Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.3300 (-0.21%) ($81.2900 - $81.4700) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $81.3300(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(68%)    VCIT(68%)    TLT(59%)    TIP(55%)    VCSH(54%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-61%)    UUP(-24%)    XHB(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.22(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.05(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.99(0.42%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.28% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.15%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.23%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.44%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	81.45	80.99	81.05	81.22	81.26	81.41	81.33(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	10	43	42	2.01	51%	-0.02	46.4	0.24%	0	1.5	59	0
2	Feb_24_2017	81.47	80.96	81.02	81.15	81.16	81.3	81.5(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	60	10	63	50	1.7	51%	-0.02	40.7	0.24%	0	2.5	69	0
3	Feb_23_2017	81.49	80.92	81.02	81.02	81.06	81.12	81.2(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	10	46	31	1.59	48%	-0.04	26.1	0.23%	0	1.5	65	0
4	Feb_22_2017	81.52	80.89	81.02	80.91	80.97	81.02	81.05(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	10	26	23	1.97	48%	-0.02	4.5	0.23%	0	0.9	63	0
5	Feb_21_2017	81.54	80.89	81.02	80.86	80.86	80.99	81(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	10	22	17	1.81	48%	-0.07	-13.6	0.23%	0	0.7	51	0

6	Feb_17_2017	81.6	80.88	80.97	80.85	80.83	80.91	81.01(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	10	40	29	1.52	44%	-0.04	-14.3	0.23%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Feb_16_2017	81.63	80.88	80.94	80.86	80.82	80.73	80.82(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-10	-16	6	3.29	42%	-0.05	-23.8	0.24%	0	-0.3	52	0
8	Feb_15_2017	81.67	80.87	80.94	80.92	80.87	80.75	80.67(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-10	-58	-3	1.5	42%	-0.05	-28.6	0.24%	0	-1.2	51	0
9	Feb_14_2017	81.71	80.88	80.93	81.04	80.98	80.9	80.8(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-21	-10	-37	28	2.18	40%	-0.04	-13	0.24%	0	-0.4	55	0
10	Feb_13_2017	81.74	80.9	80.95	81.1	81.08	80.99	80.97(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10	-16	46	1.86	40%	-0.04	0	0.24%	0	0.4	51	0

11	Feb_10_2017	81.77	80.9	80.93	81.09	81.1	81.06	81.06(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-15	42	2.01	39%	-0.04	4	0.24%	0	0.8	49	0
12	Feb_9_2017	81.8	80.9	80.9	81.02	81.08	81.18	81.08(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	10	29	45	3.41	35%	-0.04	-8	0.25%	0	0.9	56	0
13	Feb_8_2017	81.83	80.91	80.86	80.94	80.99	81.13	81.3(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	10	53	39	2.17	35%	-0.02	-11.5	0.27%	0	1.9	63	0
14	Feb_7_2017	81.85	80.91	80.8	80.81	80.87	80.98	81.08(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	10	38	6	5.24	33%	-0.04	-24	0.27%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Feb_6_2017	81.88	80.91	80.77	80.78	80.77	80.85	80.95(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	10	21	-14	3.24	33%	-0.04	-20	0.27%	0	0.2	39	0

16	Feb_3_2017	81.91	80.9	80.78	80.74	80.77	80.76	80.7(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	0	13	-24	2.4	32%	-0.04	-20	0.27%	0	-1	41	0
17	Feb_2_2017	81.94	80.93	80.79	80.76	80.76	80.68	80.68(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10	-15	-42	1.75	32%	-0.04	3.8	0.27%	0	-1.2	38	0
18	Feb_1_2017	81.97	80.94	80.8	80.76	80.77	80.75	80.63(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-0	-18	-54	2.31	32%	-0.04	16	0.27%	0	-1.6	38	0
19	Jan_31_2017	82	80.94	80.83	80.76	80.78	80.84	80.94(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	10	15	-47	2.86	33%	-0.02	34.8	0.27%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Jan_30_2017	82.02	80.95	80.86	80.77	80.73	80.79	80.77(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	0	6	-49	2.7	33%	-0.04	47.8	0.27%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Jan_27_2017	82.05	80.94	80.88	80.77	80.77	80.71	80.79(0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10	3	-41	1.77	32%	-0.05	60.9	0.27%	0	-0.8	47	0
22	Jan_26_2017	82.09	80.92	80.92	80.82	80.81	80.67	80.7(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10	-32	-57	2.38	32%	-0.04	53.8	0.27%	0	-1	37	0
23	Jan_25_2017	82.12	80.9	80.97	80.83	80.84	80.82	80.67(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-0	-30	-48	1.9	32%	-0.05	50	0.27%	0	-1	48	0
24	Jan_24_2017	82.16	80.89	81.02	80.88	80.85	80.95	80.91(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	10	8	-20	2.14	33%	-0.01	45.7	0.26%	0	0.1	54	0
25	Jan_23_2017	82.17	80.86	81.04	80.96	80.88	80.85	81.03(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10	10	4	1.49	33%		55.6	0.26%	0	0.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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