Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $428.0000 (-1.83%) ($404.0000 - $446.0000) on Fri. Jun. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.07% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $428.0000(-1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(5%)    TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    BND(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.035% (StdDev 4.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $461.87
5 Day Moving Average   $424.8(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $419.99(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $461.87(-7.33%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $1.944b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 10.58% (three month std-dev: 4.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.71%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.83%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.78%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -25.71%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2016	458.6	461.87	419.99	424.8	427	426.75	428(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	15	10	49	-86	0.04	49%	-0.07	-59.2	4.07%	0	-0.7	31	INF
2	Jun_23_2016	458.92	467.37	425.03	417.6	419	428.25	436(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	36	160	78	-90	0	49%	-0.05	-60.8	4.1%	0	-0.6	37	INF
3	Jun_22_2016	459.17	472.58	429.49	413.2	410.76	427.25	428(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	177	260	247	-34	0	51%	-0.08	-60.1	4.1%	0	-0.8	34	INF
4	Jun_21_2016	459.52	479.2	436.04	410	406.63	409.75	436(10.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	152	30	221	-56	0	51%	-0.06	-58.4	4.14%	0	-0.8	32	INF
5	Jun_20_2016	459.78	485.53	440.77	404.8	402.84	394.27	396(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-203	-160	-188	-249	0	46%	-0.15	-56.5	3.95%	0	-1.6	16	INF

6	Jun_17_2016	460.49	492.73	452.44	414.8	410.62	403.52	392(-5.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-259	-150	-256	-268	0	46%	-0.17	-55.2	3.97%	0	-1.9	14	INF
7	Jun_16_2016	461.27	500.5	463.56	433.6	428.48	411.42	414(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-237	-310	-235	-244	0	49%	-0.12	-49.7	3.91%	0	-1.8	19	INF
8	Jun_15_2016	461.82	506.5	472.44	448.4	446.42	417.71	412(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-485	-460	-530	-351	0	49%	-0.13	-47.4	3.91%	0	-2.2	18	INF
9	Jun_14_2016	462.4	513.48	484.09	466	466.59	445.55	410(-8.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-485	-310	-535	-335	0	49%	-0.13	-43.4	3.91%	0	-2.7	16	INF
10	Jun_13_2016	463.01	519.75	497.65	481.6	484.81	475.13	446(-8.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-235	-120	-245	-205	0	53%	-0.04	-44.7	3.77%	0	-2.5	19	INF

11	Jun_10_2016	463.21	523.89	508.18	495.2	492.94	487.63	486(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-90	-184	-159	0	57%	0.06	-42.4	3.61%	0	-1.6	39	INF
12	Jun_9_2016	462.94	525.66	513.75	498	503.25	494.5	488(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-90	-72	-110	0	61%	0.07	-44.9	3.61%	0	-1.7	38	INF
13	Jun_8_2016	462.63	528.15	519.38	500.4	505.38	498.25	500(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-218	-70	-235	-166	0	61%	0.1	-39.2	3.7%	0	-1.3	45	INF
14	Jun_7_2016	462.17	530.7	525.6	505.6	510.75	512	488(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-88	50	-86	-93	0	63%	0.07	-22.3	3.69%	0	-2.1	37	INF
15	Jun_6_2016	461.85	533.33	533.49	516.4	519.13	512.5	514(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-70	-15	-37	0	66%	0.14	3.9	3.7%	0	-1.1	50	INF

16	Jun_3_2016	461.19	534.35	535.75	523.6	525	509.5	500(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-254	-200	-295	-132	0	58%	0.11	34.7	4.13%	0	-2	48	INF
17	Jun_2_2016	460.69	535.98	540.16	532	537.5	525.75	500(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-195	-120	-231	-88	0	59%	0.11	76.8	4.15%	0	-2.4	49	INF
18	Jun_1_2016	460.18	536.47	543.4	540.8	543.75	540.5	526(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-117	-30	-142	-41	0	63%	0.19	108.5	4.11%	0	-0.7	49	INF
19	May_31_2016	459.32	535.24	545.41	548.4	547.75	549.25	542(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-1	26	0	62%	0.24	108.4	4.14%	0	0.4	48	INF
20	May_27_2016	458.21	532.65	543.85	553.2	551	547	550(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-60	14	37	0	63%	0.27	68.3	4.09%	0	0.7	54	INF

21	May_26_2016	456.97	528.51	541.01	550	550.75	546.25	542(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-50	-97	-15	0	63%	0.25	42.2	4.13%	0	0.5	54	INF
22	May_25_2016	455.81	524.5	538.63	549.6	549.5	555	544(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	70	35	35	0	63%	0.27	22.6	4.12%	0	0.6	56	INF
23	May_24_2016	454.58	520.59	537.59	546	544.75	555.25	564(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	163	130	185	98	0	67%	0.34	4	4.09%	0	1.4	68	INF
24	May_23_2016	453.04	517.14	535.73	542	538.75	544	566(5.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	135	50	150	91	0	67%	0.36	-8.6	4.3%	0	1.6	70	INF
25	May_20_2016	451.43	516.32	532.36	533.6	534.5	534.25	534(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	0	47	50	0	66%		-16.8	4.24%	0	0.6	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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