Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $262.0000 (4.8%) ($250.0000 - $264.0000) on Mon. Dec. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.19% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $262.0000(4.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    TLT(5%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.095% (StdDev 4.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $250.8(4.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $251.9(4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $252.83(3.63%)
To recent high   -15.5%
To recent low   34.7%
Market Cap   $1.19b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 6.93% (three month std-dev: 4.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.86%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2016	279.13	252.83	251.9	250.8	251.87	252.75	262(4.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	33	40	49	-15	0	49%	-0.24	66.2	4.19%	0	0.5	38	INF
2	Dec_2_2016	279.79	250.58	249.16	249.6	250.75	249.5	250(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-20	-40	-78	0	47%	-0.34	61.1	4.18%	0	-0	36	INF
3	Dec_1_2016	280.74	248.62	249.13	252	253.13	251	246(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-38	-50	-28	-67	0	49%	-0.42	57	4.17%	0	-0.1	52	INF
4	Nov_30_2016	281.91	246.36	251.54	253.6	254.88	252	246(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-60	-46	-56	0	49%	-0.43	49	4.17%	0	-0	55	INF
5	Nov_29_2016	283.13	244.05	254.55	255.2	255.5	255.25	250(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-0	-16	-11	0	49%	-0.38	43.1	4.16%	0	0.2	64	INF

6	Nov_28_2016	284.22	241.73	258.08	252.8	254.25	257.75	256(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	110	68	49	0	49%	-0.36	34.6	4.16%	0	0.5	65	INF
7	Nov_25_2016	285.25	239.33	260.48	248.4	249.38	255.75	262(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	102	190	107	86	0	47%	-0.65	27.6	4.16%	0	0.8	69	INF
8	Nov_23_2016	287.12	236.91	259.2	246	243.5	250.75	254(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	81	180	77	91	0	47%	-0.43	24.5	4.14%	0	0.6	70	INF
9	Nov_22_2016	288.36	234.92	258.25	249.6	244.88	243	254(6.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-110	25	111	0	47%	-0.12	27.3	4.14%	0	0.7	73	INF
10	Nov_21_2016	288.7	232.99	255.28	254.4	251.38	236.25	238(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-162	-460	-232	48	0	45%	-0.54	31.7	4.05%	0	0.2	70	INF

11	Nov_18_2016	290.26	232.3	254.22	264.4	262.63	246.75	234(-6.4%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-259	-440	-364	55	0	45%	-0.57	43.4	4.05%	0	0.1	66	INF
12	Nov_17_2016	291.91	231.55	252.85	274	276.55	266.5	250(-8.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-68	-230	-156	196	0	47%	-0.5	51.9	3.99%	0	0.7	68	INF
13	Nov_16_2016	293.37	230.07	248.92	273.6	277.43	278.5	272(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	70	-38	255	0	50%	-0.57	49.4	3.87%	0	1.5	71	INF
14	Nov_15_2016	295.05	227.36	241.44	267.6	270.3	286.6	278(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	281	450	259	346	0	50%	-0.52	42.4	3.87%	0	1.9	74	INF
15	Nov_14_2016	296.6	224.37	233.07	256	257.05	276.35	288(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	426	540	446	364	0	50%	-0.48	28.4	3.87%	0	2.7	76	INF

16	Nov_11_2016	298.02	220.62	223.89	242.8	240.38	254	282(13.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	303	370	321	247	0	49%	-0.52	9.1	3.86%	0	3.3	69	INF
17	Nov_10_2016	299.57	217.7	215.73	229.2	230.13	237.75	248(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	226	240	247	161	0	42%	-0.6	-18	3.47%	0	2.2	63	INF
18	Nov_9_2016	301.39	217	211.94	220.8	222.38	226.75	242(10%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	129	160	146	77	0	42%	-0.65	-39.4	3.45%	0	1.9	58	INF
19	Nov_8_2016	303.35	216.73	208.74	211.41	215.63	222.5	220(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	113	280	142	24	0	37%	-0.58	-61	3.19%	0	0.2	47	INF
20	Nov_7_2016	305.13	217.86	208.13	206.31	209.69	218	222(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	163	330	211	20	0	37%	-0.56	-66.7	3.19%	0	0.3	47	INF

21	Nov_4_2016	306.84	218.9	208.01	201.91	204.12	208.75	214(3.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	101	190	143	-26	0	38%	-0.65	-74.5	3.22%	0	-0.3	45	INF
22	Nov_3_2016	308.86	220.22	208.24	200.31	201.62	201.38	206(5.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	10	14	-98	0	35%	-0.67	-81.9	3.17%	0	-0.9	31	INF
23	Nov_2_2016	310.95	222.35	209.74	201.91	202.79	199.5	195.04(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-107	-100	-92	-151	0	30%	-0.69	-79.3	3.09%	0	-1.5	17	INF
24	Nov_1_2016	313.12	225.39	212.51	205.7	207.1	201.87	194.52(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-128	-160	-118	-158	0	30%	-0.8	-82.1	3.12%	0	-1.8	15	INF
25	Oct_31_2016	315.66	228.23	215.57	210	210.98	206.08	200(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-156	-150	-152	-169	0	30%		-85.3	3.12%	0	-1.7	16	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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