Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $278.0000 (-3.47%) ($270.0000 - $300.0000) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.87% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $278.0000(-3.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 15.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    VIXM(4%)    XHB(2%)    BND(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    USO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.935% (StdDev 3.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $267.6(3.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $241.44(15.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $227.36(22.27%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   42.9%
Market Cap   $1.263b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 11.57% (three month std-dev: 3.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 9.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.13%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 7.83%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.82%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 9.67%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.28%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2016	295.05	227.36	241.44	267.6	270.3	286.6	278(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	281	450	259	346	0	50%	-0.52	42.4	3.87%	0	1.9	74	INF
2	Nov_14_2016	296.6	224.37	233.07	256	257.05	276.35	288(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	426	540	446	364	0	50%	-0.48	28.4	3.87%	0	2.7	76	INF
3	Nov_11_2016	298.02	220.62	223.89	242.8	240.38	254	282(13.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	303	370	321	247	0	49%	-0.52	9.1	3.86%	0	3.3	69	INF
4	Nov_10_2016	299.57	217.7	215.73	229.2	230.13	237.75	248(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	226	240	247	161	0	42%	-0.6	-18	3.47%	0	2.2	63	INF
5	Nov_9_2016	301.39	217	211.94	220.8	222.38	226.75	242(10%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	129	160	146	77	0	42%	-0.65	-39.4	3.45%	0	1.9	58	INF

6	Nov_8_2016	303.35	216.73	208.74	211.41	215.63	222.5	220(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	113	280	142	24	0	37%	-0.58	-61	3.19%	0	0.2	47	INF
7	Nov_7_2016	305.13	217.86	208.13	206.31	209.69	218	222(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	163	330	211	20	0	37%	-0.56	-66.7	3.19%	0	0.3	47	INF
8	Nov_4_2016	306.84	218.9	208.01	201.91	204.12	208.75	214(3.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	101	190	143	-26	0	38%	-0.65	-74.5	3.22%	0	-0.3	45	INF
9	Nov_3_2016	308.86	220.22	208.24	200.31	201.62	201.38	206(5.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	10	14	-98	0	35%	-0.67	-81.9	3.17%	0	-0.9	31	INF
10	Nov_2_2016	310.95	222.35	209.74	201.91	202.79	199.5	195.04(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-107	-100	-92	-151	0	30%	-0.69	-79.3	3.09%	0	-1.5	17	INF

11	Nov_1_2016	313.12	225.39	212.51	205.7	207.1	201.87	194.52(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-128	-160	-118	-158	0	30%	-0.8	-82.1	3.12%	0	-1.8	15	INF
12	Oct_31_2016	315.66	228.23	215.57	210	210.98	206.08	200(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-156	-150	-152	-169	0	30%	-0.91	-85.3	3.12%	0	-1.7	16	INF
13	Oct_28_2016	318.55	231.15	217.73	214.8	214.85	212.33	206(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-113	-80	-101	-148	0	30%	-0.88	-75	3.11%	0	-1.4	17	INF
14	Oct_27_2016	321.39	234.75	220.33	217.2	218.69	215.87	214(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-48	-70	-25	-116	0	31%	-0.89	-72.1	3.09%	0	-1.1	26	INF
15	Oct_26_2016	324.28	237.31	222.82	218.8	218.31	217.38	214(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-102	-40	-89	-141	0	31%	-0.85	-71.7	3.12%	0	-1.2	22	INF

16	Oct_25_2016	327.05	240.36	225.55	220.4	220.25	221.5	216(-3.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	40	18	-101	0	31%	-0.91	-71	3.15%	0	-1.2	21	INF
17	Oct_24_2016	330.06	243.33	228.47	222	221.63	219.25	224(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-80	7	-103	0	32%	-0.84	-70.9	3.15%	0	-1	31	INF
18	Oct_21_2016	332.85	245.7	230.56	221.2	221.5	219	218(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-126	-70	-113	-164	0	32%	-0.85	-72.7	3.12%	0	-1.4	21	INF
19	Oct_20_2016	335.7	248.71	233.02	224	224.13	219	222(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-68	-0	-41	-150	0	32%	-0.91	-68.5	3.12%	0	-1.3	17	INF
20	Oct_19_2016	338.77	251.97	235.79	227.6	227.38	224	222(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-110	-56	-152	0	31%	-0.94	-59.1	3.14%	0	-1.4	29	INF

21	Oct_18_2016	342	255.27	239.17	231.6	231.65	224.25	224(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-174	-220	-168	-193	0	31%	-0.35	-51.6	3.19%	0	-1.5	27	INF
22	Oct_17_2016	343.2	258.13	241.86	236	237.4	230.75	220(-5.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-197	-180	-194	-204	0	31%	-0.97	-47.2	3.18%	0	-2	24	INF
23	Oct_14_2016	346.57	261.34	245.78	241.2	242.65	239.05	232(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-116	-90	-102	-157	0	30%	-0.9	-49.4	3.17%	0	-1.7	31	INF
24	Oct_13_2016	349.73	263.73	250.42	243.2	244.52	244.05	240(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	0	-52	-128	0	31%	-0.88	-51.7	3.2%	0	-1.5	31	INF
25	Oct_12_2016	352.84	264.99	253	245.2	245.88	246.25	242(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	20	-6	-116	0	31%		-63.7	3.2%	0	-1.5	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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