Trading Signals: BNDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: BNDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jun. 4, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund ETF)
BNDX latest price $49.5800 (0.32%) ($49.4000 - $49.6300) on Wed. Jul. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $49.5800(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BNDX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BNDX declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BNDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(55%)    TLT(47%)    TIP(41%)    PCY(38%)    EMHY(26%)
Factors Impacting BNDX price   BNDX will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
OIH(-9%)    USO(-7%)    XOP(-6%)    EWP(0%)    FXI(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $49.71
5 Day Moving Average   $49.47(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.48(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.71(-0.26%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BNDX price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2013	49.78	49.71	49.48	49.47	49.46	49.47	49.58(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	0	15	-97	0.04	29%	-0.02	0	0.25%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Jul_2_2013	49.79	49.75	49.5	49.42	49.45	49.44	49.42(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	0	-2	-131	0.09	20%	-0.04	0	0.24%	0	-1	26	0
3	Jul_1_2013	49.81	49.79	49.54	49.41	49.46	49.45	49.46(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	0	-4	-129	2.23	20%	-0.04	0	0.25%	0	-1	38	0
4	Jun_28_2013	49.83	49.79	49.6	49.43	49.45	49.45	49.41(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	0	-4	-2	2.44	20%	-0.04	0	0.25%	0	154.4	36	0
5	Jun_27_2013	49.85	49.79	49.65	49.45	49.46	49.46	49.47(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	0	-10	-4	2	20%	-0.04	0	0.26%	0	159.6	28	0

6	Jun_26_2013	49.87	49.79	49.69	49.49	49.51	49.46	49.35(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-19	-10	-22	-9	1.22	20%	-0.08	0	0.25%	0	164.5	22	0
7	Jun_25_2013	49.91	49.79	49.76	49.58	49.57	49.45	49.37(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-47	-20	-55	-22	0.26	20%	-0.06	0	0.26%	0	176.3	22	0
8	Jun_24_2013	49.94	49.79	49.81	49.69	49.68	49.58	49.53(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10	-49	-20	0.31	23%	-0.06	0	0.27%	0	198.1	27	0
9	Jun_21_2013	49.97	49.79	49.84	49.79	49.82	49.68	49.55(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-20	-37	-15	0.22	23%	-0.06	0	0.28%	0	206.5	50	0
10	Jun_20_2013	50	49.79	49.9	49.87	49.89	49.78	49.65(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-10	-45	-18	0.13	23%	-0.06	0	0.29%	0	236.4	50	0

11	Jun_19_2013	50.03	49.79	49.97	49.91	49.99	49.95	49.81(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-0	-17	-7	0.09	27%	-0.04	0	0.29%	0	262.2	50	0
12	Jun_18_2013	50.05	49.79	50.02	49.96	50	50	49.93(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	0	-4	-2	0.14	27%	-0.02	0	0.3%	0	262.8	50	0
13	Jun_17_2013	50.06	49.79	50.06	49.93	50.01	50.04	50.01(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	10	13	5	0.1	27%	-0.02	0	0.32%	0	250.1	50	0
14	Jun_14_2013	50.07	49.79	50.06	49.9	50.01	49.99	49.97(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	10	-3	-1	0.1	27%	-0.02	0	0.33%	0	238	50	0
15	Jun_13_2013	50.08	49.79	50.06	49.94	49.99	49.98	49.85(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	0	-20	-8	0.11	27%	-0.08	0	0.33%	0	237.4	50	0

16	Jun_12_2013	50.12	49.79	50.06	50.03	50.07	49.99	50.02(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10	-16	-6	0.2	33%	-0.02	0	0.34%	0	238.2	50	0
17	Jun_11_2013	50.13	49.79	50.06	50.1	50.14	50	49.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-20	-49	-20	0.05	10%	-0.12	0	0.29%	0	226.5	50	0
18	Jun_10_2013	50.19	49.79	50.06	50.19	50.24	50.15	49.83(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.9	1375	-10	1617	647	0.13	10%	-0.2	0	0.3%	0	262.3	50	0
19	Jun_7_2013	50.29	49.79	50.06	40.23	50.34	50.29	50.19(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	166	4038	750	4751	1900	0.07	26%	-0.06	0	0.14%	0	836.5	50	0
20	Jun_6_2013	50.32	49.79	50.06	30.19	50.34	50.29	50.29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	670	6536	-10000	7689	3076	0.11	46%	-0.02	0	0.13%	0	1676.3	50	0

21	Jun_5_2013	50.33	49.79	50.06	20.13	50.34	50.29	50.36(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1007.7	0	-10000	0	0	0.06	100%	0.06	0	0%	0	1678.7	50	0
22	Jun_4_2013	50.3	49.79	50.06	10.06	50.34	50.29	50.3(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.04	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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