Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $84.6400 (0.32%) ($84.4400 - $84.6400) on Fri. Jul. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.21% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $84.6400(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VCIT(69%)    LQD(68%)    TLT(60%)    TIP(55%)    VCSH(55%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-25%)    DIA(-4%)    XHB(-3%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.105% (StdDev 0.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.36(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.27(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.38(0.31%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.28% (three month std-dev: 0.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2016	83.24	84.38	84.27	84.36	84.36	84.46	84.64(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	10	52	27	2.76	58%	0.02	25	0.21%	0	1.1	47	0
2	Jul_28_2016	83.22	84.38	84.21	84.27	84.27	84.34	84.37(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	10	29	-23	1.42	55%	0.04	35.7	0.21%	0	0	34	0
3	Jul_27_2016	83.19	84.36	84.21	84.24	84.23	84.26	84.42(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	0	26	-41	1.58	58%	0.02	46.4	0.21%	0	0.3	43	0
4	Jul_26_2016	83.17	84.36	84.2	84.18	84.18	84.21	84.17(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	0	4	-76	2.39	55%	0.04	57.1	0.21%	0	-0.7	33	0
5	Jul_25_2016	83.14	84.35	84.21	84.19	84.16	84.2	84.18(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	0	15	-83	1.2	55%	0.02	71.4	0.21%	0	-0.7	39	0

6	Jul_22_2016	83.12	84.33	84.26	84.17	84.15	84.15	84.23(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-0	14	-80	1.61	55%	0.04	60.6	0.21%	0	-0.4	48	0
7	Jul_21_2016	83.09	84.28	84.32	84.14	84.13	84.12	84.22(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-0	-10	-81	2.08	55%	0.02	36.4	0.21%	0	-0.2	50	0
8	Jul_20_2016	83.07	84.25	84.36	84.16	84.14	84.12	84.12(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	0	-14	-66	1.69	53%	0.04	30	0.21%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Jul_19_2016	83.04	84.21	84.43	84.22	84.19	84.15	84.21(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-0	-7	-31	1.56	53%	0.02	30.9	0.21%	0	0	51	0
10	Jul_18_2016	83.02	84.18	84.47	84.24	84.26	84.13	84.08(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10	-46	-30	2.16	53%	0.02	29.3	0.21%	0	-0.2	52	0

11	Jul_15_2016	83	84.16	84.51	84.35	84.33	84.23	84.05(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-10	-81	-1	2.23	55%	0.01	37.3	0.21%	0	-0.2	60	0
12	Jul_14_2016	82.99	84.15	84.54	84.52	84.48	84.4	84.32(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10	-36	83	1.62	57%	0.04	49.2	0.21%	0	0.3	72	0
13	Jul_13_2016	82.96	84.12	84.53	84.59	84.61	84.44	84.45(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-42	120	1.35	57%	0.02	57.4	0.21%	0	0.6	71	0
14	Jul_12_2016	82.94	84.07	84.51	84.66	84.65	84.56	84.3(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-10	-70	155	1.78	57%	0.02	62.9	0.21%	0	0.4	70	0
15	Jul_11_2016	82.92	84.03	84.5	84.73	84.74	84.77	84.64(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	71	0	16	237	2.62	61%	0.04	68.3	0.2%	0	1.2	74	0

16	Jul_8_2016	82.89	83.97	84.41	84.68	84.71	84.75	84.89(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	92	0	41	244	1.75	65%	0.04	69.4	0.2%	0	1.8	73	0
17	Jul_7_2016	82.86	83.9	84.25	84.56	84.6	84.71	84.67(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	10	34	216	2.03	65%	0.04	72.4	0.19%	0	1.6	67	0
18	Jul_6_2016	82.83	83.83	84.13	84.47	84.51	84.68	84.81(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	109	20	79	197	1.94	65%	0.04	78.2	0.2%	0	2.1	72	0
19	Jul_5_2016	82.8	83.75	83.98	84.35	84.38	84.5	84.66(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	96	10	71	169	3.19	65%	0.02	84	0.2%	0	2.2	73	0
20	Jul_1_2016	82.78	83.67	83.86	84.24	84.28	84.33	84.37(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	10	47	148	2.53	63%	0.02	95.5	0.19%	0	1.9	70	0

21	Jun_30_2016	82.76	83.62	83.78	84.1	84.21	84.26	84.3(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	10	53	129	3.36	63%	0.04	93.2	0.19%	0	1.8	69	0
22	Jun_29_2016	82.73	83.54	83.72	83.89	84.09	84.23	84.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	85	20	78	107	2.43	66%	0.02	77.8	0.19%	0	1.7	69	0
23	Jun_28_2016	82.71	83.47	83.66	83.73	83.84	84.16	84.22(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	103	30	105	96	2.97	66%	0.02	68.2	0.2%	0	2	71	0
24	Jun_27_2016	82.69	83.39	83.58	83.55	83.64	83.95	84.12(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	133	30	148	89	2.47	66%	0.02	61	0.2%	0	2.1	72	0
25	Jun_24_2016	82.67	83.32	83.52	83.42	83.46	83.53	83.69(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	10	67	39	2.03	62%		55.3	0.19%	0	1.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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