Trading Signals: BPMC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: BPMC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Blueprint Medicines Corp)
BPMC latest price $23.5700 (-0.8%) ($22.4000 - $23.9900) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.08% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $23.5700(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPMC advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPMC advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPMC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    IBB(54%)    ARKG(49%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(47%)
Factors Impacting BPMC price   BPMC will decline at least -1.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.54% (StdDev 3.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.06(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.42(5.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.76(8.32%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   60.3%
Market Cap   $1.279b

$. BPMC price fluctuates within 4.73% (three month std-dev: 3.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(51%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(49%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 2.49%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -2.41%(47%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 2.5%(51%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.07%(49%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2016	19.01	21.76	22.42	23.06	23.05	23.33	23.57(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	80	19	79	0.2	60%	0.37	57.7	3.08%	0	1.8	68	0
2	Aug_9_2016	18.94	21.58	22.23	22.7	22.65	23.04	23.76(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	110	26	72	0.16	65%	0.37	53.4	3.08%	0	2.3	72	0
3	Aug_8_2016	18.87	21.45	21.99	22.13	22.18	22.77	23.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	23	190	15	47	0.16	64%	0.32	52.3	3.43%	0	2	75	0
4	Aug_5_2016	18.81	21.35	21.85	21.95	21.83	22.26	23.01(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	120	15	48	0.16	60%	0.37	57.4	3.44%	0	2.3	67	0
5	Aug_4_2016	18.74	21.25	21.68	21.77	21.74	21.59	21.95(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-50	5	42	0.08	58%	0.27	64.9	3.5%	0	1.1	62	0

6	Aug_3_2016	18.69	21.18	21.63	21.69	21.7	21.4	21.78(4.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-100	-7	43	0.34	56%	0.27	69.7	3.52%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Aug_2_2016	18.64	21.09	21.55	21.68	21.76	21.89	20.89(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	50	-5	50	0.12	54%	0.16	78.6	3.55%	0	-0.3	59	0
8	Aug_1_2016	18.61	21.04	21.49	21.8	21.79	22	22.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	20	70	9	53	0.16	57%	0.32	96.4	3.5%	0	1.5	56	0
9	Jul_29_2016	18.55	20.95	21.34	21.72	21.62	21.63	22.11(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10	4	46	0.14	57%	0.27	107.7	3.53%	0	1.7	58	0
10	Jul_28_2016	18.5	20.85	21.19	21.59	21.59	21.58	21.54(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-0	0	34	0.06	54%	0.22	116.9	3.52%	0	1.1	52	0

11	Jul_27_2016	18.46	20.73	21.06	21.56	21.58	21.62	21.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	20	5	33	0.06	49%	0.27	104.6	3.59%	0	1.4	61	0
12	Jul_26_2016	18.41	20.57	20.9	21.4	21.51	21.6	21.47(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	40	10	28	0.07	49%	0.16	81.6	3.75%	0	1.1	63	0
13	Jul_25_2016	18.38	20.38	20.88	21.11	21.24	21.55	21.73(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	120	9	28	0.15	49%	0.22	52.9	3.79%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Jul_22_2016	18.34	20.24	20.8	20.9	20.93	21.42	21.45(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	170	12	25	0.06	49%	0.16	51.5	3.82%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Jul_21_2016	18.31	20.14	20.77	20.74	20.68	20.94	21.39(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	80	15	27	0.08	49%	0.11	51.1	3.83%	0	1.3	59	0

16	Jul_20_2016	18.29	20.01	20.67	20.49	20.47	20.44	20.95(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10	4	22	0.07	49%	0.11	44.8	3.83%	0	0.9	66	0
17	Jul_19_2016	18.27	19.89	20.59	20.34	20.42	20.43	20.05(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	20	-9	24	0.09	45%	0.16	39.4	3.79%	0	0.2	67	0
18	Jul_18_2016	18.24	19.84	20.57	20.6	20.57	20.5	20.66(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-30	-3	54	0.07	45%	0.16	44.9	3.84%	0	0.8	75	0
19	Jul_15_2016	18.21	19.72	20.53	20.69	20.77	20.41	20.65(2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-110	-8	67	0.07	45%	0.22	39.8	3.85%	0	0.9	61	0
20	Jul_14_2016	18.17	19.64	20.49	20.82	20.97	20.64	20.13(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-90	-8	81	0.11	45%	0.17	37.9	3.84%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Jul_13_2016	18.14	19.57	20.41	20.87	21.07	21.13	20.22(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	50	-0	91	0.08	45%	0.17	31.3	3.89%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Jul_12_2016	18.11	19.51	20.23	20.84	20.92	21.3	21.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	140	15	96	0.33	47%	0.17	17.3	3.83%	0	1.8	66	0
23	Jul_11_2016	18.08	19.4	19.86	20.52	20.56	21	21.1(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	160	13	72	0.08	47%	0.22	-1.2	3.83%	0	1.8	62	0
24	Jul_8_2016	18.04	19.31	19.64	20.36	20.22	20.53	21.28(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	90	12	72	0.12	47%	0.28	-10.3	3.85%	0	2.3	67	0
25	Jul_7_2016	17.99	19.25	19.45	20.15	20.1	20.12	20.42(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-0	11	68	0.21	45%		-13.9	3.82%	0	1.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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