Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $366.0000 (2.23%) ($350.0000 - $368.0000) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.68% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $366.0000(2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(5%)    TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    BND(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -1.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    XLP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.84% (StdDev 3.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $398.81
5 Day Moving Average   $363.2(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $380.28(-3.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $398.81(-8.23%)
To recent high   -35.6%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $1.662b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 6.81% (three month std-dev: 3.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.84%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 10.93%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.06%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	462.53	398.81	380.28	363.2	361.01	359.76	366(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-40	-24	-145	0	29%	0.12	-100	3.68%	0	-1.2	24	INF
2	Jul_11_2016	461.96	402.76	386.57	365.6	365.13	358.76	358(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-122	-130	-108	-164	0	28%	0.13	-106.4	3.66%	0	-1.6	42	INF
3	Jul_8_2016	461.37	409	393.54	372.4	371.25	362.25	358(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-198	-180	-205	-177	0	28%	0.13	-92.9	3.69%	0	-1.6	44	INF
4	Jul_7_2016	460.78	415.4	401.38	380.4	379.62	371.5	358(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-173	-160	-182	-144	0	28%	0.14	-84	3.7%	0	-1.7	38	INF
5	Jul_6_2016	460.12	422.4	408.68	387.6	386.25	380.25	376(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-186	-120	-204	-133	0	29%	0.21	-78.4	3.68%	0	-1.3	42	INF

6	Jul_5_2016	459.14	427.94	414.84	400	396.75	387.75	378(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-169	-180	-194	-94	0	27%	0.23	-74.8	3.69%	0	-1.4	44	INF
7	Jul_1_2016	458.08	434.6	417.29	410.8	411.38	392.25	392(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-208	-320	-242	-107	0	33%	0.27	-65	3.89%	0	-1.1	38	INF
8	Jun_30_2016	456.84	439.92	417.86	418	419.13	405.75	398(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-329	-220	-379	-177	0	37%	-0.13	-64.7	4%	0	-1.1	32	INF
9	Jun_29_2016	457.44	444.97	419.74	425.6	427.25	430.5	394(-10.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	60	-50	-54	0	43%	-0.14	-61.8	4.01%	0	-1.2	30	INF
10	Jun_28_2016	458.1	451.47	421.92	432.4	429.62	432.5	438(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	100	30	132	5	0	46%	-0.05	-59	4.04%	0	-0.3	34	INF

11	Jun_27_2016	458.32	456.29	419.02	432	426.12	424	432(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-80	-32	-86	0	46%	-0.06	-60.8	4.04%	0	-0.5	37	INF
12	Jun_24_2016	458.6	461.87	419.99	424.8	427	426.75	428(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	15	10	49	-86	0.04	49%	-0.07	-59.2	4.07%	0	-0.7	31	INF
13	Jun_23_2016	458.92	467.37	425.03	417.6	419	428.25	436(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	36	160	78	-90	0	49%	-0.05	-60.8	4.1%	0	-0.6	37	INF
14	Jun_22_2016	459.17	472.58	429.49	413.2	410.76	427.25	428(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	177	260	247	-34	0	51%	-0.08	-60.1	4.1%	0	-0.8	34	INF
15	Jun_21_2016	459.52	479.2	436.04	410	406.63	409.75	436(10.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	152	30	221	-56	0	51%	-0.06	-58.4	4.14%	0	-0.8	32	INF

16	Jun_20_2016	459.78	485.53	440.77	404.8	402.84	394.27	396(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-203	-160	-188	-249	0	46%	-0.15	-56.5	3.95%	0	-1.6	16	INF
17	Jun_17_2016	460.49	492.73	452.44	414.8	410.62	403.52	392(-5.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-259	-150	-256	-268	0	46%	-0.17	-55.2	3.97%	0	-1.9	14	INF
18	Jun_16_2016	461.27	500.5	463.56	433.6	428.48	411.42	414(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-237	-310	-235	-244	0	49%	-0.12	-49.7	3.91%	0	-1.8	19	INF
19	Jun_15_2016	461.82	506.5	472.44	448.4	446.42	417.71	412(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-485	-460	-530	-351	0	49%	-0.13	-47.4	3.91%	0	-2.2	18	INF
20	Jun_14_2016	462.4	513.48	484.09	466	466.59	445.55	410(-8.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-485	-310	-535	-335	0	49%	-0.13	-43.4	3.91%	0	-2.7	16	INF

21	Jun_13_2016	463.01	519.75	497.65	481.6	484.81	475.13	446(-8.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-235	-120	-245	-205	0	53%	-0.04	-44.7	3.77%	0	-2.5	19	INF
22	Jun_10_2016	463.21	523.89	508.18	495.2	492.94	487.63	486(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-90	-184	-159	0	57%	0.06	-42.4	3.61%	0	-1.6	39	INF
23	Jun_9_2016	462.94	525.66	513.75	498	503.25	494.5	488(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-90	-72	-110	0	61%	0.07	-44.9	3.61%	0	-1.7	38	INF
24	Jun_8_2016	462.63	528.15	519.38	500.4	505.38	498.25	500(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-218	-70	-235	-166	0	61%	0.1	-39.2	3.7%	0	-1.3	45	INF
25	Jun_7_2016	462.17	530.7	525.6	505.6	510.75	512	488(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-88	50	-86	-93	0	63%		-22.3	3.69%	0	-2.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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