Trading Signals: BPMC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: BPMC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Blueprint Medicines Corp)
BPMC latest price $25.0700 (0.76%) ($24.3200 - $25.2200) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $25.0700(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BPMC advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BPMC advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BPMC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(58%)    IBB(55%)    ARKG(49%)    ARKK(48%)    IWO(48%)
Factors Impacting BPMC price   BPMC will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    LIT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.02(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.38(2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.76(5.51%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $1.361b

$. BPMC price fluctuates within 4.97% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.12%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2015	24.14	23.76	24.38	25.02	25.05	24.77	25.07(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-70	-1	40	0.17	32%	0.04	111.3	3.6%	0	1.1	60	0
2	Dec_21_2015	24.13	23.53	24.31	24.86	25.01	25.09	24.88(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	40	1	37	0.1	30%	0.04	91.9	4.04%	0	1	63	0
3	Dec_18_2015	24.12	23.3	24.2	24.69	24.9	25.32	25.03(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	140	14	40	1.08	33%	0.04	73.6	4.1%	0	1.1	67	0
4	Dec_17_2015	24.11	23.05	24.07	24.38	24.44	24.93	25.07(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	150	15	39	0.14	33%	0.04	59.5	4.16%	0	1.3	74	0
5	Dec_16_2015	24.1	22.79	23.92	24.08	24	24.48	25.04(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	130	18	43	0.18	32%	0.04	48	4.17%	0	1.3	76	0

6	Dec_15_2015	24.09	22.52	23.8	23.65	23.63	23.95	24.3(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	15	90	5	43	0.31	32%	0	31.8	4.19%	0	1	78	0
7	Dec_14_2015	24.09	22.34	23.72	23.69	23.47	23.53	24(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10	3	65	0.44	35%	0	27.9	4.18%	0	1	79	0
8	Dec_11_2015	24.09	22.24	23.64	23.65	23.56	23.31	23.5(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-90	-3	81	0.23	35%	-0.04	27.7	4.22%	0	0.8	79	0
9	Dec_10_2015	24.1	22.13	23.52	23.7	23.62	23.42	23.54(2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-70	-6	98	0.14	35%	0	27.9	4.23%	0	0.9	80	0
10	Dec_9_2015	24.1	22.01	23.34	23.74	23.71	23.42	22.93(-6.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	30	-4	115	0.2	35%	-0.08	27.3	4.23%	0	0.6	79	0

11	Dec_8_2015	24.12	21.98	23.13	23.95	23.75	23.81	24.47(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10	7	140	0.11	40%	0.04	34.6	4.17%	0	1.6	96	0
12	Dec_7_2015	24.11	21.88	22.72	23.76	23.68	23.62	23.81(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	34	-30	2	130	0.41	40%	-0.04	39.6	4.22%	0	1.3	73	0
13	Dec_4_2015	24.12	21.79	22.35	23.63	23.6	23.7	23.74(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	30	7	117	0.26	40%	0	46.8	4.26%	0	1.4	59	0
14	Dec_3_2015	24.12	21.69	21.97	23.31	23.37	23.75	23.76(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	120	15	101	0.34	40%	-0.04	47.3	4.26%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Dec_2_2015	24.13	21.58	21.57	22.87	22.86	23.51	23.98(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	200	26	82	0.3	40%	0	42.3	4.26%	0	1.9	65	0

16	Dec_1_2015	24.13	21.45	21.12	22.18	22.18	22.98	23.5(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	250	29	39	0.37	40%	-0.04	34.7	4.27%	0	1.8	52	0
17	Nov_30_2015	24.14	21.31	20.83	21.52	21.41	22.21	23.16(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	250	29	2	0.36	40%	-0.04	11.3	4.24%	0	1.8	49	0
18	Nov_27_2015	24.15	21.15	20.68	20.89	20.72	21.39	22.14(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	200	23	-26	0.17	37%	-0.08	-15	4.2%	0	1	47	0
19	Nov_25_2015	24.17	21.07	20.58	20.44	20.32	20.61	21.56(4.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	80	17	-48	0.7	37%	-0.17	-38.8	4.19%	0	0.5	48	0
20	Nov_24_2015	24.21	21.07	20.53	20.08	20	20.06	20.55(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	10	6	-72	0.44	35%	-0.21	-51.7	4.15%	0	-0.5	40	0

21	Nov_23_2015	24.26	21.06	20.72	19.9	19.86	20.03	20.19(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	50	-3	-77	0.16	35%	-0.21	-62	4.14%	0	-0.9	42	0
22	Nov_20_2015	24.31	21.19	20.97	20.03	19.95	19.94	20.01(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-20	-9	-64	0.31	35%	-0.25	-59.5	4.14%	0	-1.2	48	0
23	Nov_19_2015	24.37	21.3	21.2	20.44	20.19	19.7	19.9(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-210	-14	-39	0.63	35%	-0.25	-49.1	4.17%	0	-1.4	53	0
24	Nov_18_2015	24.43	21.44	21.4	20.74	20.7	19.96	19.77(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-260	-18	-22	0.51	35%	-0.29	-47.6	4.22%	0	-1.7	49	0
25	Nov_17_2015	24.5	21.56	21.64	21.03	21.11	20.68	19.62(-5.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-130	-25	-11	0.41	41%		-40	4.24%	0	-2.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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