%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Dec_7_2016	277.79	256.2	254.24	254.8	254.87	257	256(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	60	12	20	0	51%	-0.22	73.1	4.14%	0	-0	42	0
23	Dec_6_2016	278.4	254.59	254.02	252.8	253.37	257.25	260(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	110	69	25	0	49%	-0.26	68.4	4.17%	0	0.3	41	0
24	Dec_5_2016	279.13	252.83	251.9	250.8	251.87	252.75	262(4.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	33	40	49	-15	0	49%	-0.24	66.2	4.19%	0	0.5	38	0
25	Dec_2_2016	279.79	250.58	249.16	249.6	250.75	249.5	250(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-20	-40	-78	0	47%		61.1	4.18%	0	-0	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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