Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $280.0000 (-0.71%) ($270.0000 - $290.0000) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $280.0000(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(6%)    BOTZ(4%)    TLT(4%)    VIXM(4%)    BND(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    IBUY(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    XLP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $298.57
5 Day Moving Average   $272.8(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $282.58(-0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $298.57(-6.22%)
To recent high   -36.1%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $1.272b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 7.22% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 5.39%(71%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(29%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 7.69%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -3.38%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 14.63%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.1%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	396.69	298.57	282.58	272.8	274.69	281.37	280(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	42	190	79	-70	0	35%	-0.53	-68.3	3.46%	0	-0.9	41	0
2	Sep_19_2016	398.8	301.11	284.28	271.6	271.31	278.12	282(1.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	81	170	129	-62	0	35%	-0.46	-70.7	3.47%	0	-0.9	41	0
3	Sep_16_2016	400.63	303.4	286.87	275.2	272.38	268	278(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-140	19	-99	0	33%	-0.45	-68	3.51%	0	-1.1	38	0
4	Sep_15_2016	402.45	306.38	290.51	275.6	275.88	264.5	262(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-255	-290	-267	-220	0	29%	-0.5	-66.5	3.41%	0	-2	30	0
5	Sep_14_2016	404.49	310.19	295.12	284	283.88	276.75	262(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-245	-180	-258	-207	0	27%	-0.59	-64.4	3.41%	0	-2.3	27	0

6	Sep_13_2016	406.9	314.05	300.19	293.6	293.56	287.25	274(-8.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-114	-150	-109	-128	0	26%	-0.71	-63.5	3.5%	0	-2.2	32	0
7	Sep_12_2016	409.82	317.64	304.21	298.4	298.94	291	300(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-163	-180	-168	-148	0	28%	-0.61	-62.7	3.49%	0	-1.1	38	0
8	Sep_9_2016	412.35	319.37	305.93	300.4	303.19	299.88	280(-7.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-162	-50	-165	-151	0	23%	-0.7	-64.8	3.35%	0	-2.4	30	0
9	Sep_8_2016	415.24	322.14	310.47	307.6	308.44	306.88	304(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-30	-0	-73	0	25%	-0.65	-64.9	3.23%	0	-1.4	33	0
10	Sep_7_2016	417.94	324.14	313.69	307.6	309	306.5	310(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-50	-57	-94	0	24%	-0.61	-60.9	3.25%	0	-1.1	36	0

11	Sep_6_2016	420.49	325.91	315.76	308	309.38	310	298(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	30	-36	-89	0	20%	-0.94	-53.9	3.24%	0	-2	28	0
12	Sep_2_2016	424.46	328.29	319.23	310.8	310.19	311.5	310(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	13	20	36	-58	0	20%	-0.57	-51.8	3.23%	0	-1.4	28	0
13	Sep_1_2016	426.89	330.2	321.07	312.4	310.56	308.75	316(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-60	-36	-85	0	20%	-0.55	-49.2	3.27%	0	-1.2	40	0
14	Aug_31_2016	429.25	331.08	323.17	314	313.94	308.88	306(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-113	-110	-114	-111	0	17%	-0.56	-54	3.24%	0	-2.2	35	0
15	Aug_30_2016	431.68	332.53	326.27	320.4	319.06	312.38	310(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-159	-160	-172	-119	0	17%	-0.56	-51.3	3.24%	0	-2.2	30	0

16	Aug_29_2016	434.1	333.5	328.98	324.8	325.75	319	312(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-137	-140	-149	-102	0	17%	-0.61	-51.1	3.26%	0	-2.4	30	0
17	Aug_26_2016	436.77	335.08	332.25	328.8	329.87	325.75	318(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-117	-80	-128	-82	0	17%	-0.57	-38.9	3.27%	0	-2.3	34	0
18	Aug_25_2016	439.29	336.26	334.01	330.8	332.12	332.5	324(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	20	-33	-45	0	17%	-0.53	-22.2	3.27%	0	-1.8	35	0
19	Aug_24_2016	441.64	337.47	334.95	333.6	332.62	334	338(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	25	20	36	-10	0	18%	-0.48	5.7	3.26%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Aug_23_2016	443.78	337.82	335.43	333.2	332.56	331.75	332(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-20	-3	-22	0	23%	-0.58	19.6	3.25%	0	-0.9	52	0

21	Aug_22_2016	446.36	338.16	336.77	334	333.56	331.25	332(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-50	-53	-30	0	23%	-0.47	36.8	3.35%	0	-0.9	56	0
22	Aug_19_2016	448.46	338.05	337.96	336.4	335.44	333.38	328(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-50	-55	-23	0	23%	-0.43	39.5	3.34%	0	-1.3	44	0
23	Aug_18_2016	450.38	337.8	339.99	337.6	337.19	335.88	338(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-10	-30	-14	1	0	23%	-0.33	37.8	3.36%	0	0	49	0
24	Aug_17_2016	451.88	337.08	339.49	336.4	336.25	337.5	336(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	20	-14	-10	0	23%	-0.31	20.4	3.37%	0	-0.1	43	0
25	Aug_16_2016	453.27	336.55	339.21	338	335.88	338.5	336(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	40	47	13	0	23%		5.2	3.42%	0	-0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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