Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.5100 (0.14%) ($81.3500 - $81.6200) on Thu. Aug. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $81.5100(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(56%)    BNDX(52%)    PCY(44%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $81.68
5 Day Moving Average   $81.74(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.73(-0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.68(-0.21%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.23% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2015	81.87		81.73	81.74	81.73	81.49	81.51(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-20	-57	-8	2.67	46%	-0.02	21.7	0.25%	0	-0.9	48	0
2	Aug_26_2015	81.89	81.68	81.74	81.82	81.87	81.65	81.4(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-66	-20	-86	-6	2.74	47%	-0.02	34.8	0.25%	0	-1.5	51	0
3	Aug_25_2015	81.91	81.69	81.74	81.91	81.96	81.98	81.75(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	0	-12	48	5.33	50%	-0.02	54.5	0.25%	0	0.3	59	0
4	Aug_24_2015	81.93	81.68	81.78	81.87	81.93	82.08	82.02(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	20	50	75	4.75	52%	0	59.1	0.25%	0	1.9	62	0
5	Aug_21_2015	81.93	81.66	81.72	81.81	81.78	81.95	82.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	10	54	58	3.46	53%	-0.01	70	0.25%	0	2.4	53	0

6	Aug_20_2015	81.94	81.64	81.68	81.71	81.71	81.77	81.91(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	10	47	33	1.54	53%	-0.02	70.6	0.25%	0	1.9	51	0
7	Aug_19_2015	81.96	81.62	81.64	81.64	81.71	81.62	81.84(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-4	-0	-5	0	1.36	53%	-0.01	70.6	0.25%	0	1.6	56	0
8	Aug_18_2015	81.97	81.59	81.64	81.63	81.63	81.62	81.55(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	0	-12	-7	1.08	49%	-0.02	66.7	0.25%	0	-0.3	52	0
9	Aug_17_2015	81.99	81.58	81.59	81.67	81.7	81.65	81.7(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-0	13	10	0.82	49%	-0.02	71.4	0.25%	0	0.7	53	0
10	Aug_14_2015	82.01	81.55	81.6	81.63	81.71	81.6	81.55(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-30	-12	2.28	51%	-0.01	68.2	0.25%	0	0	45	0

11	Aug_13_2015	82.02	81.54	81.6	81.64	81.71	81.75	81.58(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-8	10	-12	4	0.85	51%	-0.02	73.9	0.26%	0	0.2	51	0
12	Aug_12_2015	82.04	81.52	81.63	81.62	81.7	81.82	81.75(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	10	52	28	1.03	51%	-0.02	60	0.25%	0	1.2	56	0
13	Aug_11_2015	82.06	81.5	81.6	81.56	81.6	81.65	81.78(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	10	32	15	1.42	49%	-0.01	40.7	0.25%	0	1.3	62	0
14	Aug_10_2015	82.07	81.46	81.58	81.51	81.51	81.57	81.47(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	10	-7	-0	1.17	46%	-0.02	22.6	0.26%	0	0	57	0
15	Aug_7_2015	82.09	81.43	81.6	81.58	81.54	81.55	81.64(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-0	14	36	1.77	48%	-0.02	18.8	0.26%	0	0.8	66	0

16	Aug_6_2015	82.11	81.43	81.59	81.62	81.57	81.44	81.47(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-10	-27	33	1.17	47%	-0.02	22.6	0.26%	0	0.3	58	0
17	Aug_5_2015	82.13	81.4	81.6	81.63	81.65	81.53	81.42(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-10	-39	37	2.1	47%	-0.01	34.4	0.26%	0	0.1	57	0
18	Aug_4_2015	82.14	81.41	81.59	81.64	81.68	81.71	81.55(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	0	-8	54	1.01	47%	-0.01	43.8	0.26%	0	0.5	61	0
19	Aug_3_2015	82.15	81.4	81.57	81.65	81.64	81.77	81.83(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	10	31	79	2.09	48%	-0.01	46.9	0.26%	0	1.7	78	0
20	Jul_31_2015	82.16	81.38	81.5	81.62	81.6	81.65	81.81(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	0	32	84	1.59	46%	-0.01	55.2	0.26%	0	1.8	80	0

21	Jul_30_2015	82.17	81.34	81.44	81.62	81.58	81.52	81.53(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-0	-9	68	0.79	44%	-0.01	53.6	0.26%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Jul_29_2015	82.18	81.31	81.41	81.57	81.59	81.56	81.5(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-0	-9	63	1.02	43%	-0.01	43.3	0.26%	0	0.8	50	0
23	Jul_28_2015	82.19	81.3	81.39	81.53	81.57	81.64	81.57(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	10	17	56	1.43	41%	-0.01	43.3	0.27%	0	1.1	44	0
24	Jul_27_2015	82.2	81.29	81.33	81.47	81.5	81.62	81.71(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	10	49	48	2.02	41%	0	42.9	0.27%	0	1.8	53	0
25	Jul_24_2015	82.2	81.25	81.24	81.35	81.38	81.49	81.55(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	37	15	0.8	41%		14.8	0.27%	0	1.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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