Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $206.0000 (5.62%) ($196.0000 - $214.0000) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.17% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $206.0000(5.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    VIXM(4%)    XHB(2%)    BND(1%)    SHY(1%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-6%)    XLE(-6%)    OIH(-6%)    XLP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.585% (StdDev 3.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $194.85(-5.41%)
Resistance Level   $220.22
5 Day Moving Average   $200.31(2.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $208.24(-1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $220.22(-6.46%)
To recent high   -40.8%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $936m

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 7.56% (three month std-dev: 3.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.05%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(67%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.92%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	308.86	220.22	208.24	200.31	201.62	201.38	206(5.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	10	14	-98	0	35%	-0.67	-81.9	3.17%	0	-0.9	31	INF
2	Nov_2_2016	310.95	222.35	209.74	201.91	202.79	199.5	195.04(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-107	-100	-92	-151	0	30%	-0.69	-79.3	3.09%	0	-1.5	17	INF
3	Nov_1_2016	313.12	225.39	212.51	205.7	207.1	201.87	194.52(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-128	-160	-118	-158	0	30%	-0.8	-82.1	3.12%	0	-1.8	15	INF
4	Oct_31_2016	315.66	228.23	215.57	210	210.98	206.08	200(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-156	-150	-152	-169	0	30%	-0.91	-85.3	3.12%	0	-1.7	16	INF
5	Oct_28_2016	318.55	231.15	217.73	214.8	214.85	212.33	206(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-113	-80	-101	-148	0	30%	-0.88	-75	3.11%	0	-1.4	17	INF

6	Oct_27_2016	321.39	234.75	220.33	217.2	218.69	215.87	214(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-48	-70	-25	-116	0	31%	-0.89	-72.1	3.09%	0	-1.1	26	INF
7	Oct_26_2016	324.28	237.31	222.82	218.8	218.31	217.38	214(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-102	-40	-89	-141	0	31%	-0.85	-71.7	3.12%	0	-1.2	22	INF
8	Oct_25_2016	327.05	240.36	225.55	220.4	220.25	221.5	216(-3.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	40	18	-101	0	31%	-0.91	-71	3.15%	0	-1.2	21	INF
9	Oct_24_2016	330.06	243.33	228.47	222	221.63	219.25	224(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-80	7	-103	0	32%	-0.84	-70.9	3.15%	0	-1	31	INF
10	Oct_21_2016	332.85	245.7	230.56	221.2	221.5	219	218(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-126	-70	-113	-164	0	32%	-0.85	-72.7	3.12%	0	-1.4	21	INF

11	Oct_20_2016	335.7	248.71	233.02	224	224.13	219	222(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-68	-0	-41	-150	0	32%	-0.91	-68.5	3.12%	0	-1.3	17	INF
12	Oct_19_2016	338.77	251.97	235.79	227.6	227.38	224	222(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-110	-56	-152	0	31%	-0.94	-59.1	3.14%	0	-1.4	29	INF
13	Oct_18_2016	342	255.27	239.17	231.6	231.65	224.25	224(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-174	-220	-168	-193	0	31%	-0.35	-51.6	3.19%	0	-1.5	27	INF
14	Oct_17_2016	343.2	258.13	241.86	236	237.4	230.75	220(-5.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-197	-180	-194	-204	0	31%	-0.97	-47.2	3.18%	0	-2	24	INF
15	Oct_14_2016	346.57	261.34	245.78	241.2	242.65	239.05	232(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-116	-90	-102	-157	0	30%	-0.9	-49.4	3.17%	0	-1.7	31	INF

16	Oct_13_2016	349.73	263.73	250.42	243.2	244.52	244.05	240(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	0	-52	-128	0	31%	-0.88	-51.7	3.2%	0	-1.5	31	INF
17	Oct_12_2016	352.84	264.99	253	245.2	245.88	246.25	242(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	20	-6	-116	0	31%	-0.92	-63.7	3.2%	0	-1.5	28	INF
18	Oct_11_2016	356.12	266.15	256.32	248	247.88	245	246(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-51	-80	-27	-122	0	31%	-0.91	-77.2	3.21%	0	-1.4	29	INF
19	Oct_10_2016	359.39	267.63	259.27	248.8	249.75	245.5	246(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-123	-110	-112	-157	0	31%	-0.81	-79	3.21%	0	-1.4	35	INF
20	Oct_7_2016	362.33	270.29	261.92	251.2	252.33	250.75	242(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-128	-30	-118	-158	0	29%	-0.83	-83.1	3.2%	0	-2	32	INF

21	Oct_6_2016	365.37	272.31	265.61	258.8	257.58	254	250(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-110	-51	-104	0	30%	-0.76	-80.7	3.23%	0	-1.6	38	INF
22	Oct_5_2016	368.18	274.98	269.39	262	262.45	253.9	256(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-152	-220	-161	-123	0	30%	-0.79	-71.9	3.22%	0	-1.3	51	INF
23	Oct_4_2016	371.12	277.61	272.58	266	266.7	261.15	250(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-178	-140	-201	-109	0	30%	-0.75	-66.7	3.22%	0	-1.8	48	INF
24	Oct_3_2016	373.92	280.07	275.8	271.2	270.62	271	258(-7.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	0	-38	-21	0	30%	-0.71	-67.5	3.23%	0	-1.6	45	INF
25	Sep_30_2016	376.59	282.65	278.36	274	272	272.25	280(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-20	36	8	0	33%		-63.7	3.1%	0	-0.2	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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