Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $502.0000 (1.21%) ($476.0000 - $510.0000) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $502.0000(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(5%)    TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.5%

Resistance Level   $528.79
5 Day Moving Average   $480.4(4.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $501.85(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $528.79(-5.07%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   85.9%
Market Cap   $2.28b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 7.31% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.57%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.75%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.34%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.96%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.16%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	434.76	528.79	501.85	480.4	476.63	486.5	502(1.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	102	120	149	-40	0	67%	0.27	-46.9	4.35%	0	-0.7	39	0
2	May_3_2016	433.58	531.52	507.83	472.4	467.38	479.75	496(2.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	130	150	184	-32	0	67%	0.26	-45.8	4.39%	0	-0.9	37	0
3	May_2_2016	432.46	534.35	513.91	472.8	462.13	466.75	486(5.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	30	0	65	-77	0	67%	0.22	-37	4.43%	0	-1.2	35	0
4	Apr_29_2016	431.49	539.47	521.24	487.6	470.13	455	462(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-195	-330	-205	-164	0	66%	0.13	-9.6	4.43%	0	-2.1	25	0
5	Apr_28_2016	430.93	543.84	530.71	504.8	494	457.5	456(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-429	-580	-485	-259	0	66%	0.11	19.6	4.48%	0	-2.7	19	0

6	Apr_27_2016	430.45	547.6	540.87	526.4	517.38	485.25	462(-7.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-601	-490	-695	-319	0	66%	0.14	61.3	4.51%	0	-2.9	23	0
7	Apr_26_2016	429.85	549.62	550.56	547.6	543.88	530.5	498(-11.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-271	-190	-314	-140	0	70%	0.31	101.6	4.39%	0	-1.8	35	0
8	Apr_25_2016	428.51	549.12	556.05	547.6	556.75	549.5	560(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-97	-110	-114	-45	0	77%	0.62	101.5	4.07%	0	0.3	56	0
9	Apr_22_2016	425.88	543.08	555.06	560	559.25	557.25	548(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-30	-101	-48	0	77%	0.59	107	4.11%	0	0.1	36	0
10	Apr_21_2016	423.39	537.46	557.73	560.8	561.75	564	564(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	30	62	26	0	77%	0.7	95.7	4.1%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Apr_20_2016	420.46	529.98	557.95	558	558.25	561.25	568(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	40	25	0	77%	0.75	84.4	4.13%	0	0.7	65	0
12	Apr_19_2016	417.32	522.47	556.65	554.4	556.13	559.5	560(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	66	50	71	49	0	77%	0.75	79.6	4.18%	0	0.6	71	0
13	Apr_18_2016	414.22	514.41	555.68	551.6	553.63	555.25	560(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	57	58	0	77%	0.79	73.7	4.22%	0	0.7	73	0
14	Apr_15_2016	410.98	505.99	558.11	549.6	550	552.75	552(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	40	-11	67	0	77%	0.79	70.3	4.26%	0	0.7	78	0
15	Apr_14_2016	407.77	497.48	557.17	554.4	552.26	552	550(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	45	-10	20	118	0	77%	0.82	69.9	4.31%	0	0.7	79	0

16	Apr_13_2016	404.47	488.88	554.45	558	556.88	547.25	550(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-130	-68	122	0	77%	0.87	69.5	4.35%	0	0.8	81	0
17	Apr_12_2016	401	480.19	548.78	559.2	557.88	552.51	546(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-95	-70	-164	111	0	77%	0.89	71.1	4.4%	0	0.8	78	0
18	Apr_11_2016	397.46	471.54	542.33	560	558.51	566.51	550(-4.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	90	8	212	0	77%	0.97	73.2	4.43%	0	1	81	0
19	Apr_8_2016	393.65	462.29	531.13	567.6	561.88	563.25	576(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	195	-10	155	313	0	80%	1.2	80.5	4.37%	0	1.4	87	0
20	Apr_7_2016	388.97	451.5	516.39	560.4	561.38	550.5	568(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-130	-62	240	0	80%	1.23	80.5	4.43%	0	1.5	87	0

21	Apr_6_2016	384.26	441.3	500.4	550.4	555.13	560.5	556(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	90	-60	245	0	80%	1.22	79.8	4.48%	0	1.5	87	0
22	Apr_5_2016	379.62	430.49	485.95	536.4	546.25	572.25	550(-6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	423	390	420	432	0.01	80%	1.26	75	4.54%	0	1.7	87	0
23	Apr_4_2016	374.89	419.73	470.04	521.2	522.13	549.75	588(8.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	540	380	557	488	0	86%	1.65	70.9	4.37%	0	2.5	97	0
24	Apr_1_2016	368.8	405.74	448.98	489.2	494.59	520.25	540(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	488	400	508	426	0	84%	1.39	61.6	4.28%	0	2.3	97	0
25	Mar_31_2016	363.76	396.61	431.95	466	468.34	494.5	518(6.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	459	410	486	378	0	84%		60.6	4.33%	0	2.5	96	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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