Trading Signals: BPMC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: BPMC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Blueprint Medicines Corp)
BPMC latest price $27.9500 (-0.39%) ($27.6300 - $28.4700) on Tue. Aug. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.97% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $27.9500(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPMC advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPMC advances 9.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPMC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    IBB(54%)    ARKG(49%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(47%)
Factors Impacting BPMC price   BPMC will decline at least -1.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.485% (StdDev 2.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.23(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.07(7.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.22(15.4%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   59.2%
Market Cap   $1.517b

$. BPMC price fluctuates within 9.29% (three month std-dev: 2.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 4.32%(48%) Average negative next day return: -2.01%(52%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 7.82%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.93%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 10.39%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.75%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2016	19.81	24.22	26.07	27.23	27.17	27.66	27.95(-0.39%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	70	120	25	204	0.16	63%	0.51	71.8	2.97%	0	1.7	96	INF
2	Aug_22_2016	19.71	23.89	25.65	26.89	26.6	27.01	28.06(3.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	80	24	217	0.13	63%	0.51	75.8	2.98%	0	2	97	INF
3	Aug_19_2016	19.61	23.56	25.14	26.28	26.26	26.69	27.11(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	110	26	202	0.15	62%	0.46	77.1	2.99%	0	1.8	79	INF
4	Aug_18_2016	19.52	23.26	24.72	25.79	25.78	26.19	26.6(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	110	24	189	0.18	62%	0.46	78.2	3.01%	0	1.9	78	INF
5	Aug_17_2016	19.43	22.99	24.26	25.29	25.25	25.83	26.45(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	160	28	175	0.29	62%	0.52	80.1	3.01%	0	2.1	80	INF

6	Aug_16_2016	19.33	22.71	23.79	24.71	24.76	25.38	26.25(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	61	180	31	152	0.32	62%	0.52	77.6	3.02%	0	2.3	77	INF
7	Aug_15_2016	19.23	22.39	23.25	24.22	24.17	24.68	25.01(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	140	25	124	0.19	60%	0.31	74.5	3.01%	0	2	75	INF
8	Aug_12_2016	19.17	22.16	22.95	23.82	23.73	24.13	24.66(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	110	21	108	0.29	60%	0.42	70.5	3.03%	0	2.1	70	INF
9	Aug_11_2016	19.09	21.96	22.68	23.49	23.35	23.67	24.08(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	80	21	98	0.16	60%	0.42	65.5	3.08%	0	1.9	70	INF
10	Aug_10_2016	19.01	21.76	22.42	23.06	23.05	23.33	23.57(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	80	19	79	0.2	60%	0.37	57.7	3.08%	0	1.8	68	INF

11	Aug_9_2016	18.94	21.58	22.23	22.7	22.65	23.04	23.76(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	110	26	72	0.16	65%	0.37	53.4	3.08%	0	2.3	72	INF
12	Aug_8_2016	18.87	21.45	21.99	22.13	22.18	22.77	23.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	23	190	15	47	0.16	64%	0.32	52.3	3.43%	0	2	75	INF
13	Aug_5_2016	18.81	21.35	21.85	21.95	21.83	22.26	23.01(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	120	15	48	0.16	60%	0.37	57.4	3.44%	0	2.3	67	INF
14	Aug_4_2016	18.74	21.25	21.68	21.77	21.74	21.59	21.95(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-50	5	42	0.08	58%	0.27	64.9	3.5%	0	1.1	62	INF
15	Aug_3_2016	18.69	21.18	21.63	21.69	21.7	21.4	21.78(4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-100	-7	43	0.34	56%	0.27	69.7	3.52%	0	0.9	65	INF

16	Aug_2_2016	18.64	21.09	21.55	21.68	21.76	21.89	20.89(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	50	-5	50	0.12	54%	0.16	78.6	3.55%	0	-0.3	59	INF
17	Aug_1_2016	18.61	21.04	21.49	21.8	21.79	22	22.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	20	70	9	53	0.16	57%	0.32	96.4	3.5%	0	1.5	56	INF
18	Jul_29_2016	18.55	20.95	21.34	21.72	21.62	21.63	22.11(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10	4	46	0.14	57%	0.27	107.7	3.53%	0	1.7	58	INF
19	Jul_28_2016	18.5	20.85	21.19	21.59	21.59	21.58	21.54(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-0	0	34	0.06	54%	0.22	116.9	3.52%	0	1.1	52	INF
20	Jul_27_2016	18.46	20.73	21.06	21.56	21.58	21.62	21.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	20	5	33	0.06	49%	0.27	104.6	3.59%	0	1.4	61	INF

21	Jul_26_2016	18.41	20.57	20.9	21.4	21.51	21.6	21.47(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	40	10	28	0.07	49%	0.16	81.6	3.75%	0	1.1	63	INF
22	Jul_25_2016	18.38	20.38	20.88	21.11	21.24	21.55	21.73(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	120	9	28	0.15	49%	0.22	52.9	3.79%	0	1.3	67	INF
23	Jul_22_2016	18.34	20.24	20.8	20.9	20.93	21.42	21.45(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	170	12	25	0.06	49%	0.16	51.5	3.82%	0	1.2	59	INF
24	Jul_21_2016	18.31	20.14	20.77	20.74	20.68	20.94	21.39(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	80	15	27	0.08	49%	0.11	51.1	3.83%	0	1.3	59	INF
25	Jul_20_2016	18.29	20.01	20.67	20.49	20.47	20.44	20.95(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10	4	22	0.07	49%		44.8	3.83%	0	0.9	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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