Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)
BND latest price $82.3100 (0.01%) ($82.2500 - $82.3800) on Thu. May. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $82.3100(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   BND advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BND advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BND advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(69%)    TLT(62%)    TIP(57%)    BNDX(52%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting BND price   BND will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-64%)    UUP(-23%)    DIA(-7%)    XHB(-5%)    XOP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.21(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.12(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.17(0.17%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.32% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2015	83	82.17	82.12	82.21	82.19	82.29	82.31(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	10	31	37	1.07	34%	-0.01	-84.4	0.24%	0	0.5	52	0
2	May_27_2015	83.01	82.19	82.07	82.12	82.13	82.22	82.3(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	10	47	24	2.56	34%	-0.01	-86.5	0.24%	0	0.4	55	0
3	May_26_2015	83.02	82.22	82.03	82.03	82.03	82.1	82.26(0.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	19	10	28	-9	1.18	33%	0	-86	0.24%	0	0.1	49	0
4	May_22_2015	83.02	82.27	81.99	81.98	81.95	82.04	82.06(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	10	8	-37	0.82	34%	-0.01	-69	0.24%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	May_21_2015	83.03	82.33	82.02	82.03	81.98	81.96	82.11(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-0	16	-26	2.31	34%	-0.01	-64.5	0.24%	0	-0.4	42	0

6	May_20_2015	83.04	82.39	82.03	82.03	82.03	81.86	81.85(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-40	-10	-30	-70	4.1	31%	0	-65.6	0.24%	0	-1	30	0
7	May_19_2015	83.04	82.45	82.05	82.01	82.05	81.99	81.85(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-0	-50	-100	4.86	31%	0	-65.7	0.24%	0	-1.1	33	0
8	May_18_2015	83.04	82.53	82.09	82.02	82.09	82.2	82.03(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	10	28	-94	3.75	34%	0	-65.2	0.24%	0	-0.9	31	0
9	May_15_2015	83.04	82.6	82.12	82.01	82.02	82.11	82.33(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	10	30	-123	1.4	34%	-0.01	-62	0.24%	0	-0.5	31	0
10	May_14_2015	83.05	82.66	82.13	82.02	81.99	81.98	82(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-0	-9	-164	1.49	30%	0	-56.8	0.24%	0	-1.1	23	0

11	May_13_2015	83.05	82.73	82.22	82.06	82.11	81.93	81.84(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10	-24	-175	2.37	30%	0	-54.8	0.24%	0	-1.5	23	0
12	May_12_2015	83.05	82.82	82.32	82.1	82.15	82	81.88(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-104	-10	-72	-201	2.14	30%	-0.01	-55.7	0.24%	0	-1.6	29	0
13	May_11_2015	83.06	82.9	82.43	82.17	82.2	82.28	81.98(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	10	-19	-180	0.93	30%	-0.01	-58.5	0.24%	0	-1.7	26	0
14	May_8_2015	83.07	82.96	82.57	82.25	82.25	82.3	82.41(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	0	36	-160	1.74	32%	0	-61	0.23%	0	-1.1	28	0
15	May_7_2015	83.07	83.01	82.66	82.27	82.26	82.12	82.19(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-83	-10	-44	-198	3.6	29%	-0.01	-63.8	0.23%	0	-1.7	22	0

16	May_6_2015	83.08	83.07	82.77	82.41	82.35	82.2	82.02(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-109	-10	-80	-196	3.94	26%	-0.01	-63	0.23%	0	-2.3	23	0
17	May_5_2015	83.09	83.14	82.88	82.57	82.52	82.39	82.25(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-85	-10	-57	-168	4.18	27%	0	-60.9	0.24%	0	-2.3	24	0
18	May_4_2015	83.09	83.21	83	82.74	82.65	82.5	82.38(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-91	-20	-72	-146	1.19	27%	-0.01	-55	0.24%	0	-2.5	29	0
19	May_1_2015	83.1	83.27	83.12	82.93	82.82	82.65	82.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-86	-20	-77	-113	7.17	25%	0	-43.8	0.24%	0	-2.9	36	0
20	Apr_30_2015	83.1	83.32	83.23	83.11	83.04	82.8	82.91(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-68	-20	-67	-69	4.23	33%	0	-25	0.24%	0	-2	43	0

21	Apr_29_2015	83.1	83.35	83.29	83.18	83.19	83	82.82(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-70	-20	-75	-56	1.91	33%	0	-13.6	0.25%	0	-2.9	40	0
22	Apr_28_2015	83.1	83.38	83.36	83.24	83.3	83.28	83.08(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	0	-32	-30	1.22	37%	0.01	-11.8	0.24%	0	-2.1	40	0
23	Apr_27_2015	83.09	83.39	83.4	83.31	83.32	83.39	83.34(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	10	-6	1.59	39%	0.01	0	0.25%	0	-0.4	44	0
24	Apr_24_2015	83.08	83.38	83.39	83.34	83.33	83.32	83.4(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-0	5	-6	1.6	39%	0.01	0	0.24%	0	0.2	47	0
25	Apr_23_2015	83.07	83.37	83.38	83.39	83.37	83.25	83.27(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10	-32	-18	5.52	42%		11.8	0.25%	0	-0.7	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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