Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $81.4200 (-0.33%) ($81.3800 - $81.5800) on Thu. Jul. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.26% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $81.4200(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.13% (StdDev 0.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.41(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.27(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.28(0.17%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2015	82.38	81.28	81.27	81.41	81.53	81.57	81.42(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	9	24	1.67	40%	-0.02	28	0.26%	0	0.7	50	0
2	Jul_8_2015	82.4	81.25	81.24	81.31	81.43	81.63	81.69(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	20	59	21	1.97	41%	0	7.4	0.26%	0	2	52	0
3	Jul_7_2015	82.4	81.22	81.17	81.22	81.24	81.48	81.46(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	41	20	56	-3	4.18	40%	-0.01	-20	0.26%	0	1.2	50	0
4	Jul_6_2015	82.41	81.21	81.15	81.2	81.17	81.24	81.38(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	43	0	58	-4	2.21	40%	-0.02	-39.1	0.26%	0	0.9	53	0
5	Jul_2_2015	82.43	81.2	81.16	81.11	81.14	81	81.1(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-16	-40	1.06	37%	-0.02	-82.6	0.25%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Jul_1_2015	82.45	81.22	81.19	81.1	81.1	81.11	80.9(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	0	-46	-50	5.4	35%	-0.02	-100	0.25%	0	-1.7	44	0
7	Jun_30_2015	82.47	81.24	81.25	81.16	81.15	81.28	81.26(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	10	48	12	1.55	37%	-0.02	-108	0.24%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Jun_29_2015	82.49	81.26	81.26	81.12	81.12	81.09	81.34(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-0	24	5	2.17	37%	-0.02	-106.7	0.24%	0	0.3	56	0
9	Jun_26_2015	82.51	81.28	81.25	81.09	81.07	81.02	80.93(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10	-52	-33	0.96	32%	-0.04	-82.9	0.24%	0	-1.1	43	0
10	Jun_25_2015	82.54	81.35	81.28	81.23	81.17	81.14	81.08(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-0	-17	6	2.89	32%	-0.04	-59.6	0.24%	0	-0.7	48	0

11	Jun_24_2015	82.57	81.41	81.3	81.29	81.29	81.12	81.19(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	-10	-31	3	6.84	32%	-0.02	-48	0.24%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	Jun_23_2015	82.59	81.46	81.27	81.35	81.34	81.21	81.04(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-10	-68	-15	1.1	32%	-0.05	-37	0.24%	0	-1	46	0
13	Jun_22_2015	82.63	81.52	81.28	81.35	81.34	81.46	81.23(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	0	-2	9	1.02	32%	-0.04	-29.6	0.24%	0	-0.7	41	0
14	Jun_19_2015	82.66	81.56	81.29	81.42	81.41	81.47	81.62(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	0	45	10	1.18	32%	-0.02	-32.7	0.23%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Jun_18_2015	82.68	81.58	81.24	81.33	81.34	81.47	81.39(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	0	6	-55	1.21	35%	-0.04	-37.5	0.23%	0	-0.4	31	0

16	Jun_17_2015	82.71	81.61	81.25	81.31	81.31	81.35	81.45(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	0	23	-70	0.87	35%	-0.02	-39.3	0.25%	0	-0.3	33	0
17	Jun_16_2015	82.73	81.63	81.23	81.19	81.25	81.33	81.42(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	10	32	-112	2.25	35%	-0.02	-46.4	0.25%	0	-0.5	32	0
18	Jun_15_2015	82.75	81.66	81.25	81.12	81.14	81.27	81.21(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	10	25	-153	2.08	33%	-0.04	-50	0.24%	0	-1	29	0
19	Jun_12_2015	82.78	81.71	81.31	81.14	81.09	81.17	81.2(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	10	32	-155	1.79	33%	-0.02	-50	0.24%	0	-1.1	35	0
20	Jun_11_2015	82.8	81.75	81.42	81.13	81.11	81.17	81.26(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-10	-8	-168	1.82	33%	-0.02	-53.6	0.24%	0	-1.1	34	0

21	Jun_10_2015	82.82	81.78	81.52	81.18	81.13	81.01	80.88(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-95	-10	-68	-175	1.22	32%	-0.04	-55.6	0.24%	0	-2	34	0
22	Jun_9_2015	82.85	81.84	81.66	81.27	81.28	81.2	81.05(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-10	-34	-139	2.88	32%	-0.02	-60.4	0.24%	0	-2	36	0
23	Jun_8_2015	82.87	81.89	81.78	81.39	81.35	81.26	81.29(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-10	-48	-119	4.95	34%	-0.02	-64.3	0.24%	0	-1.8	36	0
24	Jun_5_2015	82.89	81.95	81.86	81.52	81.46	81.36	81.19(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-74	-10	-62	-109	4.12	31%	-0.04	-60	0.25%	0	-2.3	29	0
25	Jun_4_2015	82.92	82	81.96	81.75	81.66	81.44	81.51(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-71	-20	-69	-75	1.11	33%		-58.8	0.24%	0	-1.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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