Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ BPTH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: BPTH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Bio-Path Holdings, Inc.)
BPTH latest price $540.0000 (4.25%) ($504.0000 - $554.0000) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.28% (three month average)
RSI   97
Latest Price   $540.0000(4.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPTH advances 5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPTH advances 15.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPTH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(4%)    IPO(3%)    VIXM(3%)    BND(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting BPTH price   BPTH will decline at least -2.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLE(-6%)    XOP(-5%)    TBT(-5%)    OIH(-5%)    XLP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.14% (StdDev 4.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $489.2(10.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $448.98(20.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $405.74(33.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   100%
Market Cap   $2.453b

$. BPTH price fluctuates within 14.39% (three month std-dev: 4.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 8.43%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 17.52%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -4.45%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 21.2%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.55%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2016	368.8	405.74	448.98	489.2	494.59	520.25	540(4.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	488	400	508	426	0	84%	1.39	61.6	4.28%	0	2.3	97	0
2	Mar_31_2016	363.76	396.61	431.95	466	468.34	494.5	518(6.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	459	410	486	378	0	84%	1.3	60.6	4.33%	0	2.5	96	0
3	Mar_30_2016	359.09	389.15	416.84	443.2	444.22	468.94	486(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	422	400	454	325	0	83%	1.12	61.8	4.32%	0	2.4	90	0
4	Mar_29_2016	355.13	382.87	405	428	425.84	442.19	474(10.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	349	250	374	275	0	83%	1.09	70.5	4.39%	0	2.7	92	0
5	Mar_28_2016	351.29	376.56	394.07	411.2	411.63	419.5	428(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	200	140	203	192	0	80%	0.73	79.8	4.15%	0	2	90	0

6	Mar_24_2016	348.73	372.67	387.53	402.4	401.63	409.5	424(4.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	147	130	140	166	0	80%	0.75	89.9	4.22%	0	2.2	92	0
7	Mar_23_2016	346.14	368.78	381.3	392.4	393.16	403.75	404(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	183	190	190	163	0	79%	0.6	99.5	4.25%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Mar_22_2016	344.07	365.7	377.72	386	384.04	393.75	410(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	187	160	199	150	0	79%	0.71	95.2	4.29%	0	2	57	0
9	Mar_21_2016	341.63	360.63	371.05	378.4	375.59	382.58	390(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	118	110	125	96	0	77%	0.55	92.2	4.31%	0	1.3	56	0
10	Mar_18_2016	339.77	356.72	366.11	374.4	372.09	374.33	384(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	85	20	91	68	0	77%	0.52	88.5	4.4%	0	1.1	59	0

11	Mar_17_2016	338	352.65	359.75	370.4	368.93	368.61	374(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-20	-7	9	0	77%	0.45	85.6	4.48%	0	0.8	58	0
12	Mar_16_2016	336.5	349.09	359.06	368.4	368.18	369.86	372(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	30	13	19	0	77%	0.46	0	4.58%	0	0.8	58	0
13	Mar_15_2016	334.96	345.33	359.66	368	367.25	369.25	372(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	56	48	0	77%	0.51	0	4.67%	0	0.9	60	0
14	Mar_14_2016	333.27	340.91	359.2	362.4	364.13	366.5	370(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	41	51	0	77%	0.53	0	4.77%	0	1	69	0
15	Mar_11_2016	331.52	336.27	357.71	356.4	360.88	365.25	364(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	91	120	96	76	0	77%	0.49	0	4.89%	0	0.8	67	0

16	Mar_10_2016	329.9	331.74	356.67	347.2	352.88	361.76	364(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	230	74	66	0	77%	0.55	0	5%	0	0.9	69	0
17	Mar_9_2016	328.11	331.74	355.25	348.4	349.01	356.51	370(7.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	160	94	38	0	77%	0.72	0	5.08%	0	10.6	71	0
18	Mar_8_2016	325.78	331.74	352.58	350.8	353.5	344	344(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-170	-11	-4	0	74%	0.33	0	5.03%	0	10	69	0
19	Mar_7_2016	324.71	331.74	349.53	356	358.5	341.5	340(6.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-219	-310	-258	-103	0	74%	0.3	0	5.18%	0	9.7	72	0
20	Mar_4_2016	323.75	331.74	347.03	359.2	366.63	363	318(-14.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-117	-10	-137	-55	0	70%	-0.12	0	5.16%	0	8.9	70	0

21	Mar_3_2016	324.13	331.74	346.03	366.4	368.13	375.5	370(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	106	150	125	50	0	100%	1.02	0	3.26%	0	10	92	0
22	Mar_2_2016	320.86	331.74	339.16	362.4	364.06	370.25	382(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	226	130	266	106	0	100%	1.49	0	3%	0	10.6	50	0
23	Mar_1_2016	316.15	331.74	330.25	354.8	354.69	360.75	370(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	140	120	165	66	0	100%	1.44	0	3.12%	0	11.2	50	0
24	Feb_29_2016	311.67	331.74	321.23	342.4	344.69	357.88	356(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	233	290	274	110	0	100%	1.31	0	3.23%	0	11.7	50	0
25	Feb_26_2016	307.64	331.74	313.04	333.2	332.47	348.63	354(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	340	330	400	160	0	100%		0	3.32%	0	12.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.