Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $80.4200 (-0.15%) ($80.4100 - $80.5300) on Thu. Mar. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $80.4200(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(68%)    LQD(67%)    TLT(59%)    TIP(54%)    VCSH(54%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-61%)    UUP(-24%)    DIA(-4%)    XHB(-3%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $80.68
5 Day Moving Average   $80.25(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.34(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.68(-0.32%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2017	81.04	80.68	80.34	80.25	80.24	80.4	80.42(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	10	58	-102	2.62	54%	-0.05	-41.5	0.24%	0	-0.6	26	INF
2	Mar_15_2017	81.08	80.69	80.35	80.18	80.17	80.2	80.54(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	0	38	-142	2.28	54%	-0.04	-52.8	0.24%	0	-0.3	36	INF
3	Mar_14_2017	81.11	80.71	80.37	80.13	80.11	80.08	80.04(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	-0	-29	-194	3.62	46%	-0.04	-58.5	0.23%	0	-1.6	30	INF
4	Mar_13_2017	81.14	80.76	80.49	80.22	80.16	80.08	80.05(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-0	-29	-176	2.16	46%	-0.05	-58	0.23%	0	-1.8	32	INF
5	Mar_10_2017	81.18	80.81	80.62	80.34	80.28	80.14	80.21(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-10	-36	-150	3.43	46%	-0.05	-50	0.23%	0	-1.6	34	INF

6	Mar_9_2017	81.22	80.86	80.74	80.43	80.4	80.19	80.05(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-92	-20	-78	-133	2.76	44%	-0.04	-42.9	0.23%	0	-2.4	36	INF
7	Mar_8_2017	81.25	80.92	80.86	80.55	80.53	80.41	80.3(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-74	-10	-67	-95	2.17	46%	-0.05	-27	0.23%	0	-2.1	45	INF
8	Mar_7_2017	81.29	80.96	80.94	80.65	80.63	80.61	80.49(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-0	-32	-57	1.64	50%	-0.04	-18.2	0.23%	0	-1.7	45	INF
9	Mar_6_2017	81.32	80.96	81	80.8	80.68	80.65	80.64(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10	-33	-29	1.88	50%	-0.02	0	0.23%	0	-1.5	44	INF
10	Mar_3_2017	81.34	80.99	81.04	80.94	80.84	80.64	80.69(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-20	-57	-15	2.24	50%	-0.04	16.7	0.23%	0	-1.2	43	INF

11	Mar_2_2017	81.37	80.99	81.06	81.1	81.03	80.71	80.63(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-87	-30	-111	-16	2.08	52%	-0.04	33.3	0.23%	0	-1.5	41	INF
12	Mar_1_2017	81.4	81	81.07	81.22	81.23	81.04	80.78(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-62	-20	-82	-3	2.95	48%	-0.04	46.7	0.24%	0	-0.9	39	INF
13	Feb_28_2017	81.43	81.01	81.08	81.27	81.33	81.35	81.27(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	0	1	33	1.98	51%	-0.02	57.1	0.24%	0	1.1	55	INF
14	Feb_27_2017	81.45	80.99	81.05	81.22	81.26	81.41	81.33(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	10	43	42	2.01	51%	-0.02	46.4	0.24%	0	1.5	59	INF
15	Feb_24_2017	81.47	80.96	81.02	81.15	81.16	81.3	81.5(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	60	10	63	50	1.7	51%	-0.02	40.7	0.24%	0	2.5	69	INF

16	Feb_23_2017	81.49	80.92	81.02	81.02	81.06	81.12	81.2(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	10	46	31	1.59	48%	-0.04	26.1	0.23%	0	1.5	65	INF
17	Feb_22_2017	81.52	80.89	81.02	80.91	80.97	81.02	81.05(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	10	26	23	1.97	48%	-0.02	4.5	0.23%	0	0.9	63	INF
18	Feb_21_2017	81.54	80.89	81.02	80.86	80.86	80.99	81(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	10	22	17	1.81	48%	-0.07	-13.6	0.23%	0	0.7	51	INF
19	Feb_17_2017	81.6	80.88	80.97	80.85	80.83	80.91	81.01(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	10	40	29	1.52	44%	-0.04	-14.3	0.23%	0	0.8	56	INF
20	Feb_16_2017	81.63	80.88	80.94	80.86	80.82	80.73	80.82(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-10	-16	6	3.29	42%	-0.05	-23.8	0.24%	0	-0.3	52	INF

21	Feb_15_2017	81.67	80.87	80.94	80.92	80.87	80.75	80.67(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-10	-58	-3	1.5	42%	-0.05	-28.6	0.24%	0	-1.2	51	INF
22	Feb_14_2017	81.71	80.88	80.93	81.04	80.98	80.9	80.8(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-21	-10	-37	28	2.18	40%	-0.04	-13	0.24%	0	-0.4	55	INF
23	Feb_13_2017	81.74	80.9	80.95	81.1	81.08	80.99	80.97(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10	-16	46	1.86	40%	-0.04	0	0.24%	0	0.4	51	INF
24	Feb_10_2017	81.77	80.9	80.93	81.09	81.1	81.06	81.06(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-15	42	2.01	39%	-0.04	4	0.24%	0	0.8	49	INF
25	Feb_9_2017	81.8	80.91	80.9	81.02	81.08	81.18	81.08(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	10	29	45	3.41	35%		-8	0.25%	0	0.9	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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