Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $544.0000 (3.82%) ($514.0000 - $544.0000) on Tue. May. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.23% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $544.0000(3.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(5%)    TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    BND(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    XLP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.115% (StdDev 4.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $527.6(3.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $528.84(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $519.33(4.75%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   85%
Market Cap   $2.471b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 6.47% (three month std-dev: 4.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.63%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.08%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2016	447.76	519.33	528.84	527.6	523.44	525.38	544(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	0	75	103	0	68%	0.33	-16.7	4.23%	0	0.7	77	0
2	May_16_2016	446.3	519.77	524.17	528.8	524.81	518.13	524(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-54	-110	-86	42	0	68%	0.27	-13.9	4.24%	0	0.1	58	0
3	May_13_2016	445.11	521.34	520.74	531.2	531.08	521.5	520(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-106	-130	-143	6	0	68%	0.26	-10.6	4.24%	0	-0	42	0
4	May_12_2016	443.94	522.79	515.52	533.6	534.33	531.5	516(-3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-76	-30	-103	5	0	68%	0.26	-11.8	4.28%	0	-0.2	44	0
5	May_11_2016	442.79	524.4	510.07	536	533.45	540.65	534(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	82	80	90	59	0	68%	0.33	-12.2	4.24%	0	0.3	43	0

6	May_10_2016	441.32	525.02	503.02	529.6	527.33	537.15	550(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	192	120	230	79	0	68%	0.4	-17.9	4.24%	0	0.7	45	0
7	May_9_2016	439.54	524.57	497.25	518.8	514.38	526.25	536(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	158	140	199	34	0	68%	0.37	-26.8	4.27%	0	0.3	44	0
8	May_6_2016	437.93	525.09	498.53	508.8	502	517.5	532(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	209	180	263	45	0	68%	0.36	-37.6	4.31%	0	0.2	43	0
9	May_5_2016	436.34	526.99	499.23	494.8	491.13	502.5	528(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	233	140	298	37	0	68%	0.36	-42.7	4.34%	0	0	45	0
10	May_4_2016	434.76	528.79	501.85	480.4	476.63	486.5	502(1.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	102	120	149	-40	0	67%	0.27	-46.9	4.35%	0	-0.7	39	0

11	May_3_2016	433.58	531.52	507.83	472.4	467.38	479.75	496(2.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	130	150	184	-32	0	67%	0.26	-45.8	4.39%	0	-0.9	37	0
12	May_2_2016	432.46	534.35	513.91	472.8	462.13	466.75	486(5.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	30	0	65	-77	0	67%	0.22	-37	4.43%	0	-1.2	35	0
13	Apr_29_2016	431.49	539.47	521.24	487.6	470.13	455	462(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-195	-330	-205	-164	0	66%	0.13	-9.6	4.43%	0	-2.1	25	0
14	Apr_28_2016	430.93	543.84	530.71	504.8	494	457.5	456(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-429	-580	-485	-259	0	66%	0.11	19.6	4.48%	0	-2.7	19	0
15	Apr_27_2016	430.45	547.6	540.87	526.4	517.38	485.25	462(-7.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-601	-490	-695	-319	0	66%	0.14	61.3	4.51%	0	-2.9	23	0

16	Apr_26_2016	429.85	549.62	550.56	547.6	543.88	530.5	498(-11.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-271	-190	-314	-140	0	70%	0.31	101.6	4.39%	0	-1.8	35	0
17	Apr_25_2016	428.51	549.12	556.05	547.6	556.75	549.5	560(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-97	-110	-114	-45	0	77%	0.62	101.5	4.07%	0	0.3	56	0
18	Apr_22_2016	425.88	543.08	555.06	560	559.25	557.25	548(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-30	-101	-48	0	77%	0.59	107	4.11%	0	0.1	36	0
19	Apr_21_2016	423.39	537.46	557.73	560.8	561.75	564	564(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	30	62	26	0	77%	0.7	95.7	4.1%	0	0.6	59	0
20	Apr_20_2016	420.46	529.98	557.95	558	558.25	561.25	568(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	40	25	0	77%	0.75	84.4	4.13%	0	0.7	65	0

21	Apr_19_2016	417.32	522.47	556.65	554.4	556.13	559.5	560(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	66	50	71	49	0	77%	0.75	79.6	4.18%	0	0.6	71	0
22	Apr_18_2016	414.22	514.41	555.68	551.6	553.63	555.25	560(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	57	58	0	77%	0.79	73.7	4.22%	0	0.7	73	0
23	Apr_15_2016	410.98	505.99	558.11	549.6	550	552.75	552(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	40	-11	67	0	77%	0.79	70.3	4.26%	0	0.7	78	0
24	Apr_14_2016	407.77	497.48	557.17	554.4	552.26	552	550(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	45	-10	20	118	0	77%	0.82	69.9	4.31%	0	0.7	79	0
25	Apr_13_2016	404.47	488.88	554.45	558	556.88	547.25	550(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-130	-68	122	0	77%		69.5	4.35%	0	0.8	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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