Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Mar. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.3000 (-0.12%) ($82.2100 - $82.5200) on Sat. Mar. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.2% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $82.3000(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.31(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.16(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.03(0.33%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.29% (three month std-dev: 0.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.05%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.52%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2016	81.47		82.16			82.36	82.3(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	0	10	91	1.75	66%	0.01	24.1	0.2%	0	1.1	65	0
2	Mar_23_2016	81.46	82.03	82.11	82.31	82.32	82.32	82.4(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	0	18	97	1.23	63%	0.01	28.6	0.2%	0	1.6	66	0
3	Mar_22_2016	81.45	82.03	82.06	82.26	82.31	82.28	82.22(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-0	13	92	2.15	62%	0.01	29.6	0.2%	0	1	64	0
4	Mar_21_2016	81.44	82.01	82.03	82.18	82.21	82.28	82.24(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	10	23	87	1.61	62%	0.01	25.9	0.2%	0	1	63	0
5	Mar_18_2016	81.43	81.99	81.98	82.11	82.12	82.33	82.39(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	91	20	93	85	1.22	63%	0	19.2	0.2%	0	1.9	50	0

6	Mar_17_2016	81.43	81.97	81.92	81.98	81.99	82.1	82.32(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	65	10	74	39	1.57	63%	0.01	-4.3	0.2%	0	1.8	50	0
7	Mar_16_2016	81.42	81.96	81.86	81.88	81.88	81.92	82.14(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	0	15	-21	1.4	62%	0	-22.7	0.2%	0	1	44	0
8	Mar_15_2016	81.42	81.96	81.86	81.83	81.88	81.89	81.82(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	0	8	-51	1.87	59%	0	-36.4	0.2%	0	-0.7	39	0
9	Mar_14_2016	81.42	81.95	81.82	81.87	81.87	81.84	81.9(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-0	-4	-59	1.53	55%	-0.01	-36.4	0.2%	0	-0.3	44	0
10	Mar_11_2016	81.43	81.96	81.85	81.83	81.91	81.85	81.72(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-0	-10	-58	1.42	55%	0	-31.8	0.21%	0	-1.3	40	0

11	Mar_10_2016	81.43	81.98	81.9	81.83	81.89	81.9	81.83(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	0	-16	-55	1.79	55%	0	-22.7	0.21%	0	-0.8	43	0
12	Mar_9_2016	81.43	82	81.94	81.84	81.87	81.98	81.87(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	10	30	-34	2.01	55%	0	-9.1	0.21%	0	-0.7	41	0
13	Mar_8_2016	81.43	82.01	81.94	81.81	81.84	81.89	82.01(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	30	10	48	-24	1.71	55%	0	-4.5	0.21%	0	0	55	0
14	Mar_7_2016	81.43	82.01	81.97	81.77	81.77	81.75	81.74(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-0	-35	-62	1.3	53%	-0.01	9.1	0.2%	0	-1.6	48	0
15	Mar_4_2016	81.44	82.01	82.01	81.88	81.83	81.8	81.76(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-0	-20	-32	1.15	56%	0	22.7	0.2%	0	-1.4	43	0

16	Mar_3_2016	81.44	82.01	82.04	81.96	81.93	81.78	81.8(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10	-43	-31	2.75	50%	-0.01	45.5	0.21%	0	-1.2	36	0
17	Mar_2_2016	81.45	82.01	82.07	82.06	82.02	81.86	81.76(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-65	-20	-76	-30	2.14	50%	0	65.2	0.23%	0	-1.4	37	0
18	Mar_1_2016	81.45	82.02	82.09	82.14	82.15	82.09	81.81(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-0	-33	-3	2.55	50%	0	82.6	0.23%	0	-1.1	45	0
19	Feb_29_2016	81.45	82	82.1	82.2	82.22	82.17	82.25(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-0	1	17	1.83	54%	0.01	78.6	0.22%	0	1.1	56	0
20	Feb_26_2016	81.44	81.98	82.1	82.16	82.18	82.21	82.2(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	0	-5	14	1.63	54%	0	82.1	0.22%	0	1	65	0

21	Feb_25_2016	81.44	81.94	82.08	82.12	82.15	82.27	82.28(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	10	36	42	2.41	54%	0	74.2	0.22%	0	1.4	64	0
22	Feb_24_2016	81.44	81.9	82.07	82.1	82.1	82.15	82.16(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	0	40	51	2.43	54%	0.01	68.8	0.22%	0	1	63	0
23	Feb_23_2016	81.43	81.87	82.06	82.04	82.04	82.04	82.1(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	11	43	2.24	54%	0	63.6	0.22%	0	0.9	64	0
24	Feb_22_2016	81.43	81.83	82.05	81.99	81.98	82.05	82.05(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	10	11	53	1.6	54%	0	55.9	0.22%	0	0.8	69	0
25	Feb_19_2016	81.43	81.79	82.02	81.98	81.94	82.03	82.03(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	10	24	59	1.86	54%		51.4	0.22%	0	0.8	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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